B1G+Analytics

Big Ten football, graded by the numbers 🤓📊 B1G+A Report Card every Sunday 1:30 CT, projections + playoff odds weekly. Graded in public. Not affiliated w/ B1G

[B1G+Analytics @B1GAnalytics]

New home. Same data obsession.

All Big Ten analytics, live: report cards, weekly awards, projections and more.

👉 https://t.co/KXOFkJ6Uu3

[B1G+Analytics @B1GAnalytics]

B1G+A Matchup, Week 8: Rutgers at Northwestern (Sat 11:00 AM CT, Peacock).

B1G+A projects Northwestern 38-19 with an 88% win chance. FPI (comparison): NU 91%. DraftKings: NU -16.5, O/U 58.5.

Season-stat edges: NU 6, RUTG 1.
https://t.co/PTHBm3egcS

[B1G+Analytics @B1GAnalytics]

ONE FOOT IN BOUNDS: INDIANA 22, OHIO STATE 19
Final: Ohio State 19, Indiana 15. B1G+A projected Indiana by 1 and lost by a toenail.
Week 7: 4-3 picking winners. Season: 8-6. The miss stays on the board.
https://t.co/cmoO4PShNh

[B1G+Analytics @B1GAnalytics]

B1G+A Exhale Index, Week 7
1. Oregon 70.5: down 8 in the 4th, TD with 0:28 left (17-14 vs NEB)
2. Northwestern 39.1: 1-yard TD with 7:24 left (24-21 at MSU)
3. Washington 34.4: 38-26 at PUR (B1G+A missed)
Then RUTG, OSU, UCLA, MICH.
https://t.co/cmoO4PShNh

[B1G+Analytics @B1GAnalytics]

B1G+A Misery Index, Week 7 (final)
1. Nebraska 76.9: led by 8 in the 4th, Oregon TD with 0:28 left (17-14)
2. Michigan State 61.6: led by 8 in the 4th, lost 24-21 to NU
3. Maryland 55.8: lost 37-30 to Rutgers (B1G+A missed)
B1G+A also missed IU-OSU.
https://t.co/cmoO4PShNh

[B1G+Analytics @B1GAnalytics]

B1G+A Week 7 Report Card 📝
Top grade: Washington, A overall after a 38-26 win at Purdue.
UCLA (B+) and Ohio State (B+) are next. Purdue and Maryland bring up the rear at D.
Idle: ILL, USC, MINN, IOWA.
https://t.co/UWqQTMTOxw

[B1G+Analytics @B1GAnalytics]

B1G+A B1G Bowl Projections, Week 8
CFP: Ohio State (1), Indiana (4), UCLA (6)
Iowa Citrus · NU ReliaQuest · Oregon Holiday · USC Alamo · NEB Music City · WIS Las Vegas · PSU Pinstripe · MICH Cactus
Projected to miss: WASH, MINN, ILL, PUR, MSU, MD, RUTG
https://t.co/8BkczPB0Uo

[B1G+Analytics @B1GAnalytics]

B1G+A Projected CFP Bracket, Week 8 🏈
Byes: 1 Ohio State · 2 Miami · 3 BYU · 4 Indiana.
B1G first round: 6 UCLA hosts 11 Alabama at the Rose Bowl.
First four out: Tennessee, Utah, Texas, Wake Forest.
https://t.co/yYlRfGoee6

[B1G+Analytics @B1GAnalytics]

B1G+A Top 25, Week 8 (games through Week 7)
1 Ohio State 6-1 · 2 Miami 6-0 · 3 BYU 6-0 · 4 Indiana 6-1 · 5 Ole Miss 5-1
B1G teams: OSU 1, IU 4, UCLA 15, Iowa 17, Oregon 18, USC 19, Northwestern 21.
A B1G+A ranking, not an official poll.
https://t.co/peIHlTXCnC

[B1G+Analytics @B1GAnalytics]

Projection vs. result: Oregon 17, Nebraska 14.
B1G+A projected Oregon 30-25 (63%) and hit, 2 points off on the margin. The spread lean (NEB +7.5) hit; the over 52.5 missed (31 total).
B1G+A season: 8-6 straight up. Every miss stays on the card.
https://t.co/cmoO4PShNh

[B1G+Analytics @B1GAnalytics]

Projection vs. result: UCLA 17, Wisconsin 7.
B1G+A projected UCLA 25-23 (54%) and hit, 8 points off on the margin. The spread lean (WIS +2.5) missed; the over 42.5 missed.
B1G+A season: 7-6 straight up. Every miss stays on the board.
#B1G

[B1G+Analytics @B1GAnalytics]

By the tips of their toenails?
Final: Ohio State 19, Indiana 15.

An 82-point swing in win chance, decided by one foot.

The B1G+A Live Tracker (Beta) had it live: GO on 4th-and-4, then a 21.7-point drop in Indiana's win chance on one foot.

https://t.co/AYf0NZaARm

[B1G+Analytics @B1GAnalytics]

Projection vs. result: Michigan 21, Penn State 18.
B1G+A projected Michigan 22-21 (55%) and hit, 2 points off on the margin. The spread lean (PSU +6.5) also hit; the over 42.5 missed.
B1G+A season: 6-6 straight up. Every miss stays on the board.
#B1G

[B1G+Analytics @B1GAnalytics]

Projection vs. result: Rutgers 37, Maryland 30.
B1G+A projected Maryland 33-26 (67%) and missed, 14 points off on the margin. The spread lean (MD -4.5) missed; the over 57.5 hit.
B1G+A season: 6-6 straight up. Every miss stays on the board.
#B1G

[B1G+Analytics @B1GAnalytics]

The standard we hold ourselves to on ALL games: 10 reliability targets for the B1G+A Live Tracker (Beta). Today's check, 4 sampled runs on Northwestern vs Michigan State (12:08-1:22 PM CT) against public play-by-play feeds: all 10 met. Numbers and sources are on the card; SLA numbers for every game are coming next. Watch it live → https://t.co/3vZkbgnRDe

[B1G+Analytics @B1GAnalytics]

Projection vs. result: Ohio State 19, Indiana 15.
B1G+A projected Indiana 27-26 (51%) and missed, 5 points off on the margin. The spread lean (IU +3.5) and the over also missed.
B1G+A season: 5-5 straight up. Every miss stays on the board.
#B1G

[B1G+Analytics @B1GAnalytics]

Projection vs. result: Northwestern 24, Michigan State 21.
B1G+A projected Northwestern 29-20 (73%) and got the winner, 6 points off on the margin. The spread lean (NU -7.5) missed; the under hit.
B1G+A season: 5-4 straight up.
#B1G

[B1G+Analytics @B1GAnalytics]

The standard we hold ourselves to on ALL games: 10 reliability targets for the B1G+A Live Tracker (Beta). Today's check, 4 sampled runs on Northwestern vs Michigan State (12:08-1:22 PM CT) against the ESPN play-by-play feed: all 10 met. Numbers and sources are on the card; SLA numbers for every game are coming next. Watch it live → https://t.co/3vZkbgnRDe

[B1G+Analytics @B1GAnalytics]

We're live 🏈 Every 4th down, called in real time by the B1G+A Live Tracker (Beta). We'll be here all day → https://t.co/NnV5jcLkbh

[B1G+Analytics @B1GAnalytics]

Projection vs. result: Washington 38, Purdue 26.
B1G+A projected Purdue 28-25 (58%) and missed, 15 points off on the margin. The spread lean (WASH +3.5) and the over hit.
B1G+A season: 4-4 straight up. Every miss stays on the board.
#B1G