Backed By Stats

Stats, trends, and props driven by REAL data

[Backed By Stats @BackedByStatsHQ]

Our touchdown model went live in Week 5 🏈

Its top 5 anytime TD picks went 4 for 5. +1.04 units at real book prices

We had it in QA, but if we run the same model back through Weeks 1–4, using only what it knew before each game, our Top 5 of every week COMBINED is:

20 of 25 scored. +4.97 units.

Week 6 top 5 drops before Thursday Night Football's kickoff

Stay tuned⏱️

[Backed By Stats @BackedByStatsHQ]

Day 4 CASH!!🤑

Davante came up clutch with a typical successful 2-minute drill by the Rams (even though they ended up losing)! GREAT game tonight overall, and glad our props cashed with ease!

We look ahead to Thursday’s game for Day 5! Get ready to cash with us 👊🏼

Let’s CLIMB!🙌🏼🧗

[Backed By Stats @BackedByStatsHQ]

🪜Day 4 - $10 to $10,000 Ladder Challenge🪜

Great game tonight between two great teams! Leaning heavier into the Rams offense today for props, and utilizing James Cook for the single Bills prop.

These props have all hit this year so far, and we expect them to hit tonight with ease. They all have a very high hit rate percentage between this and last year, with the lowest being 89% (Puka's prop, and one of those misses is when he got hurt during a game). All other props are a 94% hit rate or better!

Let's CLIMB🙌🧗‍♂️

[Backed By Stats @BackedByStatsHQ]

🚨BEST PROP OF THE DAY🚨

Kyren Williams for 40+ Rushing Yards has hit in his last 21 of 21 games played, and our model has the Bills ranked as the 22nd rated defense against RBs.

Add this prop as a leg to any parlay, as we expect him to hit this with ease!

[Backed By Stats @BackedByStatsHQ]

💥We are 12-1 on unit plays, and up +9.16 units total this year since we went live with all plays!💥

We've said this before in some replies and such, but figured we'd reiterate it in a post: All Ladder Plays we do should be taken as 1 unit plays, and we actively bet them as one unit separately as well!

As much as we love anyone climbing with us, we HIGHLY suggest taking each ladder as a 1 unit play. Easiest way to truly profit with our plays!

We will start to post some other plays as well, sort of like we did with our Whale parlay on Sunday. Those are more for fun, and still made in typical Backed By Stats fashion. They can differ in unit sizes, but regardless, be on the lookout for that👀

Keep tagging along and make some money with us! 💰

[Backed By Stats @BackedByStatsHQ]

🪜Day 4 - $10 to $10,000 Ladder Challenge🪜

Great game tonight between two great teams! Leaning heavier into the Rams offense today for props, and utilizing James Cook for the single Bills prop.

These props have all hit this year so far, and we expect them to hit tonight with ease. They all have a very high hit rate percentage between this and last year, with the lowest being 89% (Puka's prop, and one of those misses is when he got hurt during a game). All other props are a 94% hit rate or better!

Let's CLIMB🙌🧗‍♂️

[Backed By Stats @BackedByStatsHQ]

@lewisvitone Let’s gooooo!!!!🙌🏼

[Backed By Stats @BackedByStatsHQ]

🪜Day 3 - $10 to $10,000 Ladder Challenge🪜

Prime time game, and we expect the Falcons to continue to dominate, and the Ravens to utilize their stars with backup QB Tyler Huntley at the helm filling in for Lamar Jackson. These props should hit with ease!

Throwing an extra 10 bucks here to utilize our 30% Sunday night profit boost, but this is still Day 3 which is 40 dollars. Hopefully more money for more future parlays🙏🏼

Let’s CLIMB🙌🏼🧗

[Backed By Stats @BackedByStatsHQ]

Day 3 CASH!!🤑

Brian Robinson Jr. grabbed his last bit of yardage in the 4th, and we just wanted to make sure he didn’t get tackled for a loss before this game closed out (in OT).

We move to Day 4 with the Bills vs. Rams tomorrow! Stay tuned!

Let’s CLIMB🙌🏼🧗

[Backed By Stats @BackedByStatsHQ]

🪜Day 3 - $10 to $10,000 Ladder Challenge🪜

Prime time game, and we expect the Falcons to continue to dominate, and the Ravens to utilize their stars with backup QB Tyler Huntley at the helm filling in for Lamar Jackson. These props should hit with ease!

Throwing an extra 10 bucks here to utilize our 30% Sunday night profit boost, but this is still Day 3 which is 40 dollars. Hopefully more money for more future parlays🙏🏼

Let’s CLIMB🙌🏼🧗

[Backed By Stats @BackedByStatsHQ]

@Hustlenp It ain’t over yet! Need to make sure Brian Robinson Jr. doesn’t run for negative yards 🙏🏼

We have hope!

[Backed By Stats @BackedByStatsHQ]

Day 2 CASH!! 🤑

All of these legs hit with plenty of time in both games still, and we move on to Day 3!

We’re looking at the Falcons vs. Ravens game tonight for Day 3, so be on the lookout for that! 👀

Let’s CLIMB! 🙌🏼🧗

[Backed By Stats @BackedByStatsHQ]

🪜Day 2 - $10 to $10,000 Ladder Challenge🪜

The Lions vs. Cardinals game should be a high-scoring game with both defenses doing very poorly this year on all fronts, so we expect these receiving / reception lines to cash there!

Cooper Kupp also hit this in all games between this and last season, so that should cash easily too in the other 4:25pm EST game!

Let’s CLIMB🙌🏼🧗

[Backed By Stats @BackedByStatsHQ]

🪜Day 2 - $10 to $10,000 Ladder Challenge🪜

The Lions vs. Cardinals game should be a high-scoring game with both defenses doing very poorly this year on all fronts, so we expect these receiving / reception lines to cash there!

Cooper Kupp also hit this in all games between this and last season, so that should cash easily too in the other 4:25pm EST game!

Let’s CLIMB🙌🏼🧗

[Backed By Stats @BackedByStatsHQ]

Day 1 CASH! 🤑

Ayomanor gets a catch finally with this rough looking Titans offense.

We move on to Day 2! Play coming right after this!

Let’s CLIMB🙌🏼🧗

[Backed By Stats @BackedByStatsHQ]

🪜Day 1 - $10 to $10,000 Ladder Challenge🪜

5 players, easy props, all hit 88% of the time or higher between this year and last year! Not going to yap as much as we usually do, but all of these should hit with ease!

Made it to Day 10 last time on our first run ever, and lost on a horrible beat by CeeDee Lamb doing nothing and then getting hurt. No Bet Protect+ in our area either, so definitely a tough loss, but we are going to bounce back!

Let’s CLIMB!🙌🏼🧗

[Backed By Stats @BackedByStatsHQ]

@Playbook Get us a Link!

[Backed By Stats @BackedByStatsHQ]

🪜Day 1 - $10 to $10,000 Ladder Challenge🪜

5 players, easy props, all hit 88% of the time or higher between this year and last year! Not going to yap as much as we usually do, but all of these should hit with ease!

Made it to Day 10 last time on our first run ever, and lost on a horrible beat by CeeDee Lamb doing nothing and then getting hurt. No Bet Protect+ in our area either, so definitely a tough loss, but we are going to bounce back!

Let’s CLIMB!🙌🏼🧗

[Backed By Stats @BackedByStatsHQ]

@Hustlenp Yes! Just posted 🙌🏼

[Backed By Stats @BackedByStatsHQ]

Introducing a new type of bet from our team: The Whale Play 🐳🎰

25 legs on Sundays, all handpicked from the best props and trends of the day as seen on our site.

If anyone, who sells this?🤔

[Backed By Stats @BackedByStatsHQ]

@liur946 Hype for you if you got the void!! Unfortunately, we operate out of one of the 3 states FanDuel Bet Protect+ does NOT operate out of, so we’re outta luck on this one!😭

[Backed By Stats @BackedByStatsHQ]

Honestly no words. CeeDee is hurt and is not going to come back. This is genuinely such a bad beat.

Don’t know what to say. We’ll try again another time maybe.

Thanks for the ride 🤝

[Backed By Stats @BackedByStatsHQ]

🪜DAY 10 - $10 to $10,000 LADDER CHALLEGE 🪜

FINAL DAY no matter what for the Ladder Challenge, and it comes down to the Cowboys versus Buccaneers. We have 5 props that we expect to hit with ease!

CeeDee Lamb has had 40+ Receiving yards in his last 16 of 18 games, and has done so in all 4 games this year so far. He only missed this last year when he got hurt in the first quarter against the Bears, and then he missed when the Cowboys pulled their primary starters at half in their final game of the season last year against the Giants. He is the clear WR1 for Dak as we saw last week, and we expect him to clear this pretty easily.

George Pickens has had 25+ Receiving yards in his last 20 of 21 games, and has done so in all 4 games this year thus far. The only game he missed this, was the same situation as CeeDee in the game last year where the Cowboys pulled their primary starters in a final game that simply didn't matter against the Giants. Even though he's the WR2, he is always a threat to any defense, especially on the long ball. We expect a bit more targets this week too in comparison to last week, and expect him to clear this line with ease.

Dak Prescott has cleared 175+ Passing yards in his last 20 of 21 games, and has done so in all 4 games this year, too. The only game he missed, again, is when the Cowboys took him out after the first half in their last game against the Giants last year. Dak is a passing machine, as he has some of the best offensive receivers in the league at his disposal, so we expect him to hit this line easily.

Bucky Irving has had 40+ Rushing & Receiving yards in his last 13 of 14 games, and has done so in all 4 games this year so far. With a backup rookie QB at the helm for the Bucs, we expect Bucky to get a decent amount of rush volume, and more short receptions. We didn't see the short pass to Bucky much last game with Jalon Daniels as the QB, and we expect that to change with the opposing Cowboys defense.

Jake Ferguson has had 2+ Receptions in his last 18 of 21 games, and has done so in all 4 games this year so far. One of those games he missed follows the same principle as the rest of the Cowboy misses, where he only played the first half before getting taken out in the final game against the Giants. Our model has the Bucs Pass defense versus TEs ranked 25th, and expect Ferguson to clear this with ease.

As always, a whole lotta yappin', but let's CLIMB🙌🧗‍♂️

[Backed By Stats @BackedByStatsHQ]

@ArchieLenonwph YUPPPPPP!🤝

[Backed By Stats @BackedByStatsHQ]

@Hustlenp I know, I know. We’ll run it back!

[Backed By Stats @BackedByStatsHQ]

@john_najjar4 Just a crazy beat on day 10. He hasn’t had a day like this in forever and then to top it off he gets hurt. We’ll try to cook again but definitely a bit down by the loss. We’ll bounce back!