APTRekt

Crypto Analyst @cointabnews| Crypto Journalist| Business Developer| PR Manager

[APTRekt @AptRekt]

Lemme tell you something funny. When I predict and I don’t trade my predictions. It works 70 to 90% of the time. But when I predict and trade, the chance of prices playing out as predicted drops to 50%.

I’m still trying to figure out where I got it all wrong

[APTRekt @AptRekt]

Prices are playing out as they did in February. Following its recent plummet to $59k and rebound three weeks ago. Bitcoin retraced to $60k the week after and rebounded, creating a fair-value gap. Its current correction brings it a few hundred dollars close to filling the FVG.

Nonetheless, the apex coin is not guaranteed to start an uptrend. Further decline may send it as low as $59k. A rebound around this level may signal the end of the current downtrend.

Excerpts from a one analysis i worked on. Prices are playing out as predicted.

Read the full outlook here: https://t.co/7eFGm3EWYL

[APTRekt @AptRekt]

Bitcoin exchange reserves had one of their sharpest plummets in months. Between 9:00 UTC and 10:00, more than 11k BTC left this purse on June 21.

Cross-checking with prices shows no significant changes during this time. Nonetheless, on closer inspection, the outflow originated from OKX. Possibly a whale decided to move funds into cold storage.

Interestingly, other whales (or the same one) are also pulling assets from other exchanges. For example, on June 22, they moved around 3k BTC from Binance, and over 2k on Coinbase Prime (counting the large transactions).

Traditionally, when exchange reserves decline, it indicates growing demand for BTC and whales or other large holders halting their selling spree and opting to ride the uptrend. It remains to be seen if history will repeat itself

[APTRekt @AptRekt]

Arrest me, but make it sexy

[APTRekt @AptRekt]

So, most holders are raising two issues about the recovery plan. (From my standpoint, the plan is perfect)

However, one of the raised issue is “what happens to those who bought after the June 8 snapshot?” It is clearly written in the plan that those who got after the snapshot will also get compensated.

The second issue is price. Will the new token cover all the losses incurred during the June 8 attack? That’s up for speculation. However, if you held 10 of the old H, you’ll get 10 of the new one. About price, only time will answer

[Humanity @Humanityprot]

https://t.co/jm0oNWS4zD

[MMT @MMT_Official_]

The countdown is on.

Never again this low.

[MMT @MMT_Official_]

Every other terminal hits a wall.

Add enough charts. Stack enough data. Run enough widgets simultaneously.
And they starts to choke. Frames drop. Data lags. The terminal that was supposed to give you an edge becomes the thing holding you back.

We hate lag.

V5 raises that ceiling even higher.
Because the only thing worse than missing a trade is missing it because your terminal was slow.

Build everything. Sacrifice nothing.

[APTRekt @AptRekt]

😭😭👏

[APTRekt @AptRekt]

Is Ethereum Becoming Less Appealing or Too Expensive for Retailers?

Over the years, the crypto market has seen a steady rise in retailers who flock to it in search of massive gains. Some of the biggest beneficiaries have been the assets in the top 10: BTC, ETH, XRP, DOGE, etc.

However, the trend is changing, not for all the assets but for one: Ethereum. The last time it saw significant retail interest was in 2023, and the number of this cohort has been declining since.

The Ethereum Balance by holders value provides further insight into this decline. At its 2023 peak, wallets holding 100-1k ETH held a total of 16.2 million units. However, at the time of writing, they hold around 8.75 million units, an almost 50% drop in three years.

It is interesting to note that, prior to 2021, this cohort held the largest share of supply. Now, they hold the second-lowest unit among other cohorts.

Many may argue that the altcoin has become too expensive. This may be the case, as one of the triggers for the 2022/23 hike in the 100-1k cohort was its retracement to $1,200. Nonetheless, if that is the reason for lower retail participation, why is BTC, which is currently more than 35x as expensive, still getting constant attention from retailers?

Looking back, the 1k-10k ETH cohort was one of the moving forces of the 2024 uptrend. They held 12.4 million units at the start of the run, which rose to 15.8 million in 2025. However, this group began trimming their bags in October.

[APTRekt @AptRekt]

Because our tongues are short and does more work than most animals. What we don’t have in length, we make up for in thickness

Analyst turn biologist

[Ema @SmasherIsEma]

Why is our tongue so much thicker than dogs or many other animals

[APTRekt @AptRekt]

What are the Odds of Ethereum Hitting $1,200 This Cycle?

Ethereum had an explosive performance in 2025, edging closer to $5k. However, it ultimately failed to attain the milestone.

Since the bear run began, the altcoin has struggled to hold $2k, at one point slipping below $1,700. It is the general consensus that it is yet to bottom, but fewer comments have been made on what the ETH bottom will look like.

The Ethereum realized price bands offer an insight into what the bottom may be. A few years back, the lower band represented the cycle's low. At the time of writing, it sits at $1,154. If history repeats, this may be the lowest for the bear market.

In a nutshell, the odds of slipping below $1,200 in the coming months are significant.

[APTRekt @AptRekt]

You wouldn’t want to wait till it dumps to zero either

[CoinTab News @CoinTabNews]

This $HYPE holder put in $40k at $31, sold at $40 and is now watching from the sidelines.😢

If he never sold, his bag would be worth $74,065 at $57.40 right now.

Missed out on +$22k in a few weeks.

HODLing is painful… but damn it pays sometimes.

[CoinTab News @CoinTabNews]

This $HYPE holder put in $40k at $31, sold at $40 and is now watching from the sidelines.😢

If he never sold, his bag would be worth $74,065 at $57.40 right now.

Missed out on +$22k in a few weeks.

HODLing is painful… but damn it pays sometimes.

[APTRekt @AptRekt]

No bro, it dropped to a low of $76,040 on Binance and not $76,000. Your account should be safe. I guess😏

[DYNAMO @DynamoXDD]

bitcoin:native went against me on this

I have deleted my Snapchat account as per i said

[APTRekt @AptRekt]

I disagree. there were no errors there. I believe you also have access to the data i have. May 11th, humpbacks sold 18k BTC. They sold 28k the next day as earlier stated.

While i'll agree that the selling was done by more than one cohort. I was talking about those who led. No cohort sold more units than the humpbacks.

Sorry for late replies

[Oro Crypto @oro_crypto]

@AptRekt There are two errors:
1. The cohort you are showing is from May 11, so it does not explain today’s drop May 13.
2. Today’s drop was caused by selling from two cohorts different and was amplified by derivatives traders opening short positions.

[APTRekt @AptRekt]

I was right afterall, the 200-day MA continue be a key resistance.

[APTRekt @AptRekt]

Bitcoin is facing significant selling pressure above $81k. Given price action over the last seven days, the sell zone has expanded from near $83k to $81.5k.
Sell orders on spot and perps are also piling at $81k, increasing the odds of a massive slip in the coming days.
Additionally, the 200-day MA has been a tough resistance to crack, and the apex coin continues to trade below it. If the trend continues, the sell zone will spread to $80k, ending recent attempts at $84k.

[APTRekt @AptRekt]

Bitcoin is facing significant selling pressure above $81k. Given price action over the last seven days, the sell zone has expanded from near $83k to $81.5k.
Sell orders on spot and perps are also piling at $81k, increasing the odds of a massive slip in the coming days.
Additionally, the 200-day MA has been a tough resistance to crack, and the apex coin continues to trade below it. If the trend continues, the sell zone will spread to $80k, ending recent attempts at $84k.

[APTRekt @AptRekt]

Bitcoin retraced to a low of $79,820 on Tuesday following rejections at $81k. That decline marked the second consecutive red week.

Interestingly, the massive decline can be traced back to one group of holders: the humpbacks (holding over 10k BTC). They sold over 28k units during this session. Unfortunately, the sharks were unable to absorb the excess supply. Their accumulation also dropped to a 1-month low.

In hindsight, humpbacks have been selling since April. However, they intensified their actions, starting in May. As of the time of writing, their selling volume has reached that seen between Apr 9 and 12. If it worsens and the sharks fail to absorb the excess supply, BTC will likely retrace further.

Nonetheless, the next big question is who sold? Strategy’s balance shows no selling amid recent plans to. Additionally, the Bitcoin ETF balance has remained the same over the last two days. It leaves an unanswered question: who sold?

[APTRekt @AptRekt]

Bitcoin is facing significant selling pressure above $81k. Given price action over the last seven days, the sell zone has expanded from near $83k to $81.5k.
Sell orders on spot and perps are also piling at $81k, increasing the odds of a massive slip in the coming days.
Additionally, the 200-day MA has been a tough resistance to crack, and the apex coin continues to trade below it. If the trend continues, the sell zone will spread to $80k, ending recent attempts at $84k.

[APTRekt @AptRekt]

Bitcoin surged to its highest level since January last week, edging close to $83k on most exchanges. However, it was rejected and retraced. While many will blame the rejection on fundamentals, another key factor was at play.

A closer look at the BTC: short-term top and bottom CB explains another reason. The short-term holders' realized price is currently at $81.2k. It was a bit higher a few days ago when the apex coin broke above it.

STH quickly took profit, stifling the uptrend. Interestingly, another key event is also playing out. Since breaking above the 1m holders CB in April, the mark has served as a critical support. BTC has since tested it three times, bouncing off it each time.

Furthermore, the realized price has been on an uptrend for some time now. As a result, it is quickly closing the gap with the STH CB. Additionally, prices are also trending within both lines.

If the current trend persists, the apex coin may become range-bound in the coming days. If the bulls push past the realized price, a surge to $90k will follow. Conversely, if Bitcoin loses the 1m CB, a drop to $66k is likely.