Investor | 10+ Years in Markets 📈
Indian Stocks • Global Markets
Sharing research, market views & lessons learned.
Always learning, never chasing hype.
If you had to invest ₹1 Lakh in IT for next 5Y?
✅ TCS
✅ Infosys
✅ Mphasis
✅ HCL Tech
✅ Persistent
✅ IT ETF/Fund
✍️ Which one would you choose?
#investing
@sunilgurjar01 CDSL’s symmetrical triangle breakout with volume buildup looks promising, but remember its earnings are heavily tied to new demat account additions. Any slowdown in retail inflows can cap this 15–25% swing upside.
Groww and Angel One are the top 2 brokers here. Groww dominates with 1.38Cr active users, riding mutual fund + retail new investor flow, while Angel One overtook Zerodha on active clients, but we need to check average ticket size and trading volume; higher active count doesn’t always translate to equal revenue.
@ChikouTrader EXIDE has a massive pattern target of 784 from 373, but we can’t ignore the EV battery competitive pressure. It’s a bullish technical setup, yet margins will be the key variable to validate this long move.
@camangalarvind This holds true in most cycles, but it breaks when liquidity shocks hit. Look at 2022; markets fell first, yet macro data stayed strong for months, and rate expectations override this 9-month lead relationship.
This long-term FII net outflow chart paints a clear picture. The recent small buying is just a short-term bounce; the cumulative selling since 2021 shows FIIs have been consistent net sellers even as Nifty and largecaps like Reliance kept moving higher, largely driven by domestic inflows.
@camangalarvind Huge FII inflow of 79k crores this month, but we need to watch which sectors they are buying. Heavy buying in banking and Reliance can push Nifty higher, yet this hot money can reverse quickly once global yields shift.
@sunilgurjar01 I lean towards CDSL / NSDL over most pairs here. The demat ecosystem is a structural long-term play as more Indians enter markets, far less cyclical than airlines, paints or food delivery like Zomato and Swiggy.
@InvestorOfJAMMU Low PE PSU and bank stocks act as a valuation anchor for Midcap index. Stripping them out pushes PE to 50x, which shows how stretched most midcap growth names are, though niche individual stocks can still offer value outside the bulk of the index.
@gurjota This Nifty 22100 PUT trade taken at 25000 is already sitting on ₹52k+ profit, but deep OTM puts carry huge theta decay risk. The big win looks easy now, yet time decay can erase all gains fast even without a 10% lower circuit.
@sunilgurjar01 HDFC Defence Fund’s 23.98% one-year return stands out clearly against Motilal Oswal and Aditya Birla index funds at ~15.6%. The active strategy is delivering alpha here, but defence thematic funds carry high volatility and order-flow risks, not just steady gains.
@InvestorOfJAMMU Calling zero returns on gold for 5 years is an extremely bold call. Gold’s performance hinges on Fed rate cuts, currency devaluation and geopolitical surprises; it can still surprise even if the current fear premium fades.