U.S. corn production is now expected at a whopping 16.8 billion bushels (427 mmt) with harvested area above 90M acres. Bean yield came down a hair but area also increased there.
All trade estimates for USDA's supply and demand estimates due on Friday at 11 am CDT. US corn and soybean production are the headliners, and most analysts are looking for lower yields than last month.
World #wheat stocks fall from last month on higher exports and lower old-crop Russian supply. #Corn stocks are below expectations and last month due to a reduction in old-crop supply. #Soybeans are up from last month on reduced old-crop crush in China.
The trade is not anticipating bullish numbers for global new-crop ending stocks on Thursday. A slight trim in U.S. #corn stocks could be offset by a bigger Brazilian crop.
🇺🇸Analysts think old-crop U.S. #corn ending stocks could dip below 1.4 bbu on Thursday, though #soybeans & #wheat are pegged mostly steady. Trade is likely looking for a boost to old-crop corn exports due to the brisk sales and export paces.
🇧🇷Trade estimates for USDA's WASDE on Thursday suggest that 2024/25 Brazilian #corn production is the one to watch in South America. Analysts see some decent upside there. Otherwise, minimal changes are expected for #soybeans and Argentine crops, on average.
March planting intentions combined with USDA's trendline yields set 2025/26 U.S. corn production at 15.82 billion bushels and soybean production at 4.34 billion bushels.
USDA puts 2025/26 U.S. corn ending stocks up 27% on the year (trade expected 40%). Wheat is pegged to rise 10% but soybean stocks are set to fall 16% on the year.
If final 2025 U.S. #corn planted acres end up larger than 95.475M, it would be the second largest corn area since 1937. Bested only by 2012. That's a serious amount of corn!
U.S. #corn ending stocks come in below all trade expectations on a boost in export and ethanol estimates. #Wheat exports were also increased but the balance sheet for #soybeans was unchanged.
A big increase in global #corn demand slashed stock expectations from last month. USA exporters are mostly set to snag that business. However, Chinese corn imports were reduced by 2 mmt to 14 mmt. Nothing very notable for #wheat & #soybeans this month.