Apisorn

Romantic

[*Walter Bloomberg @DeItaone]

U.S. CONSUMER SENTIMENT TOPS ESTIMATES

University of Michigan consumer sentiment rose to 55.2 in July, above the 54.0 consensus and up from 49.5 in June.

One-year inflation expectations held at 4.2%, down from 4.6% in June, while the five-year outlook remained at 3.3%, pointing to stable long-term inflation expectations.

[Anomalous reality @spacevibex]

Our Universe

[Hyper Shark! @HyperSharkk]

ทำไมวันนี้ตลาดเด้งแรงจัง

$NBIS +30%
$BE +27%
$CRWV +23%
$SNDK +23%
$MU +16%

งงอะ? เกิดอะไรขึ้น?

มา เดี๋ยวผมเ⁄ล่าให้ฟังในเธรดนี้

1/6

[Apisorn @Apisorn19]

@HyperSharkk ขึ้นมาแปปเดียว แล้วมาลงต่อ สงสัยดูท่าทีของfed😆ครับ

[Ash Crypto @AshCrypto]

FOMC STATEMENT:

- Fed holds rates at 3.50%–3.75%.

- Vote: 9–3 to keep rates unchanged.

- 3 Fed officials dissented, calling for a 25 bp rate hike.

- Inflation remains above the Fed's 2% target.

- Economy continues to show solid growth.

- Labor market and productivity remain strong.

- Banking system reserves remain ample.

Overall tone: Hawkish.

[🍃🍂 @Puresoul32sh]

Relax☘️

[U.S. Central Command @CENTCOM]

🚫 CLAIM: After recently threatening and attempting to attack commercial vessels and innocent mariners transiting the Strait of Hormuz, Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) continues to claim that international mariners should only use routes the IRGC prefers.

✅ FACT: The Strait of Hormuz is an international waterway. The IRGC has no authority to dictate routes for free and open traffic flow. Commercial vessels continue to use the strait with U.S. military support. Since early May, CENTCOM forces have helped approximately 1,000 vessels and 500 million barrels of crude oil pass through the narrow waterway.

[Rofo @rofoverse]

Good morning.

[ArtsvisionGB @Artsvisiongb]

I think the sheer scale of the spaceship really comes across in this shot

@dreamina_ai #DreaminaCPP

[0xNobler @CryptoNobler]

🚨 TODAY'S SCHEDULE IS INSANE FOR MARKETS

2:00 PM → FED INTEREST RATE DECISION
2:05 PM → FOMC STATEMENT
2:30 PM → KEVIN WARSH SPEECH
4:00 PM → MICROSOFT & META EARNINGS
6:30 PM → TRUMP ANNOUNCEMENT
7:50 PM → JAPAN SELLS U.S. TREASURIES

EXPECT HIGH MARKET VOLATILITY!!

[*Walter Bloomberg @DeItaone]

FED DECISION: JPM'S MARKET PLAYBOOK

JPMorgan expects the Fed to hold rates, despite markets pricing a sizable chance of a surprise hike.

Its base case is a hawkish hold (50%), leaving the S&P 500 roughly flat to down 0.5%.

A dovish hold could lift stocks up to 1%, while a 25bp hike could send the S&P 500 down 1.5%-2%, with tech stocks likely hit hardest.

[0xNobler @CryptoNobler]

🚨 BREAKING

🇺🇸 THE FED WILL OFFICIALLY ANNOUNCE THE INTEREST RATE DECISION TODAY AT 2:00 PM ET!

IF RATE < 3.50% → MARKET GOES PARABOLIC
IF RATE = 3.75% → MARKET STAYS FLAT
IF RATE > 4.00% → MARKET DUMPS HARD

ALL EYES ON THE RELEASE!!

[Annibale Siconolfi @annibale_sic]

Hyper Cities

An exploration of cities in motion from 2022. Created with cinema4D and @OTOY Octane

[WhaleTwits @WhaleTwits]

🚨 EVERYONE IS PANICKING. I'M GETTING READY TO BUY.

Most people only see a chart making lower lows.

I see the biggest opportunity that's still months away.

Here's why.

Right now, only ~5% of SpaceX shares actually trade.

That's why it exploded to $225...

And it's exactly why it's bleeding now.

The next few months are nothing but supply hitting the market:

→ Jul 24 — Flight 13 ✅
→ Aug 4 — Q2 earnings
→ Aug 11 — First 20% unlock
→ Aug–Oct — Five 7% unlocks
→ Q3 earnings — Another 28% unlock
→ Dec 8 — Final lockup expires

Think about what that means.

Millions of locked shares.

Months of constant selling pressure.

And almost nobody willing to absorb it.

That's why I think the real bottom isn't here yet.

But here's what most people miss...

Once every unlock is behind us, the forced sellers disappear.

That's when the market finally starts pricing the business—not the unlock schedule.

Starlink.

Launch dominance.

Starship.

Retail sees a disaster.

I see a countdown.

I'm not buying the hype.

I'm waiting for the moment everyone else gives up.

When I start buying $SPCX...

You'll see it here first.

Turn notifications on.

[amit @amitisinvesting]

This is turning into of the worst days for Semis all year.

Market seems to be reacting to a few things:

- A Chinese state-backed company has started mass-producing its own DUV lithography machines. The market is worried that the development could reduce China’s dependence on Western suppliers like ASML and weigh on future equipment demand

- NVDA backstopping OpenAI’s new datacenter buildout with $250B is making the market think that things are getting a bit too circular

- NVDA investing $5B into a new AI startup once again is creating fears of circular financing

- China just had their second largest IPO ever and it was a memory company which is now making the market think that oversupply of memory and a peak in prices is underway

Trump tried to calm down markets by saying that the US and Iran are talking, which got Oil down 7%, but isn’t really helping the chip stocks. Usually, a drop on oil that big would explode high beta names like semis but the market seems to be taking the China buildout threat seriously.

Effectively, the market is saying that China supply coming through means the constraints that create the pricing/earnings power for the semis is diminishing. I’m not sure if this is actually true, especially given how new these reports are, but it goes to show how fragile the entire semi trade is if a headline like this can wipe out $500B+ from the entire sector today.

As always, if semis go down hard, the software names go up which is why software is rallying heavy today.

Are you buying the semi dip or is this a legitimate concern?

$MU $SNDK $INTC $NVDA $AMD

[Shay Boloor @StockSavvyShay]

THE $NVDA VERA RUBIN SUPPLY CHAIN BREAKDOWN

Nvidia’s Vera Rubin is ramping into full-scale production and reshaping the AI rack bill of materials in three major ways: more HBM per rack, a shift from pluggable to co-packaged optics and the move to 800VDC power.

Here are the companies positioned to capture each transition:

Memory Storage (content-per-rack story)
• $MU, $SNDK, $SKHY and Samsung sit at the memory and storage layer as next-gen AI systems require more bandwidth, more capacity and faster data access.

Advanced Packaging (bottleneck that gates everything)
• Foundry / packaging: $TSM, $AMKR, $INTC
• Packaging equipment: $AMAT, $LRCX, $KLAC, $ASML
• Test / validation: $TER, $AEHR
• Substrates / materials: $TTMI

Optical Communication (CPO transition)
• Optical modules: $COHR, $LITE, $AAOI
• CPO / switching chips: $AVGO, $NVDA, $MRVL
• High-speed connectivity: $CRDO, $ALAB
• Fiber / networking: $GLW, $NOK, $CSCO, $ANET
• Silicon photonics / packaging: $TSM, $GFS, $TSEM

800VDC Power Supply (architecture shift)
• Wide-bandgap semis: $STM, $ON, $NVTS, $POWI, $WOLF
• Power management / hardened devices: $MPWR, $ADI, $TXN, $AOSL, $VICR, $MCHP
• Motherboard / connector / power module: $FLEX, $APH, $TEL
• Infrastructure / power delivery: $VRT, $ETN, $GEV

Compute System (integrators)
• $DELL, $HPE, $SMCI provide the system-level integration layer that turns all of these components into deployable AI infrastructure.