Aziz

Work as Photographer,Ride with Fixedgear & Life in Traffic Jakarta.

[Aziz @azizbas_]

Bung Hatta & Bung Tan, mungkin akan sedih & marah melihat Indonesia skr, hasil perjuangannya dikoyak kapitalisme & Pembodohan. Namun nilai2nya akan terus ada tercatat, teringat & terpublikasi dalam bentuk buku karangannya.

big investment ever #THRbeliBuku

[Men of Purpose @Men_Of_Purpose]

She literally explained how to trigger dopamine in conversation.

[tempe.co @tempedotc0]

Audio timpa pada kartun timpa untuk postingan timpa 😸☝️

[Mindset Machine  @mindsetmachine]

Setting Boundaries: Why I Stopped Explaining Myself

[Lucky Lady🍀 @inikakrov]

Perasaan versi Deny Caknan nggak sesakit ini deh. Ini kok sakitnya menyakiti bgt, pedih sekali yah.
Buat yg kepo judul lagunya Negoro Angin ya guys, alias Negara Angin alias Belanda😅

[Ihtesham Ali @ihtesham2005]

A freelance journalist who had never taken a statistics course wrote a 142-page book in 1954 that professional statisticians still hand to students before anything else, because nobody before him had bothered to explain the tricks in plain language.

His name was Darrell Huff. The book is called How to Lie with Statistics.

I read it in one sitting and spent the next three days noticing the tricks everywhere.

Over 1.5 million copies have sold in English alone. It became a standard college textbook in the 1960s and 70s. Seventy years later it is still in print, still assigned, still the first thing a working statistician reaches for when they want to teach someone to think clearly about numbers.

The man who wrote it was not a researcher. He was a freelancer who wrote how-to articles for magazines. He had no PhD, no academic post, no institutional affiliation. He just understood that numbers could lie without technically being wrong, and he thought someone should explain how.

His opening line sets the whole tone of the book.

"The crooks already know these tricks; honest men must learn them in self-defense."

That one sentence is the entire argument. The manipulation is not coming. It already happened. It happened this morning in the article you read and the chart someone showed you at work and the study your doctor quoted. The only question is whether you know what to look for.

Huff called the first trick the Well-Chosen Average.

When someone tells you the average salary at a company is $80,000, they have told you almost nothing. If the CEO earns $2 million and the 20 employees earn $30,000 each, the mean is $80,000. The median is $30,000. Both are technically correct. One is a lie. The person reporting the number chose which average to use, and they almost always chose the one that served their argument. Huff's rule: whenever you see an average with no description of which average it is, ask.

The second trick he named the Gee-Whiz Graph.

A line chart shows company profits rising. The line shoots nearly vertical, almost doubling in height across the chart. You feel impressed. Then you look at the y-axis and notice the chart does not start at zero. It starts at 94. The actual increase in profits was 3 percent. The dramatic visual was produced entirely by cropping the bottom of the chart. Nothing in the data changed. The picture changed everything.

Every news organization on earth still does this every day.

The third trick is the one that should change how you read every study you ever encounter. Huff called it Post Hoc Rides Again, which is short for the Latin phrase post hoc ergo propter hoc. After this, therefore because of this.

Cities with more churches have more violent crime. Therefore churches cause violence. The logic is airtight. The conclusion is absurd. Both church attendance and crime go up as population grows. The two numbers track each other because a third variable drives both. The correlation is real. The cause is invented.

Huff showed that this structure is not a rare mistake. It is the default pattern of almost every study reported in a newspaper, because causation is a boring word and because proves is a better headline than correlates with.

The fourth trick was the one that floored me. He called it the Semi-Attached Figure.

A headache pill company claims their product is twice as fast as the competition. The study behind the claim is real. The product was tested and the numbers are accurate. What the advertisement does not mention is that the study measured absorption rate into the bloodstream, not relief of headaches. The two things are related but not identical. The statistic is real. It is attached to the wrong conclusion.

Huff said this is the most dangerous trick of all because the number is never fabricated. You cannot fact-check a semi-attached figure by verifying the statistic. You have to ask whether the statistic actually measures what the claim requires it to measure.

Almost nobody asks.

There is one part of Huff's story that most people who recommend the book leave out.

Years after he wrote it, he was hired by the tobacco industry. He worked on a follow-up manuscript called How to Lie with Smoking Statistics, designed to cast doubt on the research connecting cigarettes to cancer. The book was never published. He testified before Congress in an attempt to undermine the statistical evidence against tobacco.

The man who wrote the clearest guide to spotting statistical deception spent the end of his career deploying those same tricks against evidence that was killing people.

That detail does not make the book wrong. The tricks he described are real and the defenses he taught are still the right ones. But it is a reminder that the tools in the book are neutral. Understanding how lies are built does not protect you from choosing to build one.

The crooks already know these tricks.

Some of them wrote the manual.

What is one statistic you have seen recently that you now think deserves a second look?

[tempo.co @tempodotco]

DPR Sahkan RUU Polri jadi Undang-undang

[tempo.co @tempodotco]

Pemerintah-DPR Sepakat Polisi Aktif Bisa Isi Jabatan Sipil

[IRAN ARMY ☫ @IranArmySpoofX]

Do you support Iran in its bombing of US bases in the UAE???

◯ YES
◯ NOw

[The Figen @TheFigen_]

In a 1988 interview, Pablo Escobar said co*caine wasn’t the real problem...hypocrisy was.
He argued that drugs spread because of demand, just like alcohol, and that the US only saw co*caine as dangerous because Colombians controlled the trade.

[usman junami @UJunami]

Freelance Dollar

[Edy Bayo Regar @regar_op0sisi]

2 x kena tipu.

1. Ditipu orang yg membeli kopinya.
2.Ditipu oknum polda Lampung ketika melaporkan penipu yg membeli kopinya.

1,4M uang penjualan kopi.
31 juta diminta oknum polda Lampung.

Polri terbaik dalam pengelolaan MBG (kata Prabowo)

Terburuk dalam kamtibmas (kata gua)

[MBG Jelek @menuembegejelek]

⚠️ INGAT BAIK-BAIK NAMA DAN WAJAH SI BAJINGAN TENGIK HERY SUSANTO INI!

Taukah Handai Tolan sekelian, mengapa embege bisa melahirkan kasus keracunan hingga 30.000++ kasus? Mengapa kepala Badan dan wakilnya bisa dengan sangat leluasa korupsi selama 1,5 tahun? Mengapa banyak sekali pegawai BGN di daerah yang menjabat sebagai korwil, dan/atau pegawai kelas coro di kubangan lumpur (espepege) memiliki etika dan kompas moral yang hancur? Mengapa banyak panganan yang tersaji tak sesuai dengan Angka Kecukupan Gizi dan terkesan mengenaskan? Mengapa kerap terjadi maladministrasi baik di tingkat pusat hingga di kubangan lumpur?

Salah satu jawabannya adalah ini! 🫵🏻

Lembaga yang bertugas untuk mengawasi program kerja lembaga / badan negara, dipimpin oleh orang brengsek yang MELARANG staf-nya untuk menyentuh dan memeriksa jalannya embege!

*Apa fungsi Ombudsman? Tupoksi mereka adalah mengawasi penyelenggaraan pelayanan publik yang diselenggarakan oleh penyelenggara negara dan pemerintahan, baik itu Kementerian, Lembaga, atau Badan—baik di pusat maupun di daerah—termasuk Badan Usaha Milik Negara (BUMN) dan badan swasta yang menggunakan anggaran negara.

Sibangsat! Dia bukan cuman doyan duit suap tata kelola pertambangan nikel, tapi juga main-main sama proyek super prioritas rezim. Asu! Biadab!

[Men of Purpose @Men_Of_Purpose]

She literally explained how to break phone addiction.

[Sumatera Adil & Federal @indepenSumatera]

Alam pun sudah mulai marah melihat tingkah laku manusia

[Lyr ϟ @Lyraauliakss]

Semoga cepet mati kelindes kereta para pelaku pelecehan seksual di kereta @CommuterLine , demi Allah sesek bgt sakit hati gua ajg. Gabisa langsung liat cctv utk nemuin pelaku, harus ke polisi utk minta surat izin check cctvnya, idk udh gaada tenaga...

[Aziz @azizbas_]

@Lyraauliakss @CommuterLine cc : @pramonoanung

[ꦩꦸꦂꦠꦝ @MurtadhaOne1]

Netijen bisa ajaa 😂

Sound🔊:🔛

[Reftif @reftif_]

DOKTER TIRTA SANG TAWON, SANG PEMAKI ULUNG, SANG TRABAS KANAN KIRI, KEDER JUGA CIK SEBELAHAN SAMA ARTIS DI SEBELAHNYAA, MANA LUCU BANGET SALTINGNYA😭😭😭

📽:Raditya Dika

[txt keresahan WNI @KapudS640]

Baca ttg upselling erafon* di threads, taunya gue kejebak juga. Beliin hp baru buat ibu, cari samsung yg under 2jt. Dtglah ke gerai erafon* dkt rumah, udh mau samsung A07 karna dia harganya 1.799 nah trs si sales samsung blg “skg gak ada teh yg dibawah 2jt,

adanya ini paling murah A07 2jt pas” kok tumben harga hp bulet gt.. pdhl di display harganya 1.799 trs dia blg “kan rupiah melemah, jd naik semua harga hp”. Oke deal, tp masih ganjal di hati niiih

pas mau bayar si mas mas pake baju erafone infoin, kalau lg gangguang EDC nya tf aja katanya ke rekening s sales samsung 2jt rupiah. Selesai gue tf si mas jelasin kalau naik harga ini gpp kita malah dpt benefit lebih jd dpt asuransi & bla bla… Fck dalem hati teh gue dijebak, kena upselling ini mah.

Bangke! Hrsnya noh ngomong aja tawarin mau gk nambah asuransi cuma byr 199 tp benefit bagus.. bukan malah nipu konsumen KESEL BGT GUE!! Transaksi jam 19.49 invoice dikirim jam 20.39 jam toko tutup

pas gue cek invoice bener ajeeee gue ditipu!!! Invoice tertera harga barang 1.799.000 & ada tambahan 199.000 & kalaupun gue ambil ni asuransi gue tf 1.998 aja enakk bener nih.

Gak jujur, nipu konsumen gaksih? Boleh kan balik lg ke itu gerai untuk protes? kan dia blg di invoice ntr harganya 2jt ngikut apa yg kita transfer! Karna ini bkn pertama kali beli di erafon*, gerai lain selalu info untuk tambahan ini itu mau ngga gprnh maksa jg. Ke gerai ini karna tinggal nyebrang doang, taunya bangke

cc:threadtitipoooooooooooooooo