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How Bad Will Housing Supply Get In The Next Few Years? Really BAD
Forget about @JustinTrudeau promise of 3.5M Extra Homes in Canada or @fordnation promise of 1.25M Extra Homes in Ontario
We will build LESS Homes in 2O24 & in the key regions of BC & Ontario: lots LESS
2/
Mortgage Rates Are Headed Down: How Far & How Fast?
In the aftermath of the US Federal Reserve Chairman's complete capitulation on interest rates Canada Bond Yields continue to DROP TODAY
Next week we will see all sorts of 5 - Yr Fixed Rates in the 4% range
Big changes
2/
The Ontario Ford government's cut to post-secondary education contributed to the foreign student boom and to Ontario's current rental crisis
https://t.co/zZg2IdibTv
From the hot Calgary housing market to the cooling Toronto one, real estate varies widely by region.
By comparing Oct. sales-to-new-listing ratios (SNLR) for Canadian cities it is clear that the Ontario real estate market is freezing.
Note:
SNLR > 60% Seller's market
SNLR < 40% Buyer's market
Toronto October Report:
https://t.co/8eRbJyMh3H
Vancouver October Report: https://t.co/V2xXHI7rVF
Calgary October Report:
https://t.co/JnP96UAeE5
#ToRe #VanRe
Canada Mortgage Renewal Stats
Until Aug. 2024:
Avg. each month ∼1% of all 7 Million mortgages in Canada will be renewed (∼70,000)
Aug. 2024 to July 2025:
The no. will increase to ∼1.5%/month (∼ 105,000)
% of Mortgages Renewing in 1 & 2 Years (July 31, 2023):
TD:
1 Yr: 9%
2 Yr: 26%
Scotiabank:
1 Yr: 13%
2 Yr: 31%
CIBC:
1 Yr: 16%
2 Yr: 39%
BMO:
1 Yr: 10%
2 Yr: 23%
RBC: (All Loans)
1 Yr: 18%
2 Yr: 41%
Canadian markets rallied today with the S&P/TSX 60 up 1.37%. Sectors were in the green across the board with consumer, financial and materials sectors leading the way. Outperformers included $SHOP, $FM, and $GIL.