$BTC
We’re roughly 212 days into the bear market.
Once BTC moves beyond 200+ days from the cycle top, Q2 and Q3 have tended to bring additional downside, with fresh lows being set.
What does that imply? If history repeats once again, BTC likely has around 3 months left to establish its bear market bottom.
You can bet against history, but I won’t.
My consistency is rooted in data and recurring patterns. Until that changes, I’ll keep trading what has consistently been happening.
⚡️JUST IN: GOLDMAN SACHS WARNS SELL-OFF MAY NOT BE OVER
Goldman Sachs says US equities face further downside risk, with systematic selling pressures building into the week.
The bank warns that trend-following funds (CTAs) have already triggered sell signals in the S&P 500 and could unload up to $33B in equities this week.
If stocks continue to slide, CTA selling could reach $80B over the next month.
Notably, Goldman says even a flat or modestly rising market may still see CTA selling, due to positioning resets.
Now that silver's tagged $100/oz, as promised, I'm hanging up the silver laser eyes
I'm still rooting for silver to go (much) higher & I think it will in time
But likely after a correction & prob not up at the same rate
So for now, I'll take the eyes out for one last ride...
Should we be worried?
No. The bull market’s still intact.
- Price briefly dipped below the 50-week EMA but reclaimed it fast - so technically the bull trend is holding.
- Social media fear doesn’t mean market structure is breaking.
- OG Bitcoin holders are taking profits as ETFs bring liquidity. This is healthy distribution, not doom.
- Private economic data points to a worsening job market which increases chances of December rate cut
- QT is ending in December & the government shutdown has frozen Fed moves, so bullish catalysts are delayed, not canceled.
- When shutdown ends, the Treasury will drain the TGA which is net (+) for liquidity
- With that end, crypto legislation & regulation can get back on track.
Of course, no one has a crystal ball. We still need a weekly close above the 50w EMA & no one knows how long the shutdown will go on.
But, I wouldn't want to be short here.
🔥ATH RALLY SIGNAL APPEARS!
#Bitcoin’s unrealized profits just broke above the +2σ band — a level tied to euphoric phases near previous all-time highs.
This could mark the start of a classic BTC blow-off top!🚀
How Good Is CPP At Investing Canadian's Money? We All Pay CPP, Are They Doing A Good Job?
Sorta No
If they just bought Gold 20 years they would have done better
Imagine if they just bought a couple of Big Index Funds: Better Still!
What should we do?
Thanks @WOWA_Canada
It was always supposed to end like this...
The NSA is 'Satoshi' - they created it...
The NSA needs a lot of liquidity (and the liquidity has be in real money, not Tether) in order to cash out
The whole point was to enrich the spooks before anyone else came up with this idea and got there first
Ready for legitimate Bitcoin Price predictions?
Why trust anecdotes when CryptoQuant’s 2025 Outlook gives us stellar data-backed insights?
With institutional inflows, pro-crypto regulations, & easing monetary policy…the numbers look good 👀
Let’s dive in. 🧵
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His efforts to restore peace will be remembered forever.
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