Adverse

Quantitative investment research without sensationalism.

Adverse Model trackrecord and full information at: financial advice.

[Adverse @Adversegroup]

What you will find in the Adverse Model is a rigorous mathematical approach and full transparency on winners and losers, everything gets timestamped and recorded. We take pride in wins and losses.

🚩We are not going after fast money
🚩We are not going after getting famous
🚩We are expressing auditable macro positions in global asset classes for educational and risk management purposes

check us out https://t.co/sTVjp0hhU9

[Adverse @Adversegroup]

@Mag7Observatory We will find out in august.
I wouldn't engage in criminal offences not supported by any evidence on their expected ramp up btw.

[Adverse @Adversegroup]

Rationalizing on $PCT after yesterday bloodbath:

1) The timing of the filing was a disaster. It literally couldn't have been worse. They announced it during a week of full-blown market panic, with a massive OpEx expiration on Friday.

2) They may be brilliant plastic nerds, but for the love of God, their communication around corporate finance actions has been amateurish, to put it mildly, every single time. They seem to completely ignore market dynamics, and that's simply not going to work. Trillion-dollar companies pay close attention to the timing of offerings and capital raises, while PCT appears to think it can just wing it. This is something that will need to be addressed sooner rather than later with the right hire.

3) On the positive side, we all knew they only had roughly 3–4 quarters of cash runway left. The new capital raise gives them the flexibility to continue investing in ongoing projects without risking a liquidity crunch.

4) The 215M+ 2030 notes represented a significant overhang, and they managed to eliminate that burden on reasonably fair terms.

5) This deal puts enormous pressure on 2Q results. I expect the stock to remain pinned in the $8–9 range for a while, but if we don't see a meaningful revenue acceleration soon, it could drop to $5 in the blink of an eye.

@Mike_Taylor1972 @PureCycleTech

[Adverse @Adversegroup]

@RostronE no question it was needed and it could be a net positive.

it's the timing that is upsetting, they are full amateur on corporate finance communication and there's no question about this either

[Adverse @Adversegroup]

It is the worst possible timing for this mixed shelf from $PCT... it is a big middle finger to existing shareholders after a 30%+ drop in 7 days

[Adverse @Adversegroup]

@Mike_Taylor1972 The mixed shelf they just posted is a gigantic middle finger to existing shareholders. It is also terrible timing and amateur hour doing it like this. This kind of behaviour makes me seriously reconsider my stake

[Adverse @Adversegroup]

@hajiyev_rashad meanwhile it is down almost 20% from your pump at 4800

[Adverse @Adversegroup]

@hajiyev_rashad You keep pumping a bearish trend non stop.. Told ya 500$ higher that it broke down... the only way gold can start shining again is recapturing 4800 amd that is so far now that it is not realistic

[Adverse @Adversegroup]

@Mike_Taylor1972 I wish it caught more attention from the general public. Recycling / Sustainability topics have been completely forgotten for now. I keep holding but ngl this 14 --> 10 drop hurt a lot

[Adverse @Adversegroup]

This is why it is important to risk manage positions, especially those with an ugly start such as the one above

[Adverse @Adversegroup]

🏁 CLOSE - 🇺🇸 Russell 2000
Long position closed by the Adverse model

📍 Exit: 2899
📊 Adverse Interval: 2800–2944
🟢 P&L: +0.46%

Take Profit · Risk Management
Profit taken for risk management purposes.

📈 Track record: https://t.co/Cts79kC9qm

#Russell2000 #SmallCap #AdverseSignal #Trading
#research #notfinancialadvice

[Adverse @Adversegroup]

@Gubloinvestor The hard rotation into rate sensitive equities is suggesting that it will be cooler than expected, so the answer is no. If Real Estate and Utilities were dumping together with everything else then I'd be worried

[Adverse @Adversegroup]

The main thing I see is a big fat rotation taking place with Real Estate, Healthcare and Staples beeing the main beneficiaries.

That kind of action surely doesn't look like rate hike expectations are popping off.

I suspect somebody knows something and CPI will be cooler than expected or at least that's what those sector rotations are hinting at.

Hopefully my bonds come back from the dead then.

[Adverse @Adversegroup]

Our Intervals are amazing and it's a shame that there isn't more people using them.

Nailed the bottom for the bounce today as well and made a very profitable scalp on sp500.

[Adverse @Adversegroup]

The model was right afterall

[Adverse @Adversegroup]

🏁 CLOSE - ₿ Bitcoin
Short position closed by the Adverse model

📍 Exit: 61170
📊 Adverse Interval: 61853–65755
🟢 P&L: +3.81%

Take Profit · Risk Management
Profit taken for risk management purposes.

📈 Track record: https://t.co/Cts79kC9qm

#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #AdverseSignal #Trading
#research #notfinancialadvice

[Adverse @Adversegroup]

@mr_akk1 I tend to agree with your analysis. The Model probably shorted a bottom but what can I do, I gotta stay with the rules. If the Model tells me to short I just execute and don't ask questions. Stop loss for today is around 65k

[Adverse @Adversegroup]

🚨 ALERT - ₿ Bitcoin
SHORT confirmed by the Adverse model

📍 Trigger: 63500
📊 Adverse Interval: 59878–63622

Bearish bias confirmed by Adverse Interval analysis.

#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #AdverseSignal #Trading
#research #notfinancialadvice