Alfredo L., CFA

Ex-Management Consultant and finance professional Interested in contributing and sharing investment ideas. Concentrate to get rich diversify to stay rich!

[Alfredo L., CFA @Aeleons]

@HalToHell @Jesse_Livermore Please. So how do you explain that we beat japan? As much as the US bats were off our pitching was great. You might have better players bur we have a better team. US looked like coworkers VZLA team looked like family.

[Alfredo L., CFA @Aeleons]

@NYCMayor Communist!!!!

[Alfredo L., CFA @Aeleons]

@flyest Fitting you would reply with a meme (real arguments are much harder). Enjoy your day :)

[Alfredo L., CFA @Aeleons]

@flyest Sure bozo you know best: not born there. Probably never lived there (and the reason i know is because of your take on this). Which calls for the serious study of memes? Looks like you should attend some reading comprehension sessions yourself.

[Alfredo L., CFA @Aeleons]

@awealthofcs The most distinctive feature of the top for the 99 market for me was the volume of IPOs and the stock performance 2-3 days after floating the issues. Until we get that, I think it’s closer to 96. That said, this might be explained by cos staying private longer

[Alfredo L., CFA @Aeleons]

@corleonecapital @hoomansv Also the fleet that TSLA wants to tap from existing owners, likely wants to use their cars at peak demand times, raising costs to support competitive matching. This assumes that tsla manufactures ALL the cars they need, and get smart on fleet management and matching software

[Alfredo L., CFA @Aeleons]

@corleonecapital @hoomansv Here are some points you might be missing: the market can support both, there is not enough fleet capacity of TSLAs to match rides at similar times, there are other AVs companies that need to tap demand through UBER, and 50% of uber is food, fleet, and ADs 1.5B run rate).

[Alfredo L., CFA @Aeleons]

@PantexCap What creates the selling pressure in AUR, can you walk me through the arb math here please? explain it like I’m a child TY

[Alfredo L., CFA @Aeleons]

@Quality_stocksA I think robo taxis are an opp. UBR, already has aggregated supply, which all other AD/FSD software co’s that are not TSLA; need to run their business. UBR has 100 FSD taxis in Austin utilized more than 99% of drivers w/waymo. Thoughts? @Quality_stocksA

[Alfredo L., CFA @Aeleons]

@clonedcapital So you’ll get a lumpy IRR, and need to take a long TV. Which i am happy with. But YFP, also reminds me of Bill Ackman’s Fannie and Freddie’s “prepetual options”. Always seem around the corner but never quite there..it could take a loong time.

[Alfredo L., CFA @Aeleons]

@clonedcapital I’ve been in for a WHILE. All your points are correctly laid out IMO. I am capitulating to YPF is the only catalyst to unlock the upside. My take: i suspect is a case of a good business with a complicated story. It wont re-rate on a EV/CF or portfolio bases (EX-YFP).

[Alfredo L., CFA @Aeleons]

@DheerajNam @microcapmindset Wouldn’t that be something they could borrow against other assets invest in BUR. Say they will pay the claim and then get a head start at payments with the added profit😂 (after selling their BUR long)

[Alfredo L., CFA @Aeleons]

@ragingbullcap @AmheShay What i meant with YFP is that they could decide tomorrow to sell most (if not all at say a 50% disc.). There is HF capacity out there to buy these assets and collect a decent IRR from here which are more specialized in stuff-like asset seizures

[Alfredo L., CFA @Aeleons]

@DheerajNam @microcapmindset The IRR will good even if they sell the claim at a discount RN. Which they have done in the past i think roughly 250M, and it would not surprise me if they did again (probably tired of this hanging over the stock).

[Alfredo L., CFA @Aeleons]

@AmheShay @ragingbullcap Catalysts: I think they’ll sell some if not all of YPF claims at a discount. They communicated a preference to invest from there BS (hinting maybe they could use the cash). Further, court cases catching up post covid, accounting clean up, listing in NY. Thoughts?

[Alfredo L., CFA @Aeleons]

@DougWestt53 Cash on the BS > long term debt (not worried). A % of ecent FCF has been used for repurchases (great use of cash given low valuation).FYI: AI implementation cadence is not the risk here. Rather, the risk is AI disrupts their outsourcing BPO “seat” robot/AI as opposed to an FTE

[Alfredo L., CFA @Aeleons]

@alexbossert Typo i meant in previous years..

[Alfredo L., CFA @Aeleons]

@alexbossert TY! Do you happen yo know how much have they elected to defer in BUR in previous shares? (Trying to understand if this is material vs business as usual)