5 fundamental truths about trading
1. Anything can happen
2. You don't need to know what is going to happen in order to make money
3. There is a random distribution between wins and losses for any given set of variables that define an edge
4.Every moment in the market is unique
I have some time on my hands today, so I’ll teach you something about how expectations can ruin trading for you in the long run.
Imagine two traders.
Trader A enters every trade expecting 10R.
Trader B enters the same market comfortable taking 3R.
Now both traders catch a good setup.
Price moves +3R.
Trader B closes his trade. His job is done. He got exactly what his system was built to extract.
Trader A is only getting started.
He watches +3R become +5R and starts calculating what 10R will pay him.
Price gets to +7R.
At this point, he isn’t managing a trade anymore. He’s managing an expectation.
Then the market reverses.
+7R becomes +5R.
He doesn’t close because he has already mentally spent the 10R.
+5R becomes +3R.
Still holding.
Eventually, he gets taken out at breakeven.
Now here’s the interesting part:
Both traders correctly predicted the market.
One made +3R.
The other made nothing and probably feels like he lost.
Do this repeatedly and Trader A eventually starts forcing trades, holding winners too long, moving targets, increasing risk and becoming frustrated with perfectly good setups because they aren’t producing the returns he EXPECTS.
Meanwhile, Trader B keeps collecting his boring 3Rs.
This is what expectations can do to you in trading.
Sometimes the market is giving you enough to build wealth, but because you expected more, enough starts looking like failure.
There is nothing wrong with targeting 10R if your data supports it.
The problem starts when 10R becomes something you believe the market owes you.
Trade what the market gives you, not what you already calculated in your head.
Target Draws on liquidity‼️
Hope you understand now ??
8 hours left in Crown Pass Season I.
That's the XREIGN season pass — tasks, spins, Signal votes and check-ins
earn XP, XP climbs 30 reward tiers, and your house fights for the season win.
XP stops at midnight UTC. Every tier you haven't reached by then stays locked.
Not until next season — forever.
×2 XP is live right now. Everything you claim counts double.
And the house standings are sealed. Your house could be 40 XP behind
and you'd have no way of knowing.
Eight hours to decide it.
https://t.co/gggyWFDmIj
Trading Facts:
🔻🔻🔻
🔴You will lose
🔴You will be wrong
🔴You will miss trades
🔴You will exit early and leave profits
Get used to them and
Understand that despite them all
You can still win in the long term...
600K trenders. 🟠
Every account has something waiting to be claimed right now — we're not saying what's inside.
Claim it, then drop what you got in the comments 👇
24h window. It doesn't reopen.
Profitability is found in the work you're avoiding.
Backtesting, journaling, reflecting.
I would make a bet that less than 10% of the trading population actually journals their trades.
Not saying you have to do it forever.. but how do you know how well you're doing, or what to improve on, if you have no books.
Most traders think their biggest enemy is fear.
It's not.
I once heard Dr. Andrew Menaker say something that completely changed the way I think about trading psychology.
He said emotions aren't the problem.
Ignoring them is.
That hit me.
Because every trader has felt it.
The frustration after giving profits back.
The anxiety before clicking buy.
The FOMO when the move happens without you.
Most people treat those emotions like something to fight.
Professional traders treat them like data.
They don't ask,
"How do I stop feeling this?"
They ask,
"Why am I feeling this?"
That's a completely different conversation.
Because your emotions are telling you something your P&L never will.
Maybe you're risking too much.
Maybe your self-worth is tied to one trade.
Maybe you're chasing because you don't trust your edge.
The market isn't creating those emotions.
It's exposing them.
And until you understand what's happening inside you, you'll keep searching for answers on the chart that don't exist there.
The biggest edge in trading isn't finding a better setup.
It's understanding the person taking the setup.
What has one emotion taught you about your trading that no indicator ever could?