Iran and oil are sorted out, as far as markets seem concerned, writes @johnauthers. What they're pricing in next doesn't seem so clear (via @opinion) https://t.co/CyReAKFcIk
NY Fed President John Williams: Inflation is "unquestionably elevated and well above" target, reflecting tariffs, energy, and AI-related demand for tech goods.
"In coming quarters, however, I expect inflation readings to edge down" for several reasons:
First, tariff effects "appear to have mostly played out."
Second, a base case is that Hormuz related supply disruptions "are resolved relatively soon."
Third, housing inflation should continue to slow.
Fourth, there's no evidence of labor-market driven price pressures.
The punchline: "Given the elevated level of inflation, it is imperative that we restore it to our 2% longer-run goal on a sustained basis. The current stance of monetary policy is well positioned to do that."
https://t.co/GH0Df0siMR