๐๐ผ๐ ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ป ๐ฒ๐๐ฟ๐ผ ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฎ ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐๐ถ๐น๐ถ๐ฒ๐ป๐ฐ๐ฒ ๐ฐ๐ผ๐บ๐ฒ ๐๐ป๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐๐๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ถ๐ป?
Openness and energy dependence leave the economy exposed to external shocks. Even after reducing reliance on Russian gas, Europeโs move to liquified natural gas (LNG) and its overall strong energy import dependency keeps it structurally exposed to disruptions in global energy markets, with varying degrees of vulnerability across euro area countries.
The ESMโs newly released flagship publication on macro-financial risks to the euro area economy, the ๐๐๐ฟ๐ผ ๐๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฎ ๐ฆ๐๐ฎ๐ฏ๐ถ๐น๐ถ๐๐ ๐ช๐ฎ๐๐ฐ๐ต, takes a closer look in Chapter 1 how prolonged geopolitical tensions and a possible re-escalation in the Middle East could push energy prices higher and keep uncertainty elevated.
๐๐ถ๐ด๐ต๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐ฒ๐ป๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ด๐ ๐ฝ๐ฟ๐ถ๐ฐ๐ฒ๐ ๐ฐ๐ผ๐๐ฝ๐น๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐๐ถ๐๐ต ๐๐ป๐ฐ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐๐ฎ๐ถ๐ป๐๐ ๐ฎ๐ณ๐ณ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ผ๐ป๐ผ๐บ๐ ๐๐ต๐ฟ๐ผ๐๐ด๐ต ๐๐ฒ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐น ๐บ๐๐๐๐ฎ๐น๐น๐ ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ถ๐ป๐ณ๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฐ๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐ฐ๐ต๐ฎ๐ป๐ป๐ฒ๐น๐:
๐น Higher energy prices weaken real incomes and terms of trade,
๐น If these feed into wage formation and price-setting dynamics, inflation could remain elevated for longer,
๐น Uncertainty weighs on confidence and delays investment, and
๐น Financial conditions tighten as risk appetite deteriorates.
๐ฐ Read the related blog on Chapter 1: https://t.co/SNfjnldv9o
๐ Read the executive summary: https://t.co/MJITCnNHND
๐ Bookmark this post to download the full report: https://t.co/F4hjvJ7IQK
#EASW #ESMeuro
๐๐ฎ๐ป ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฒ๐๐ฟ๐ผ ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฎ ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐บ๐ฎ๐ถ๐ป ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐๐ถ๐น๐ถ๐ฒ๐ป๐ ๐ฎ๐ ๐ฒ๐ ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ป๐ฎ๐น ๐ฟ๐ถ๐๐ธ๐ ๐ถ๐ป๐๐ฒ๐ป๐๐ถ๐ณ๐ ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐ณ๐ถ๐๐ฐ๐ฎ๐น ๐ฏ๐๐ณ๐ณ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ฑ๐ฒ?
In a new ESM Blog titled "Resilience under strain: The euro area is exposed to risks from Middle East conflict and US asset markets", ESM Chief Economist @r_strauch explores the findings of the Euro Area Stability Watch (EASW).
The euro area has proven resilient to past shocks, but rising threats to security, energy disruptions and financial market volatility are placing increasing strain on growth and public finances.
The blog highlights key vulnerabilities facing the euro area, including exposure to geopolitical tensions and energy supply disruptions, as well as close financial linkages with the United States.
The core message of the analysis is clear: as risks intensify, weaker growth and ever stronger demand for public support can make difficult policy choices unavoidable. Determined fiscal adjustments will be necessary to preserve the credibility of the European fiscal framework.
At the same time, the blog stresses that when room for manoeuvre is limited, the quality of policy choices becomes critical. Rebuilding fiscal buffers, spending efficiently, and advancing structural reforms will be as essential as ever to strengthen the euro area's resilience to future crises.
๐ Read the blog: https://t.co/2Cf4hqOzW3
#EASW #ESMeuro
๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐๐ฟ๐ผ ๐๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฎ ๐ฆ๐๐ฎ๐ฏ๐ถ๐น๐ถ๐๐ ๐ช๐ฎ๐๐ฐ๐ต ๐ถ๐ ๐ป๐ผ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐ฎ๐ถ๐น๐ฎ๐ฏ๐น๐ฒ.
Today, the European Stability Mechanism (ESM) launches the Euro Area Stability Watch, its new publication on euro area financial stability.
The report provides an annual assessment of macro-financial risks and sovereign vulnerabilities in the euro area, examining whether the region can sustain its resilience amid intensifying geopolitical tensions, growing external uncertainties, and diminishing fiscal buffers.
Among its key findings, the publication highlights:
โข The growing risks posed by prolonged geopolitical tensions and a potential abrupt repricing of US assets.
โข Vulnerabilities in parts of the financial system that could amplify the impact of future shocks.
โข The importance of maintaining credible fiscal policies as financing conditions become more challenging.
โข How well-designed defence spending can strengthen security while mitigating part of its long-term fiscal cost through stronger growth and innovation.
๐ Press release: https://t.co/bPr8tufzrf
๐ Full report: https://t.co/92EWSwMEaP
๐๐ฎ๐ป ๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ณ๐ฒ๐ป๐ฐ๐ฒ ๐ถ๐ป๐ป๐ผ๐๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป ๐๐๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ป๐ด๐๐ต๐ฒ๐ป ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐ถ๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ผ๐ป๐ผ๐บ๐?
The upcoming ESM Euro Area Stability Watch examines the economic implications of rising defence expenditures in Europe.
The report highlights why the design of defence spending matters and how it can help strengthen both security and economic resilience across Europe.
๐ ๐๐๐ฎ๐ถ๐น๐ฎ๐ฏ๐น๐ฒ ๐ผ๐ป ๐ฒ ๐๐๐น๐ ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฒ
๐๐ผ๐ ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐๐ถ๐น๐ถ๐ฒ๐ป๐ ๐ถ๐ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฒ๐๐ฟ๐ผ ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฎ ๐๐ต๐ฒ๐ป ๐ป๐ฒ๐ ๐๐ต๐ผ๐ฐ๐ธ๐ ๐ต๐ถ๐?
The new ๐๐ฆ๐ ๐๐๐ฟ๐ผ ๐๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฎ ๐ฆ๐๐ฎ๐ฏ๐ถ๐น๐ถ๐๐ ๐ช๐ฎ๐๐ฐ๐ต report, out next week, will provide new analysis on this question.
The new ESM Euro Area Stability Watch report, out next week, will provide new analysis on this question.
The euro area has remained resilient through a series of recent crises, but that resilience is increasingly under strain. Rising geopolitical tensions, higher energy prices, and global financial market volatility could have significant effects on growth, inflation, and public finances.
The report examines how these risks could interact and how vulnerabilities in the financial system may amplify their impact. It also highlights the importance of policy credibility as fiscal space diminishes in many countries.
The full analysis and key findings will be available next week.
๐ ๐๐๐ฎ๐ถ๐น๐ฎ๐ฏ๐น๐ฒ ๐ผ๐ป ๐ฒ ๐๐๐น๐ ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฒ
๐ข๐ป ๐ฒ ๐๐๐น๐, ๐๐ฒ ๐๐ถ๐น๐น ๐ฝ๐๐ฏ๐น๐ถ๐๐ต ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐๐ฟ๐ผ ๐๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฎ ๐ฆ๐๐ฎ๐ฏ๐ถ๐น๐ถ๐๐ ๐ช๐ฎ๐๐ฐ๐ต, ๐ฎ ๐ป๐ฒ๐ ๐๐๐ฒ๐ฝ ๐ถ๐ป ๐ต๐ผ๐ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐ฆ๐ ๐ฐ๐ผ๐ป๐๐ฟ๐ถ๐ฏ๐๐๐ฒ๐ ๐๐ผ ๐ณ๐ถ๐ป๐ฎ๐ป๐ฐ๐ถ๐ฎ๐น ๐๐๐ฎ๐ฏ๐ถ๐น๐ถ๐๐.
As part of the ESMโs crisis prevention mandate, the report provides an annual assessment of risks to the euro area economy and examines whether resilience can be sustained as external risks intensify and fiscal buffers erode. It focuses on sovereign vulnerabilities and includes a dedicated analysis on the economic impact of increased defence spending.
Curious to learn more? The word cloud below offers a first glimpse of the themes and insights you can expect ๐
#EASW #ESMeuro
๐ก๐ฒ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ธ ๐๐ฒ ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐น๐ฎ๐๐ป๐ฐ๐ต๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐๐ฟ๐ผ ๐๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฎ ๐ฆ๐๐ฎ๐ฏ๐ถ๐น๐ถ๐๐ ๐ช๐ฎ๐๐ฐ๐ต
More than a new publication - itโs a new step in how the ESM contributes to financial stability.
#EASW provides a forward-looking view of macro-financial risks, with a focus on sovereign vulnerabilities, and includes new analysis on defence spending.
#ESMeuro
๐ง๐ผ๐ฑ๐ฎ๐, ๐๐๐น๐ด๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ถ๐ฎ ๐ต๐ฎ๐ ๐ผ๐ณ๐ณ๐ถ๐ฐ๐ถ๐ฎ๐น๐น๐ ๐ฏ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ผ๐บ๐ฒ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐๐ฟ๐ผ๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ป ๐ฆ๐๐ฎ๐ฏ๐ถ๐น๐ถ๐๐ ๐ ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ต๐ฎ๐ป๐ถ๐๐บโ๐ ๐ฎ๐ญ๐๐ ๐บ๐ฒ๐บ๐ฏ๐ฒ๐ฟ.
The ESM proudly welcomes Bulgaria as its newest Member. With the entry into force of the ESM Treaty for Bulgaria on 29 June 2026, the country has formally joined the ESM
Bulgariaโs membership completes the countryโs integration into the euro areaโs institutional architecture and reflects the solidarity at the heart of the European project.
Being part of the ESM provides access to the euro areaโs financial safety net, which strengthens a countryโs resilience, reassures international investors and provides access to emergency financing.
๐Learn more about Bulgariaโs accession:
โข Read our press release: https://t.co/m0yyoMVjPp
โข Visit our dedicated webpage: Bulgaria: https://t.co/bbpObB4Cfb
โข Explore our detailed explainer: https://t.co/o3bWNaEcDl
ESM Managing Director @pierregramegna addressed the European Parliamentโs ECON Committee today, presenting the ESM Annual Report 2025, which was submitted to the European Parliament.
He highlighted that the euro area and the ESM have remained resilient in an environment marked by geopolitical tensions, market volatility, and pressure on the multilateral order.
The ESM reported a record net profit of โฌ1.97 billion, boosting its reserves and strengthening its capacity to respond to market stress. With โฌ81 billion in paid-in capital and a lending capacity of โฌ500 billion, of which โฌ433 billion are currently available, the ESM provides a strong financial backstop, underpinning its triple-A rating and low-cost funding.
Beyond the results, Pierre Gramegna stressed that the ESM continues to be built on resilience, solidarity and credibility, with the capacity to act in support of euro area stability and help contain sovereign risks.
He also pointed to the evolving risk environment, with financial stability increasingly shaped by geopolitical, economic and financial shocks, and underlined the importance of ongoing discussions to further strengthen the ESMโs toolkit.
Finally, he welcomed that Bulgaria will join the ESM as its 21st Member on 29 June, reinforcing the euro areaโs financial architecture.
This exchange marked his first appearance before the ECON Committee under the Memorandum of Cooperation between the ESM and the European Parliament, which established a more structured framework for engagement.
#ESMeuro
ESM Managing Director @pierregramegna will hold today an exchange of views with the European Parliamentโs Committee on Economic and Monetary Affairs (ECON) in Brussels.
The discussion will focus on the ESMโs activities, including insights from its 2025 Annual Report, published on 11 June 2026. This exchange is part of the 2024 Memorandum of Cooperation (MoC) between the European Parliament and the ESM, which aims to deepen interinstitutional dialogue and cooperation.
๐ฅ Follow the livestream here: https://t.co/hq5a3pBR1s
๐ To learn more: https://t.co/k3w0aivEu0
In Rome, ESM MD @pierregramegna met with @Antonio_Tajani, Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Foreign Affairs, to discuss how to fully unlock the ESMโs potential as a key pillar of the euro areaโs financial stability architecture.
In Rome, ESM MD @pierregramegna met with Fabio Panetta, Governor of @bancaditalia, to exchange views on how to strengthen financial stability in the euro area amid geopolitical shocks.
They also discussed how digital finance can drive innovation and deeper integration across Europe.
At the #Eurogroup press conference, ESM MD @pierregramegna discussed the outcome of the ESM Board of Governors meeting, which took place earlier in the day at the ESM headquarters and was chaired for the first time by @Pierrakakis.
Pierre Gramegna said that the ESMโs financial results are a good illustration of its resilience. In 2025, the ESM recorded a net profit of โฌ2 billion, the best financial result since the institutionโs inception. This, he said, reflected a safe investment strategy that outperformed its benchmarks, despite a year marked by volatility and uncertainty.
Discussions focused on how the ESM can remain prepared in times of geopolitical turmoil and fragmentation and reviewed the progress the ESM has made in strengthening its crisis prevention role. Pierre Gragmegna was pleased to welcome @IMFNews Managing Director @KGeorgieva to the ESM for an exchange on current global challenges.
Pierre Gramega also reflected on another important milestone: welcoming Bulgaria, represented by Minister of Finance Galab Donev, as the ESMโs 21st Member. Following the completion of all procedural steps, Bulgaria will become a full member of the ESM before the end of the month.
#ESMeuro
2025 was loud. Geopolitical shocks. Fractures. Volatile markets.
Amidst it all, ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐ฆ๐ ๐ต๐ฒ๐น๐ฑ ๐ถ๐๐ ๐ฐ๐ผ๐๐ฟ๐๐ฒ.
In solidarity with its Members, the ESM continues to provide the assurance that when disruption comes, Europe has an institution ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ ๐๐ผ ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐.
RT @ESM_Press: ๐๐ฒ๐ ๐ต๐ถ๐ด๐ต๐น๐ถ๐ด๐ต๐๐ from todayโs #ESMBoG2026 doorstep
ESM Managing Director @pierregramegna and Eurogroup President @Pierrakakiโฆ
๐ ๐น๐ผ๐ผ๐ธ ๐ฏ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ธ ๐ฏ๐ฒ๐ณ๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐๐ฒ ๐บ๐ผ๐๐ฒ ๐ณ๐ผ๐ฟ๐๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฑ.
As we approach the 14th Annual Meeting of the ESM Board of Governors tomorrow, we invite you to revisit highlights since 2012.
From key milestones reached to memorable exchanges, the decisions and discussions behind these moments capture the journey so far.
We look forward to hashtag#ESMBoG2026 and to welcoming you soon at the ESM premises in Luxembourg.
๐ช๐ต๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐ถ๐ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐ต ๐๐ป๐ป๐๐ฎ๐น #๐๐ฆ๐ ๐๐ผ๐๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฒ ๐ ๐ฒ๐ฒ๐๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๏ฟฝ๏ฟฝ๐ฎ๐ธ๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐ฝ๐น๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ฒ ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐๐ต๐ฎ๐โ๐ ๐ผ๐ป ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฎ๐ด๐ฒ๐ป๐ฑ๐ฎ?
This Thursday, 11 June, the ESMโs highest decisionโmaking body, the Board of Governors, will meet in Luxembourg at the ๐๐ฆ๐ ๐ฝ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐บ๐ถ๐๐ฒ๐ - the correct answer to our recent poll - for its 14th Annual Meeting.
๐๐ด๐ฒ๐ป๐ฑ๐ฎ ๐ต๐ถ๐ด๐ต๐น๐ถ๐ด๐ต๐๐:
- Approval of the 2025 ESM Annual Report, including the annual accounts
- Reappointment of the external auditor
- Session on key global economic risks and policy responses - in conversation with the IMF Managing Director @KGeorgieva
Read more: https://t.co/DoP38uGUQ8
#ESMBoG2026
โTuesday, 9 Juneโ
Hybrid press briefings starting at:
15.00 โ #Eurogroup meeting of 11 June 2026
16.30 โ #Ecofin Council of 12 June 2026
Register via link ๐
https://t.co/fLQsbYZfiT
๐๐ผ๐ ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐๐ถ๐น๐ถ๐ฒ๐ป๐ ๐ถ๐ ๐๐๐ฝ๐ฟ๐๐ ๐ถ๐ป ๐๐ผ๐ฑ๐ฎ๐โ๐ ๐ฒ๐ป๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ด๐ ๐๐ต๐ผ๐ฐ๐ธ?
In an interview with @seitanidis for @politis_news newspaper, ESM Managing Director @pierregramegna speaks about the risks smaller, open economies face as the conflict in the Middle East drives higher energy prices and adds uncertainty to the economic outlook.
๐๏ธ The key point: ๐๐บ๐ฑ๐ณ๐ถ๐ด ๐ช๐ด ๐ฆ๐ฏ๐ต๐ฆ๐ณ๐ช๐ฏ๐จ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ช๐ด ๐ฑ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ช๐ฐ๐ฅ ๐ง๐ณ๐ฐ๐ฎ ๐ข ๐ด๐ต๐ณ๐ฐ๐ฏ๐จ๐ฆ๐ณ ๐ฑ๐ฐ๐ด๐ช๐ต๐ช๐ฐ๐ฏ: with budget ๐๐๐ฟ๐ฝ๐น๐๐๐ฒ๐, rapidly ๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐น๐ถ๐ป๐ถ๐ป๐ด public debt, and a ๐บ๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐๐ถ๐น๐ถ๐ฒ๐ป๐ banking sector.
At the same time, vulnerabilities remain. Energy dependence and potential spillovers to costs, inflation and tourism mean policies should stay prudent and well targeted, while continuing to reduce energy vulnerability over time.
๐ฃ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐ฝ๐ฎ๐๐ ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ต๐ถ๐ฒ๐๐ฒ๐บ๐ฒ๐ป๐๐, especially in financial-sector resilience, will be essential as challenges rise.
๐ฐ Read the interview:
English: https://t.co/JTfe7oF3LL
Greek: https://t.co/qZvU6tqyKF
#ESMeuro