It's a strange decision for Polymarket to close this deal as "Yes", because blocking the strait and attacking merchant ships are different formulations.
There were even different deals separating these topics.
#Geopolítica#IranWar
Recent statements by US President Donald Trump 🗣
"I'm calling off strikes on Iran, we're close to a great deal."
"The US agreed today to end the war with Iran, we will sign the documents soon."
This is really good news and it will be good if it comes true.
I don't think it will come true so quickly, negotiations are a complicated process, so we will follow it further.
#Geopolítica
If you pay attention to the post in the header, you will see more than just a pretty headline.
$20 is the amount I invest in my prediction and confirm my words.
A month ago my word was worth $10, now its price has increased by x2.
I wonder what will happen in a month 🧐
Opened a new position on Polymarket.
Ukrainian drones are causing serious damage to Russian logistics deep inside their positions, which reduces their offensive potential.
The Russians have been conducting offensive operations in this area, so it is likely that their forces here have weakened and they will not be able to conduct further active operations.
The forecast was fulfilled for $10.
Summary for 10 days 📊
I made predictions for a total of $121. As of today, the profit is $27.05. That is, my profit is now 22.36% of my investment.
Of course, things can still change for the better or for the worse, so we're keeping an eye on developments. The next summary will be published in 10 days.
I don't see any warming in relations between the US and Iran, so I don't think the American blockade of the Strait of Hormuz will be lifted by the end of June.
#Geopolítica
I recently discovered the field of predictions, it's interesting to try my hand at it ⚖️📈📉
In the photo, I will show the stakes as I opened them and briefly describe my thoughts on these events.
On June 1, there was news of a US attack on radar stations and drone control points in the areas of Haruk and Qeshm Island.
Then came the news that Iran had suspended negotiations with the US amid fighting in Lebanon.
The US finds it difficult to negotiate not only with its enemies, but also with its ally Israel, which takes action without prior consent.
There is also a forecast of a possible meeting of diplomatic groups from the US and Iran, but I did not include it in my work, because it is difficult to say anything here. The groups may or may not meet.
Therefore, I put NO on all predictions.
The situation in Israel is also tense, long-term hostilities require additional resources, including human resources, so the government is seeking to implement the possibility of recruiting Orthodox Jews into the army, but this attempt is being sharply criticized, which could lead to the resignation of the government.
In Ukraine's war against Russia, there is a relative lull in certain areas, so changes in positions are unlikely.
All predictions were fulfilled no more than a month ago.
Picking up two new badges from Abstract
✅The One Year Badge
1. If you have been with Abstract for a year, you have the opportunity to receive a distinction for it.
2. Go to Rewards and pick it up.
✅ The Mogger
1. Go to mog.onchainheroes and connect the Abstract wallet.
2. You need to look for the basement stairs to go up to level 5 and find the Mogger badge.
3. Each move costs energy. You have a total of 100 energy. To replenish it, break chests or defeat monsters - they drop energy.
4. Each round of the game costs $2.
@AbstractChain #AirdropHunter #Airdrops #Airdrop