Olivia
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All Knowing
@AllKnowingEK
Stat-based player analysis | NBA • WNBA • MLB • | All content available in Discord.
Joined April 2025
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15 Followers
106 Posts
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FIRST PITCH WINNER @ +575 🚀🔥
Bryce Harper - Over 0.5 Home Runs | +575
Bryce Harper vs. Max Scherzer - Rogers Centre
Pitcher:
Max Scherzer is in the top 4% of pitchers for allowing HRs this season - one of the worst at preventing home runs. He’s also in the top 10% worst for xwOBA allowed (.410), xSLG allowed (.580), Barrel % allowed (14.9%), and ISO allowed (.333 vs. league .160). He’s consistently feeding hitters hard, optimal contact.
Pitch Mix vs. Harper:
Scherzer throws fastballs 46% and sliders 15%. Against RHP, Harper is elite on both:
- Fastballs: .844 SLG, .375 BA
- Sliders: .897 SLG, .345 BA
Both are far above league average.
Harper vs RHP in 2026:
- Top 1% for xwOBA (.431)
- Top 2% for xSLG (.431)
- Top 5% for ISO (.292 vs. league .160)
- Top 6% for Home Runs
- Top 10% for Barrel % (14.8%)
Weather:
Rogers Centre: 25.6°C (78°F), 8 mph left-to-right wind (blowing out to right field), roof open, +18% chance for a Home Run.
BLEDAY ROCKET IN THE 1st 🚀🚀
JJ Bleday - Home Run | +310
JJ Bleday vs Zac Gallen
Zac Gallen vs LHB:
Top 10% xSLG (.546)
Top 12% Hard Hit % (49.6%)
Top 15% xwOBA (.387)
Top 16% BA (.316)
JJ Bleday vs RHP in 2026:
Top 5% HR rate
Top 5% xwOBA (.402)
Top 5% xSLG (.560)
Top 3% ISO (.339)
Pitch Arsenal vs LHB:
41% Fastball: .400 BA, .617 SLG, .454 WOBA
25% Curveball: .275 BA, .450 SLG, .338 WOBA
9% Slider: .467 BA, .533 SLG, .487 WOBA
25% Changeup: average numbers
Bleday dominates this arsenal putting elite numbers against each pitch type:
Fastball: .521 WOBA, .846 SLG, .308 BA
Curveball: .496 WOBA, .778 SLG, .333 BA
Slider: .613 WOBA, 1.071 SLG, .357 BA
Weather:
Great American Ball Park: 27.2°C (81°F), 7mph wind out to centre field, roof open., +23% chance for a Home Run.
JJ Bleday - Home Run | +310
JJ Bleday vs Zac Gallen
Zac Gallen vs LHB:
Top 10% xSLG (.546)
Top 12% Hard Hit % (49.6%)
Top 15% xwOBA (.387)
Top 16% BA (.316)
JJ Bleday vs RHP in 2026:
Top 5% HR rate
Top 5% xwOBA (.402)
Top 5% xSLG (.560)
Top 3% ISO (.339)
Pitch Arsenal vs LHB:
41% Fastball: .400 BA, .617 SLG, .454 WOBA
25% Curveball: .275 BA, .450 SLG, .338 WOBA
9% Slider: .467 BA, .533 SLG, .487 WOBA
25% Changeup: average numbers
Bleday dominates this arsenal putting elite numbers against each pitch type:
Fastball: .521 WOBA, .846 SLG, .308 BA
Curveball: .496 WOBA, .778 SLG, .333 BA
Slider: .613 WOBA, 1.071 SLG, .357 BA
Weather:
Great American Ball Park: 27.2°C (81°F), 7mph wind out to centre field, roof open., +23% chance for a Home Run.
Corbin Carroll - Over 2.5 Total Bases | +175
- Over in 8/14 games vs LHB, averaging 3.6 TB.
- Over in 3/4 games vs LHP that rank top 40 for xwOBA to LHB.
Carroll vs LHP:
Top 1% for BA (.410)
Top 10% for ISO (.282)
Top 15% for xwOBA (.374) and xSLG (.499)
Lodolo vs LHB:
Top 5% for BA Allowed (.364)
Top 10% in xwOBA (.409)
Bottom 10% for Strikeouts (12.2%)
Against LHB, Lodolo’s pitch arsenal is compiled of 3 main pitch types:
44% Curveball: .313 BA, .313 SLG, .331 xwOBA
34% Sinker: .385 BA, .538 SLG, .459 xwOBA
20% Fastball: .500 BA, 1.250 SLG, .613 xwOBA
Carroll absolutely dominates this arsenal, putting elite numbers against each pitch type:
vs Curveball: .963 xwOBA, 1.667 SLG, .667 BA
vs Sinker: .646 xwOBA, .929 SLG, .571 BA
vs Fastball: .532 xwOBA, .532 SLG, .474 BA
Matchups don’t get much better than this. *Note that Corbin hasn’t faced many pitches vs LHP so far this season.
Bryce Harper - Over 0.5 Home Runs | +575
Bryce Harper vs. Max Scherzer - Rogers Centre
Pitcher:
Max Scherzer is in the top 4% of pitchers for allowing HRs this season - one of the worst at preventing home runs. He’s also in the top 10% worst for xwOBA allowed (.410), xSLG allowed (.580), Barrel % allowed (14.9%), and ISO allowed (.333 vs. league .160). He’s consistently feeding hitters hard, optimal contact.
Pitch Mix vs. Harper:
Scherzer throws fastballs 46% and sliders 15%. Against RHP, Harper is elite on both:
- Fastballs: .844 SLG, .375 BA
- Sliders: .897 SLG, .345 BA
Both are far above league average.
Harper vs RHP in 2026:
- Top 1% for xwOBA (.431)
- Top 2% for xSLG (.431)
- Top 5% for ISO (.292 vs. league .160)
- Top 6% for Home Runs
- Top 10% for Barrel % (14.8%)
Weather:
Rogers Centre: 25.6°C (78°F), 8 mph left-to-right wind (blowing out to right field), roof open, +18% chance for a Home Run.
Drake Baldwin - Over 1.5 HRR | -114
- Over in 71.7% of games and 72% against RHP. Averaging 3 HRR against RHP.
- Sheehans 3 most used pitches against LHB are: Fastball (41%, .450 BAA), Changeup (23%, .259 BAA), Slider (23%, .227 BAA) - combining for 87% of his arsenal.
- Against RHP throwing fastballs, Baldwin has a .323 BA, Changeups .286 BA, and Sliders .333 BA.
Perfect matchup against Sheehan for Baldwin to thrive tonight!
@propsmadness Malik Beasley 🔥🐐
3-Leg WNBA Combo | +500
Azura Stevens o12.5 PTS
Stevens is averaging 15.3 points with Sims out. IND rank bottom 3 for defending her dominant shooting zone and for defending her position. When facing teams ranked in the bottom half of the league for defending the restricted area (where she takes 41% of her shots), she is over in 100% of games, averaging 18.9 points. In both H2H games this season, Stevens has scored 20+ points, averaging 22 across the two. When facing teams in the bottom half for defending her position, she is over in 90.9% of games (averaging 18.1 points).
Kelsey Mitchell o2.5 3PM
LAS rank second to last for 3PA allowed and bottom three for DefRTG, defending her dominant shooting zone, and defending her position. When facing teams ranked in the bottom half of the league for DefRTG she is over in 100% of games (averaging 4 made threes). Against teams ranked bottom 5 for defending her position, she is over in 85.7% of games (3.7 3PM average), and over in 80% vs teams bottom 5 for defending beyond the arc - where 37% of her shots come from. LAS rank second in pace, and Mitchell is over in 77.8% of games vs teams ranked in the top half of the league for pace. She is also over in both H2H games this season, averaging 3.5 threes. All stats without Clark and Bonner active.
Rickea Jackson u3.5 REB
Jackson is under 3.5 rebounds in 66.7% of games this season. IND rank bottom 3 for rebounds allowed and bottom half of the league in overall defense. When facing teams ranked bottom 10 for rebounds allowed, she is under in 88.9% of games (averaging 2.6 rebounds), and under in 75% vs teams ranked bottom 10. She’s also under in both H2H games, recording just 2 rebounds in each. IND rank top 5 for pace - when facing teams in the top half of the league for pace, Jackson is under in 85.7% of games (averaging 2.9 rebounds).
All three in a great matchup to stay on track!
5-Leg MLB Hit Combo | +350
Xavier Edwards
Has a hit in 76% of games this season and 79% vs RHP, with a .293 average overall and .314 vs righties. He faces Jason Alexander, who allows a .327 average to LHB. Sinkers and changeups make up 71.4% of Alexander’s pitches - Edwards bats above .325 against both. With low strikeout rates on both sides and a perfect arsenal fit, Edwards is in a strong position to reach base today.
Jeremy Peña
Has a hit in 74% of games this season and 71% vs RHP, batting .322 overall and .318 vs righties. He faces Sandy Alcantara, who allows a .289 average to RHB. Peña bats above .275 against 78.8% of Alcantara’s arsenal - and above .370 for 46.1% of it. With elite matchup metrics and strong season form, Peña is in a perfect position for a hit today.
Nico Hoerner
Has a hit in 74% of games this season and 75% vs LHP, with a .293 average overall and .330 vs lefties, including .400 vs Lodolo. He faces Nick Lodolo, who uses a short arsenal of fastballs, curveballs, changeups, and sinkers - Hoerner bats above .295 against 78.4% of these pitch types, and over .325 for 56.8%. Across 16 plate appearances vs Lodolo, Hoerner has 6 hits and 0 strikeouts. With a low 5.7% strikeout rate vs LHP and a strong track record in this matchup, he’s in a prime spot to reach base today.
Shohei Ohtani
Has a hit in 73% of games vs RHP. .271 avg, .264 vs RHP and .286 vs Gray. Facing Sonny Gray, a pitcher allowing a .269 avg. Gray has a diverse arsenal which Ohtani handles well, batting above .275 for 92.2% of his arsenal - elite numbers covering every pitch he should see today. Across 8 plate appearances Ohtani has had 2 hits vs Gray; Ohtani’s previous success paired with his skill against Grays arsenal should lead to him getting a hit tonight.
Will Smith
Has a hit in 71% of games vs RHP. .325 avg, .338 vs RHP and .333 vs Gray. Facing Sonny Gray, a pitcher allowing a .296 avg to RHB. Gray has a diverse arsenal which Smith dominates heavily, batting above .300 for 82.3% of Gray’s pitch types, with 41.2% of that above .410. Smith also has two hits against Gray in only 6 previous plate appearances - the history and elite matchup leave no doubt that he will reach base tonight.
All hitters in prime position tonight!
✅ WNBA Combo comes in.
No doubt with that one - all daily insights are free in the Discord: https://t.co/ll80HXQM40
3-Leg WNBA Combo | +450
Brittney Sykes
- ATL rank last for 3PA allowed and second for defending her position. This season, Sykes has hit two threes in only 12.5% of games. When facing teams ranked in the bottom half of the league for 3PA allowed, she is under in 100% of games (averaging 0.5 made threes). She has faced ATL three times this season and stayed under in all three - with two of those games not even having two 3PA.
Kahleah Copper
- Copper has two threes in 72.7% of games this season. CHI rank top 3 for 3PA allowed, last for defending her position, and second to last for defending beyond the arc. When facing teams ranked in the top half of the league for 3PA allowed she is over in 83.3% of games. When facing teams ranked bottom 5 for defending her position she is over in 100% of games, averaging 2.5 made threes.
Satou Sabally
- Since returning from the All-Star break, Alyssa Thomas has dominated the rebounding share having 10+ in five straight games, while Sabally has struggled - averaging just 3 rebounds with no games going over 5. CHI rank bottom 3 for defensive rebounds allowed. With Copper active, when facing teams ranked bottom 8 for defensive rebounds allowed Sabally is under in every game (averaging 2.3 rebounds). With both Whitcomb and Copper active, she has stayed under 6 rebounds in 70% of games. CHI also rank 1st for defending her position - with Copper active, she is under in 100% of games vs top-10 positional defenses (2.3 rebounds average). She was under in the only H2H with Copper active. 73% of similar position players have also failed to reach 6 rebounds vs CHI.
Perfect matchup for these tonight, all three should play out as expected.
3-Leg WNBA Combo | +450
Brittney Sykes
- ATL rank last for 3PA allowed and second for defending her position. This season, Sykes has hit two threes in only 12.5% of games. When facing teams ranked in the bottom half of the league for 3PA allowed, she is under in 100% of games (averaging 0.5 made threes). She has faced ATL three times this season and stayed under in all three - with two of those games not even having two 3PA.
Kahleah Copper
- Copper has two threes in 72.7% of games this season. CHI rank top 3 for 3PA allowed, last for defending her position, and second to last for defending beyond the arc. When facing teams ranked in the top half of the league for 3PA allowed she is over in 83.3% of games. When facing teams ranked bottom 5 for defending her position she is over in 100% of games, averaging 2.5 made threes.
Satou Sabally
- Since returning from the All-Star break, Alyssa Thomas has dominated the rebounding share having 10+ in five straight games, while Sabally has struggled - averaging just 3 rebounds with no games going over 5. CHI rank bottom 3 for defensive rebounds allowed. With Copper active, when facing teams ranked bottom 8 for defensive rebounds allowed Sabally is under in every game (averaging 2.3 rebounds). With both Whitcomb and Copper active, she has stayed under 6 rebounds in 70% of games. CHI also rank 1st for defending her position - with Copper active, she is under in 100% of games vs top-10 positional defenses (2.3 rebounds average). She was under in the only H2H with Copper active. 73% of similar position players have also failed to reach 6 rebounds vs CHI.
Perfect matchup for these tonight, all three should play out as expected.
2-Leg WNBA Combo | +150
Courtney Williams u11.5 RA
- ATL rank 1st for defending her position and bottom 5 for both assists allowed and rebounds allowed. With Collier and McBride active, when facing teams ranked in the top half of the league for defending her position she is under in 83.3% of games this season. When facing teams ranked bottom 8 for both rebounds and assists allowed, she is under in 80% of games (averaging 9.4 RA). She was under in the only H2H game, and 87% of similar players also failed to reach their RA line.
Napheesa Collier u1.5 3PM
- With McBride active, she has failed to cover 1.5 3PM in 75% of games this season. ATL rank last for 3PA allowed and 5th for defending her position. When facing teams ranked bottom 9 for 3PA allowed she is under in 83.3% of games this season (averaging 0.8 made threes). When facing teams ranked bottom 9 for DefRTG (ATL rank 5th), she is also under in 83.3% of games.
Perfect matchup for these two to stay under the mark!
3-Leg WNBA Combo | +325
Azura Stevens o13.5 PTS
- CON rank last for DefRTG, and for defending her DPT and DSZ. They also rank 1st for PITP allowed and bottom 5 for defending her position. Without Sims, she is over 13.5 in 80% of games when facing the bottom half of the league for defending her DPT. Without Sims, she is over in 100% of games when facing teams ranked bottom 10 for DefRTG (averaging 18.9 points), over in 100% vs teams ranked top 5 for PITP allowed (20.3 points average), and over in 87.5% of games when facing teams ranked in the bottom half for defending her position. She had 21 points in the only H2H this season. CON have the worst defence in the league and Steven’s is in perfect position to take advantage of that today.
Dearica Hamby 7+ REB & 3+ AST
- Has 7 rebounds in 72.7% of games without Sims active. CON rank 1st for rebounds allowed – when facing teams ranked in the top half of the league for rebounds allowed she is over in 83.3% of games (averaging 8 rebounds), and when facing teams ranked top 4 she is over in 100%. She had 7 rebounds in the only H2H this season. Perfect matchup for Hamby today, she should thrive with overall RA today.
- Has 3 assists in 72.7% of games without Sims active. CON rank 1st for assists allowed and PITP allowed, and bottom 3 for defending her position. When facing teams ranked top 12 for assists allowed she is over in 100% of games. When facing teams ranked bottom 12 for defending her position she is over in 100% too. The same holds when facing teams ranked bottom 12 for DefRTG - over in 100%. She had 4 assists in the only H2H game.
Great matchup for these two tonight!
5-Leg MLB Combo | +320
Jose Ramirez
- Ramirez has a hit in 72% of games vs RHP, batting .295 overall and .283 against right-handed pitching. Facing Tomoyuki Sugano, who allows a .272 AVG to left-handed batters and features a very diverse arsenal - Ramirez bats above .300 against over 70.7% of his pitch types. With low strikeout rates on both sides, Ramirez has every opportunity to reach base today.
Gunnar Henderson
- Henderson has a hit in 72% of games vs RHP, batting .280 overall, .311 vs righties, and .500 vs Bibee. Facing Tanner Bibee, who allows a .262 AVG to left-handed hitters and features a mixed arsenal. Henderson bats .324 vs fastballs (27% of Bibee’s mix), and above .270 vs both sinkers and changeups, which account for another 30.4%. The remainder of Bibee’s pitches are cutters and sliders - Henderson still bats above .240 against both, making this a strong matchup across the board.
Xavier Edwards
- Edwards has a hit in 76% of games this season and 80% vs RHP, batting .289 overall and .316 vs righties. Facing Randy Vasquez, who allows a .272 AVG to left-handed hitters and features a mixed arsenal. 27.1% of his pitches are cutters - Edwards bats an elite .560 against them. Sinkers and curveballs make up 29.6% of Vasquez’s mix, with Edwards batting above .280 against both. He also bats .250 vs fastballs, which account for 21.1%. Paired with low strikeout rates on both sides, Edwards is in a strong spot to record a hit today.
Elly De La Cruz
- Has a hit in 73% of games vs RHP, batting .281 overall, .303 vs righties, and .364 vs Irvin. Facing Jake Irvin, who allows a .255 AVG to left-handed batters and relies primarily on fastballs, curveballs, and sinkers - making up 84.1% of his arsenal. Cruz bats above .310 against all three pitch types. With Irvin’s focused pitch mix, Cruz is well-positioned to reach base today.
CJ Abrams
- Abrams has a hit in 76% of games vs RHP, batting .283 overall and .274 against righties. Facing Brady Singer, who allows a .250 AVG and throws a compact arsenal of sinkers, sliders, fastballs, and cutters. Singer uses sinkers 40.6% of the time - Abrams bats .300 against them. Sliders and fastballs make up another 48.6% of Singer’s mix, and Abrams bats above .270 on both. The remaining 10.8% are cutters, which Abrams crushes with a .400 AVG. He profiles extremely well in this matchup, producing across every pitch type Singer relies on.
All batters in prime position to reach base today!
4-Leg WNBA Combo | +500
Sonia Citron o9.5 PTS
- Citron has scored 10+ points in 85.7% of games this season. LAS rank bottom 5 across all key defensive metrics against her. When facing teams ranked bottom 5 for defending her DPT, she is over in 100% of games; when facing teams ranked bottom 10 for defending her position, she is over in 100% of games; and when facing teams in the bottom half of the league for DefRTG, she is over in 92.9% of games.
Brittney Sykes o3.5 AST
- Sykes has 4 assists in 77.8% of games this season. The Sparks rank top 3 for assists allowed overall and top 3 for assists allowed from Sykes’ dominant assist zone. When facing teams ranked top 5 for assists allowed, she is over in every game this season. When facing teams in the top half of the league for PITP allowed, she is over in 90% of games this season (LAS rank top 3 for PITP allowed).
Rickea Jackson u3.5 REB
- Under this in 68.7% of games this season. WAS rank bottom 3 for rebounds allowed – when facing teams ranked in the bottom half of the league she is under in 100% of games (averaging 1.5 rebounds). WAS also rank top 5 for defending her position, and when facing teams ranked top 9 for defending her position she is under in 88.9% of games this season (averaging 2 rebounds).
Dearica Hamby u26.5 PRA
- WAS rank top 5 across all defensive metrics against Hamby. When facing teams ranked bottom 8 for defending her DPT, she is under in 85.7% of games without Sims. Hamby shoots 71% from the restricted area, where WAS rank 4th defensively – she is under in 85.7% of games when facing teams ranked top 10 for defending the restricted area. WAS also rank bottom 3 for both AST Allowed and REB Allowed. 77.8% of similar position players failed to exceed 27 PRA.
Great matchup for these today!
3-Leg WNBA Combo | +160
Azura Stevens 10+ PTS
- Over in 80% of games this season with Jackson active. CON rank last in DefRTG, DPT defense, and DSZ defense, and rank bottom 5 for defending her position. When facing teams in the top half of the league for DefRTG she is over in 100% of games (averaging 17.3 points); when facing teams top half of the league for PITP allowed she is over in 100% (17.4 points avg); and when facing teams ranked bottom 5 for defending her position, she is also over in 100% of games.
Dearica Hamby 7+ REB
- With Jackson active, she is over this in 73.3% of games. CON rank 1st for rebounds allowed, and last for DefRTG and defending her position. Hamby is over in 100% of games when facing teams ranked top 5 for rebounds allowed, and over in 75% of games vs teams ranked bottom 5 for defending her position.
Kelsey Plum 5+ AST
- Kelsey is over this in 78.6% of games this season with Rickea Jackson active. CON rank second to last for defending her position, last for DefRTG, and are also top 3 for assists allowed and PITP allowed. With Jackson active, when facing teams in the top half of the league for assists allowed she is over 5 in 100% of games; when facing teams ranked bottom 5 for defending her position, she is over in 100% as well.
Everything lines up well today across role and matchup data!
✅ MLB +225 Combo comes in with ease!
Posted earlier on X and in the Discord with everything else for today;
Join here for free: https://t.co/VKtwewuDiQ
4-Leg MLB Combo | +225
J.P. Crawford
- Has a hit in 73% of games this season vs RHP, batting .286 overall, .314 vs righties, and .333 vs Stroman. Facing Marcus Stroman, who allows a .292 AVG to left-handed hitters. Crawford bats above .250 against 80.6% of Stroman’s arsenal - and over .275 against 50.3% of it.
Chandler Simpson
- Has a hit in 77% of games this season and 89% vs RHP, batting .310 overall and .308 vs righties. Facing Walker Buehler, who allows a .333 AVG to left-handed hitters. Simpson bats above .390 against 64.6% of Buehler’s arsenal - elite numbers that set him up well to record a hit today.
CJ Abrams
- Has a hit in 70% of games this season and 76% vs RHP, batting .287 overall, .282 vs righties, and .385 vs Mikolas. Facing Miles Mikolas, who allows a .295 AVG to left-handed hitters. Mikolas uses a mixed arsenal - Abrams bats above .285 against over 83.1% of his pitch types, and holds a low 7.7% strikeout rate against him.
Brendan Donovan
- Has a hit in 72% of games this season and 83% vs RHP, batting .294 overall and .341 vs righties. Facing Michael Soroka, who allows a .254 AVG. Donovan bats above .400 against 53.6% of Soroka’s arsenal and .250 vs sliders, which make up 35.7% of his pitches - giving him a .250+ average against 89.3% of Soroka’s pitch mix.
All these hitters in a great spot today!
4-Leg MLB Combo | +225
J.P. Crawford
- Has a hit in 73% of games this season vs RHP, batting .286 overall, .314 vs righties, and .333 vs Stroman. Facing Marcus Stroman, who allows a .292 AVG to left-handed hitters. Crawford bats above .250 against 80.6% of Stroman’s arsenal - and over .275 against 50.3% of it.
Chandler Simpson
- Has a hit in 77% of games this season and 89% vs RHP, batting .310 overall and .308 vs righties. Facing Walker Buehler, who allows a .333 AVG to left-handed hitters. Simpson bats above .390 against 64.6% of Buehler’s arsenal - elite numbers that set him up well to record a hit today.
CJ Abrams
- Has a hit in 70% of games this season and 76% vs RHP, batting .287 overall, .282 vs righties, and .385 vs Mikolas. Facing Miles Mikolas, who allows a .295 AVG to left-handed hitters. Mikolas uses a mixed arsenal - Abrams bats above .285 against over 83.1% of his pitch types, and holds a low 7.7% strikeout rate against him.
Brendan Donovan
- Has a hit in 72% of games this season and 83% vs RHP, batting .294 overall and .341 vs righties. Facing Michael Soroka, who allows a .254 AVG. Donovan bats above .400 against 53.6% of Soroka’s arsenal and .250 vs sliders, which make up 35.7% of his pitches - giving him a .250+ average against 89.3% of Soroka’s pitch mix.
All these hitters in a great spot today!
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