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Salute to the people who were invested in the market from 1992 to 2003.
NIFTY gave 0% returns for those who invested at the top.
But then in the next 4 years. It delivered 3.5x returns making an overall compounding to 14.25% for the period
Academy Announcement. Exclusively for anyone who wants to pursue Swing Trading either part time or full time.
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Last time USDINR broke out in July 2025, it rallied nearly 12% from ₹86 to ₹96.
Now it’s breaking out again amid rising rates and inflation. Even half the previous rally takes USDINR close to ₹100 next year. Calculation will be easy 😂
Looking at the market from the bottom up I’m seeing strength across manufacturing stocks. Multiple names are showing relative strength especially in auto ancillaries and industrial machinery.
India’s manufacturing PMI has picked up too. The stock action and the broader data seem to be telling a similar story.
PMI source: https://t.co/77LxWKqowk
Smit Machchhar, an Indian Flydubai captain, was stabbed by an Omani terrorist in the cockpit.
Despite his injuries and being barely conscious, he helped save 180+ lives.
Now, he is fighting for his life.
Let us pray for this hero tonight. ❤���🙏🏻
At this point NIFTY 50 is just falling brutally. Every time we see some recovery, it gets sold into again.
US 10Y Bond Yield jumped 15 bps to 5.11% and NIFTY again got hammered down today.
Personally, I don’t see any reason to add more money to large-cap ETFs or Mutual Funds which that are mostly giving dividends or payouts (can't even beat inflation).
I am focusing on aggressive funds, selectively chosen equities and explore opportunities in the broader markets instead of blindly buying the index.
And after all this volatility, we still pay STT, STCG and LTCG.
Risk bhi humara. Loss bhi humara. Tax bhi humara.
Life of the Middle/Affluent Class in India
> Earn money
> Pay Income Tax
Then try to live normally:
> Buy an Air Purifier for clean air
> Buy a Water Purifier for clean water
> Pay for Health Insurance
>Pay Tolls + vehicle expenses
> Adjust to E20 fuel
Finally save some money?
> Invest it
> Pay STT
> Pay Stamp Duty
> Pay Transaction Charges
> Pay GST on applicable charges
> Make a profit
> Pay STCG / LTCG
Then you read about ₹22,000+ crore of admitted claims settled for ₹6.25 crore.
Meanwhile, it often feels like foreign policy and India’s global image is just getting more attention than everyday middle-class problems.
Then spend whatever is left:
> Buy something
> GST says hi 👋
> and now this UPI charges
Earn → Tax → Survive → Invest → Tax → Spend → Tax.
And the middle class just keeps going.
📊 Sector Strength: Nifty 50 vs Nifty 500 Benchmark
Compare sectors against Nifty 50, and many of them look strong (outperforming).But compare the same sectors against Nifty 500, and far fewer look strong.
Why the difference?
Because Nifty 500 includes midcaps and smallcaps, not just large-caps. And right now, midcaps and smallcaps are the ones delivering the returns, while large-caps are the weak, declining part of the market.
So the Nifty 500 is a tougher benchmark to beat right now, its own strength is being pulled up by the broader market. Against the weaker Nifty 50, more sectors clear the bar. Against the stronger Nifty 500, only the genuinely strong ones do.
The takeaway: measure relative strength against the broader market (Nifty 500), not just the large-caps. It shows you which sectors are truly leading. 📈
📉 You will never catch the exact bottom and the exact top. Stop trying.
Real example from my own trade. I booked at 2,171 and 2,305. Then it ran to 2,370 without me.
On paper it looks like I "left ~15k on the table" by exiting too early. But here's the truth most people miss:
Nobody catches the bottom AND the top consistently. Nobody. If you build your whole game around perfect timing, you're setting yourself up to fail.
The real skill isn't timing. It's riding momentum.
You enter when the setup confirms, you let the move work, and you capture the fat middle of the trend, not the last rupee.
Yes, I exited before the top this time. Other times I'll hold too long and give some back. That averages out. What matters is that I booked a real profit by following my system, not my emotions.
The trap is the opposite mindset, obsessing over the perfect exit:
Sell too early and you regret missing the run, or
Hold too long waiting for "just a little more," the move reverses, and now you're frozen by price fear, hoping it comes back.
The mindset:
Catch the momentum. Grow your capital inside the trend. Book when your system says so, not when your ego says "aur upar jaayega." A booked profit is real. A perfect exit is a fantasy.
Missing 15k by exiting early is not a loss. It's the cost of a disciplined exit, and that discipline keeps you in the game long term.
📲 Real trade psychology like this, daily on Telegram. Join, link in bio. Follow for more.
#PARKHOSPS - Might blast soon!
Detailed setup breakdown - Multi-Time Frame👇
Looking great on Daily (STF) - Took a support and then 2 green candles trying to turn 10MA more than 20MA. If there's another candle which gives a good move and then contracts near the highs. It will be a good sign. Entering at this breakout is an early entry but the stop loss would be 5-6% as per the demand zone.
Weekly (TTF)- Same Pattern formed earlier but right now it is looking bit extended on the Monthly. As per the weekly, there are contractions happening near the highs with keeping 10MA as the support
Hourly and 15M (ETF) - Need a strong breakout with volumes on the Hourly or the 15 minute chart to have an early entry but that candle should not give a very good expansion as that will just create a high and prices might pull back. Keeping in mind and checking Strong Relative Volumes in the starting
Industry - Hospital/Nursing Management Industry. The Top 14 stocks of the industry on M-Cap basis shows strength than the benchmark (dotted line - NIFTY 500) and the industry taking support from 20 indicating a reversal as you can see on the chart.
Would you take this trade and what is your view on this? I am giving it 8/10 conviction score.
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📊 On Selling Early
I may be wrong, but here's what I've learned 👇
Selling 60-70% of your position is almost always fine when you have strong conviction. Booking a good chunk into strength is never the real mistake.
The mistake is what comes after, the regret. The moment you start beating yourself up for "selling too early" and missing the rest of the move, you begin chasing. You start trying to catch the exact bottom and the exact top.
Here's the truth: you can only catch one thing. Nobody catches both.
So we don't try. We focus on one thing only, the momentum. Ride the meat of the move, book into strength, and let go of the regret. The regret costs more than the early exit ever will.
🚫 3 Swing Trading Misconceptions
1️⃣ "Setups are fully market-condition dependent"
Not true. A good setup stays good. In weak markets you just trade fewer and smaller and more selectively. Adjust your aggression but don't abandon the setup.
2️⃣ "Small R, High R is the only way to grow"
Nope. Consistent 2R-3R winners compound just as well and often more reliably than always chasing the 10R home run. You can always trail the rest after booking some at your target.
3️⃣ "A 30% win rate is fine"
That's just an excuse people use to justify their stop-losses getting hit. Most of them say "I trade 4R-5R that's why my win rate is low" and then make 20% a year. 🤣 A poor win rate isn't a flex.
Lesson: Most trading "rules" are situational not absolute. Know why before you follow. 📊
Very few stocks are giving clean follow-through right now.
So I'm playing tight, strict SL, defined position size, and only doing retest buys, that too only in strong sectors.
No forcing trades in a market like this. Patience and process over activity. 📊
FII Equity Flows: A Decade in One Chart 📊
8 years of building… erased in 17 months.
A genuine plot twist in Indian equities:
🟢 100 months (Sep ’16 – Dec ’24): FIIs patiently built up +$45.91 Bn
🔴 17 months (Jan ’25 – Jul ’26): A massive outflow wave swept out –$46.00 Bn
The result? A net 10-year tally sitting in the red at –$156 Mn.
But here’s the twist, August has already brought +$1.7 Bn back in, in just two weeks. 🚀
Is the tide turning? One to watch. 👀
Right now the market isn't giving clean follow-throughs or strong breakouts, only a handful are working. Even when a breakout does trigger, it often comes right back the next day.
In this kind of environment, continuation and retest buying is the only thing that makes sense, chasing fresh breakouts is getting punished.
Spending next week scanning for better setups, and I'm only tracking stocks from relatively strong sectors. A bullish chart from a weak or average-strength sector rarely works, the real moves come from sectors that are outperforming.
Patience over force. 📈
Ather Energy has reported a solid Q1, with profitability improving as the company scales up.
The revenue growth came from three main drivers: vehicle deliveries jumped 80.5% year on year, pricing improved, and non-vehicle revenue moved higher. Adjusted EBITDA turned positive, with margins reaching 0.8%, and the adjusted gross margin expanded by 82.3% year on year.
On the demand side, momentum looks strong. Pre-orders are up 158% year on year, crossing 1.5 lakh units. Looking further out, the AURIC plant is set to start Phase 1 production in Q3 FY27, and the first scooter built on the new EL platform will be revealed on 29 August 2026.
All in all, it reads as a healthy quarter. Strong demand, better operating leverage, and the capacity expansion coming up all point to Ather stepping into its next phase of growth.
#QPOWER - Long Term View.
I think on the Technical Part. It is looking 10/10 and if you go deep dive on the Industry Part- Taking Electrical Products top stocks as Equal weight. It is taking bounce back from its 50ema and on the W - Taking bounce from 10ema. So a next rally can for sure come from here.
Fundamentals - Looking Great. Promoter Ownership stands at 73.91 being consistent for 3 years. I'm bullish on this
Not a recommendation