Alembic Alpha

Distilling noise into Wealth.⚗️Delta is the vehicle; Time is the edge. High-conviction LEAPS playbook. Join the Lab below👇. Not financial advice; educational.

[Alembic Alpha @AlembicAlpha]

The System is Distilling as programmed with high CONVICTION. ⚗️ This equity curve is as good as it gets—We are outperforming the NASDAQ YTD. Understanding the underlying Quant is superior than tracking candles. Follow for insight #GOLD #StockMarket #Volatility #AlembicAlpha

[Alembic Alpha @AlembicAlpha]

Institutional Sector Rotation vs SPY right now:
🔥 Tech+ Consumer Discretionary firmly in LEADING quadrant 🟥 Energy still LAGGING
SPY +1.3% today at fresh all-time highs — growth sectors leading the run.
Classic rotation in a strong tape.
#SectorRotation #SPY #AlembicAlpha

[Alembic Alpha @AlembicAlpha]

NEWSFLASH: Trump says deal with Iran possible by Monday, Fox News reports. Trump sending mixed signals. Where do you think the market is headed at the open? #Alembicalpha #stockmarket #Trump #IranWar‌

[Alembic Alpha @AlembicAlpha]

NEWSFLASH: 🇺🇸 US Unemployment rate: 4.3% Expectations: 4.4%

US job growth in February has been revised down from -92,000 jobs to a total loss of -133,000 jobs.

Biggest monthly US job loss since Dec 2020.

The US labor market is WEAK! #AlembicAlpha #JOBS #GOODFRIDAYEVERYONE

[Alembic Alpha @AlembicAlpha]

Market Alembic Index update: mAI Momentum: -14.2 → rapid deterioration. Macro positive | Liquidity supportive Market sideways | System signal: DIVERGENT / VOLATILE Translation: the macro engine is weakening while liquidity holds. Env for Range-Bound, Headline-Driven Markets.

[Alembic Alpha @AlembicAlpha]

Market Alembic Index update:

mAI Momentum: -15.7 → rapid deterioration

Macro positive
Liquidity supportive
Market sideways
System signal: DIVERGENT / VOLATILE
Translation: the macro engine is weakening while liquidity holds. Recipe for range-bound, headline-driven markets.

[Alembic Alpha @AlembicAlpha]

Macro Check-In: End of Feb '26 – Market Neutral, VIX mod at 19.9, SPY closes marginally > 50 & 200 MA. Hawkish Fed posture (funds 3.64%, Unemp 4.3%). NonFP +0.1% MoM, IndProd +2.3% YoY, R-Sales +2.1% YoY. Neutral CPI/PCE. DXY 97.66, 10Y 3.96%. CAUTION—selective plays in leaders.

[Alembic Alpha @AlembicAlpha]

Sitting on Cash in times like these is also a trade. Think about it for a moment. Stay safe out there. If you must, you can get your feet wet in the top 3 sectors. See Image. #AlembicAlpha #stockmarkets #stockmarketnews

[Alembic Alpha @AlembicAlpha]

CPI: 2.4% vs 2.5% exp
Core: 2.5% (in line)
Inflation is cooling — near multi-year lows. Disinflation is real.
But it’s still above 2%.Labor and credit are softening, not collapsing.
The Question:
After being late in 2020–21…
does the Fed now risk staying hawkish too long?

[Alembic Alpha @AlembicAlpha]

REMINDER: 🇺🇸 US CPI data will be released today at 8:30am ET. Expected: 2.5% #CPI #stockmarketnews #stockmarkets #AlembicAlpha

[Alembic Alpha @AlembicAlpha]

CPI: 2.4% vs 2.5% exp
Core: 2.5% (in line)
Inflation is cooling — near multiyear lows. Disinflation is real. But still above 2%. This isn’t deflation.
Labor and credit are softening, not collapsing.
The Question: After being late in 20/21
Risk staying hawkish too long? #CPI

[Alembic Alpha @AlembicAlpha]

NWESFLASH: US unemployment came in at 4.3% Expectations: 4.4%. BULLISH or BEARISH? #unemployment #stockmarketnews #AlembicAlpha

[Alembic Alpha @AlembicAlpha]

Interest payments on US Public Debt to Foreign Holders hit a staggering record $292 billion in Q3 2025. Is not sustainable? I don't think so! #stockmarketnews #AlembicAlpha #USD #USdebt

[Alembic Alpha @AlembicAlpha]

AMAZON $AMZN 4Q EARNINGS: EPS $1.95, EST. $1.96 NET SALES $213.39B, EST. $211.49B OPER MARGIN 11.7%, EST. 11.7% SEES 1Q NET SALES $173.5B TO $178.5B, EST. $175.54B SEES 2026 CAPEX ABOUT $200B VS ESTIMATES $146B #amazon #AMZN #EarningsUpdate

[Alembic Alpha @AlembicAlpha]

Amazon has a reputation to keep... Can $AMZN save the #Stockmarket ? Can we finally see a positive earnings response on the $SPY ? #AlembicAlpha #Amazonearnings #EarningsSeason #EarningsUpdate

[Alembic Alpha @AlembicAlpha]

Q4/FY’25 results are in — It was a standout quarter.
$GOOGL surpassed $400B in annual revenue for the first time.
Full AI stack is driving momentum, with Gemini 3 seeing the fastest adoption of any model yet.

Entering 2026 strong. #Google #Google #goog #AlembicAlpha

[Alembic Alpha @AlembicAlpha]

NEWSFLASH: 🇺🇸 US House passes government funding bill to end shutdown. #shutdown #alembicalpha #StockMarketToday #SPY

[Alembic Alpha @AlembicAlpha]

Something Spooky going on? Does everybody have this on their #SPY chart? #spooky #Stock #Charts #QQQ

[Alembic Alpha @AlembicAlpha]

NEWSFLASH:🇺🇸🇮🇳President Trump announces trade deal with India. India agrees to reduce tariffs on the US to 0% and will stop buying Russian oil. In return, the US will reduce tariffs from 25% to 18%. India also commits to buying US oil. #tarrif #StockMarketIndia #StockMarketNews

[Alembic Alpha @AlembicAlpha]

NEWSFLASH:

🇺🇸 US ISM MANUFACTURING PMI IN AT 52.6 EXPECTED: 48.5. US manufacturing rebounds in Jan amid strong growth. First time in 12 mths that the PMI is above 50 & highest reading since Aug 2022, indicating growth in manufacturing, accounting for 10.1% of the economy.

[Alembic Alpha @AlembicAlpha]

It didn't take that long to materialize. However, this is gold we are talking about, Its not a dead asset. Notwithstanding, this flush turned an Alpha generator into a Beta Speculative asset momentarily. #GOLD is still a tier1 asset. By all means take profit but don't overreact.

[Alembic Alpha @AlembicAlpha]

Is this a short or a buy? Your guess is as good as mine. #GLD #AlembicAlpha #Investing #GOLD #StockMarketNews.