Ashish Thankey

[Dr. Tamitha Skov @TamithaSkov]

Direct Hit! The solar storm launched during the M9.3-flare is indeed Earth-directed! Since this is the second significant eruption from Region 4455 while in the Earth-strike zone, this means this second storm could get "held up" in "traffic" on its way to Earth. The NASA solar storm prediction shows the second storm arrival by late June 4. However, the first storm will precede this so expect some impact starting around mid-day June 4 with the stronger storm arriving close behind!

[Harlan Thomas @theauroraguy]

AR14455 releases an M9.2 solar flare at 0603, 0137 UTC, the solar flare may have had an associated CME but I couldn't see it.

[Canadian Space Agency @csa_asc]

For the first time in over 50 years, humans saw the Moon from up-close. 🌕✨ Science is beautiful!

More photos here: https://t.co/Lvypcj6CbL

[Harlan Thomas @theauroraguy]

Managed to find somewhat clear skies as it got dark at Jumping Pound Forest demonstration area. This image of Orion and the Red Aurora was shot with a Pixel 9 Pro in nighttime Pro mode

[Harlan Thomas @theauroraguy]

Impressive to say the least!

[Harlan Thomas @theauroraguy]

DST off the charts!

[Harlan Thomas @theauroraguy]

More than likely a "CMESS" where the CIR combined with the CME from the X1.9

[Vincent Ledvina @Vincent_Ledvina]

A possibility of a G3 with slim chance for G4 storm on Monday mentioned today by the UK Met office:
"A full halo CME associated with the [...] X1.9 flare from AR4341 on 18 Jan is likely to arrive at Earth on Day 2 (20 Jan) based on preliminary assessment [...]

Geomagnetic activity is expected to be Quiet to Unsettled (Kp1-3), with Active (Kp 4) intervals and a chance of G1/Minor Storm (Kp 5) intervals at first.

Geomagnetic activity is likely to increase with the likely arrival of an Earth-directed CME on Day 2 (20 Jan), with G1-G2/Minor-Moderate storm expected and a G3/Strong Storm likely with a chance of G4 (Severe Storm) based on preliminary analysis of the event. Any CME influence is likely to persist into Day 3 (21 Jan), before gradually waning by the end of the period."

[SolarHam @SolarHam]

Major X1.9 solar flare detected at 18:08 UTC (Jan 18) around AR 4341. Earth directed CME likely. More to follow. https://t.co/aqK4Q6XdAY

[Ashish Thankey @AshishThankey]

@theauroraguy It's crazy clouds dm if you see anything

[Ashish Thankey @AshishThankey]

@theauroraguy Alberta is covered in with clouds tonight but the holiday train is here 🚂

[Ashish Thankey @AshishThankey]

@theauroraguy Where did you go yesterday?

[Ashish Thankey @AshishThankey]

@theauroraguy This and the data is not looking good 😞

[Harlan Thomas @theauroraguy]

Hey folks. Well once again, we are waiting to see what's going to happen to the solar wind stream. We have a pretty decent field strength with a Bt of 12, that means if we see a Southern dip to the Bz we should experience aurora at mid latitudes. I will post if conditions change but for now we are in a holding pattern once again. Good luck to all. #Aurora #Auroraborealis #northernlights

[SolarHam @SolarHam]

Geomagnetic forecast with storm probabilities has been updated. Minor (G1) to Moderate (G2) storming possible by mid to late day Apr 16 (UTC). This is all dependent on the timing and strength of the CME passing Earth and can sometimes be earlier or later than expected.

[Ashish Thankey @AshishThankey]

@theauroraguy But we will be coverd in clouds

[SolarHam @SolarHam]

Incoming CME detected. A passage past Earth is expected within an hour. https://t.co/aqK4Q6XLqw

[Harlan Thomas @theauroraguy]

X-Class in progress

[Ashish Thankey @AshishThankey]

@spacewxwatch Please check your ig inbox!!