AnalyticEFL

Home of League Two xG analytics.

For the parameters behind the data analysis provided see link.

💰Stake to date: £120
⬆️ Profit/Loss to date: +£127.50

[AnalyticEFL @AnalyticEFL]

Cheers 🍺

[AnalyticEFL @AnalyticEFL]

Gameweek 11 - Team to win 🚨

On the face it, Swindon and Cheltenham should be very even. Theyre 20th and 21st, but underlying numbers suggest Swindon are the much stronger side. Swindon are winning this one.

#bettingtips #STFC #SkyBetLeagueTwo

[AnalyticEFL @AnalyticEFL]

Gameweek 11 - Team to win 🚨

On the face it, Swindon and Cheltenham should be very even. Theyre 20th and 21st, but underlying numbers suggest Swindon are the much stronger side. Swindon are winning this one.

#bettingtips #STFC #SkyBetLeagueTwo

[AnalyticEFL @AnalyticEFL]

Tap in.

[AnalyticEFL @AnalyticEFL]

Game week 11 - Goalscorer nap 🚨

Alassana Jatta is a statistics machine. He has created 1.1 xG per 90 this season and has scored 5 goals from 7 games. At 5/2 he is unbelievable value.

#Notts #SkyBetLeagueTwo #BettingTips

[AnalyticEFL @AnalyticEFL]

Game week 11 - Goalscorer nap 🚨

Alassana Jatta is a statistics machine. He has created 1.1 xG per 90 this season and has scored 5 goals from 7 games. At 5/2 he is unbelievable value.

#Notts #SkyBetLeagueTwo #BettingTips

[AnalyticEFL @AnalyticEFL]

Gameweek 10 - Team to win nap 🚨

Carlisle have won both of their last two games on xG comfortably against good sides, but have gained 0 points.

ColU are a far weaker side on underlying performances, and expect a win for Carlisle United in this one.

#bettingtips #CUFC #ColU

[AnalyticEFL @AnalyticEFL]

Gameweek 10 - Goalscorer Nap 🚨

Cheltenham Town are a very leaky side defensively, conceding the 6th most xG and away at Barrow, expect more misery for The Robins.

Barrow will win this one comfortably, and Elliot Newby will score anytime.

#bettingtips #WeAreBarrow #CTFC

[AnalyticEFL @AnalyticEFL]

xG can't guarantee outcomes but it can predict future trends in results based on more accurate data around team performance than simply wins, draws and losses.

Another win 🎯

[AnalyticEFL @AnalyticEFL]

Gameweek 9 - Team to win 🚨

Gillingham fans won't be happy to see their high flying side not backed at home to perceptibly mediocre Grimsby, but beneath the surface Gills are set to fall.

🧵

#Gills #bettingtips #SkyBetLeagueTwo

[AnalyticEFL @AnalyticEFL]

Another hit. Who isn't following? 🎯

#bettingtips #MKDons

[AnalyticEFL @AnalyticEFL]

Gameweek 9 - Goalscorer nap 🚨

Given the underlying data behind Harrogate Town and Milton Keynes, the price offered on this bet must be a mistake.

Scott Lindsay's appointment at MK promised change, and no one is set to benefit more than Tommy Leigh. 🧵

#bettingtips #MKDons

[AnalyticEFL @AnalyticEFL]

@Cliff_In_Kent Not a Grimsby fan, just putting money where the data points.

[AnalyticEFL @AnalyticEFL]

Gameweek 9 - Team to win 🚨

Gillingham fans won't be happy to see their high flying side not backed at home to perceptibly mediocre Grimsby, but beneath the surface Gills are set to fall.

🧵

#Gills #bettingtips #SkyBetLeagueTwo

[AnalyticEFL @AnalyticEFL]

And Grimsby have the players and manager to mastermind a win here.

[AnalyticEFL @AnalyticEFL]

Gills are top of the league, so this may come as a big surprise, however Gillinghams lofty height may indeed be precarious.

According to the xG data, Gillingham should be 16th and Grimsby should be 17th.

This is hardly a guarantee, but Gillingham are overdue a collapse

[AnalyticEFL @AnalyticEFL]

Harrogate on the other hand should be 19th, the berth held by MK in the actual league.

This game will only go one way and with Tommy Leigh being Lindsay's preferred striker choice, 5/2 is ridiculously good value for anytime goalscorer.

[AnalyticEFL @AnalyticEFL]

Gameweek 9 - Goalscorer nap 🚨

Given the underlying data behind Harrogate Town and Milton Keynes, the price offered on this bet must be a mistake.

Scott Lindsay's appointment at MK promised change, and no one is set to benefit more than Tommy Leigh. 🧵

#bettingtips #MKDons

[AnalyticEFL @AnalyticEFL]

Scott Lindsay first game in charge of MK appeared underwhelming on the face of it, however on xG, MK dominated the game.

MK have been the biggest underperformer to date in terms of xG position versus actual position in the league, leapfrogging Accrginton to 7th place.

[AnalyticEFL @AnalyticEFL]

My apologies for the sudden silence. Regular service will resume tomorrow with betting tips before the evening games and an xG table on Wednesday.

[AnalyticEFL @AnalyticEFL]

Another winner, 2/2 this weekend.

Follow for more stats based tips every week.

#SkyBetLeagueTwo #bettingtips

[AnalyticEFL @AnalyticEFL]

Gameweek 6 nap - Walsall to win

It feels ludicrous that high flying Walsall aren't fancied by the bookies against a slow starting Salford side.

#saddlers #SkyBetLeagueTwo #SALWAL #bettingsport

Betting rationale below🧵

[AnalyticEFL @AnalyticEFL]

Accrington Stanley are no surprise today, they've played well this season but have had rotten luck to date.

The data doesn't lie

#ASFC #PVFC #SkyBetLeagueTwo

[AnalyticEFL @AnalyticEFL]

#SkyBetLeagueTwo expected points table at the end of GW6.

⬆️ League leaders - Walsall
📉Overperformers - Gillingham
📈Underperformers - Accrington Stanley
⬇️ Rock bottom - Tranmere Rovers

#Saddlers #Gills #ASFC #TRFC

Data based betting tips coming Friday 🔔

[AnalyticEFL @AnalyticEFL]

HIT 🎯

[AnalyticEFL @AnalyticEFL]

Gameweek 6 Goalscorer nap - Whalley

Accrington have been much better than the league table suggests, and the bookies are not acknowledging that.

Betting rationale below 🧵

#ASFC #PVFC #bettingsport

[AnalyticEFL @AnalyticEFL]

Knowles and Mooney have overperformed their expected goals and are shorter value than Whalley. Whalley has been Accrington's biggest presence in front of goal, with 1.68xG created and 1 goal scored.

That's why he's my goalscorer nap this weekend.

[AnalyticEFL @AnalyticEFL]

Gameweek 6 Goalscorer nap - Whalley

Accrington have been much better than the league table suggests, and the bookies are not acknowledging that.

Betting rationale below 🧵

#ASFC #PVFC #bettingsport

[AnalyticEFL @AnalyticEFL]

#SkyBetLeagueTwo expected points table at the end of GW6.

⬆️ League leaders - Walsall
📉Overperformers - Gillingham
📈Underperformers - Accrington Stanley
⬇️ Rock bottom - Tranmere Rovers

#Saddlers #Gills #ASFC #TRFC

Data based betting tips coming Friday 🔔

[AnalyticEFL @AnalyticEFL]

Stanley are 5/2 at home against Port Vale, and with Port Vale in form there is still risk around backing an Accrington win. Therefore backing an Accrington goalscorer is the best choice for taking advantage of the value offered by the bookies.