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πYields near 4.8% and $97 oil set a risk-heavy tone; Asia rallies anyway
π10 year presses toward 4.8% on a $40tn debt load
πNikkei +2% Kospi +3.65% even as the U.S. hits 3 Iranian tankers; Brent ~$97
βοΈAnak Krakatau eruption shuts Jakarta airport grounding hundreds of flights
π Market Brief: jobs day lands with the Fed leaning toward a hold.
π August payrolls seen at just +53k; unemployment ~4.1%
π EU officially joins the U.S.-led "Operation Economic Outcast" on Iran
π Bond selloff widens: UK gilts hit ~5.2%, highest since 2008
π Market Brief: stocks steady as U.S. yields ease, but the global bond selloff and Iran conflict grind on.
π Dow +0.6% as the 10-year backs off its 4.818% peak
π Japan's 10-year tops 3% (first since 1996); Germany at a 2011 high
β οΈ Iran hits U.S. bases in Kuwait;
π Market Brief: higher yields and $90 oil pressure stocks as the Iran conflict escalates.
π 10-year at a multi-month high; Nasdaq off ~1%
π’οΈ Brent and WTI both above $90 on renewed U.S.-Iran strikes
π¨π³ China alone blocks the G20 statement on "cheap exports"
π August closes higher even as U.S.-Iran tensions escalate.
π Stocks hold August gains (S&P ~+2.5%); futures flat Tuesday
π’οΈ New Hormuz tanker hit (3 projectiles); Iran downs a U.S. MQ-9; Brent near $90
π U.S.-backed NABEP wins 100-yr rights to 65bn barrels in Venezuela
π Market Brief: markets slip as U.S.-Iran tensions flare over the Strait of Hormuz.
π‘οΈ CENTCOM says U.S. struck two Iranian launchers on Larak Island; Iran hit back at U.S. bases
π’οΈ Oil +1%: Brent ~$89, WTI ~$85
β οΈ Trump claims Kharg oil hub hit, but there is no confirmation
π Market Brief: all eyes on Warsh's first Jackson Hole speech as markets weigh a September hold.
π€ Futures flat; CME FedWatch sees ~2-in-3 odds of a hold
ποΈ Gap +~15% on a new Old Navy CEO and an earnings beat
π€ DeepSeek reopens a ~$8bn round at a ~$74bn valuation
π Market Brief: Nvidia's blowout powers an AI rally as energy risks build.
π’ Nvidia: Q2 rev $96.2bn, EPS $2.22; guides ~70% FY28 growth (vs 44%)
π’οΈ Tanker struck in Hormuz; traffic near a standstill
π₯ Europe gas at ~63%; TTF tops β¬68, β¬100 winter risk
πMarket Brief: Nvidia earnings tonight and the July PCE headline the week.
π’Nvidia reports after the close; ~$2.09 EPS on ~$92bn, the S&P's biggest name
ποΈ Oil slides (WTI toward $80) as Iran sanctions land softer than feared
βοΈrump's 30-year Saudi nuclear pact goes to Congress
π Market Brief: markets wait on Nvidia earnings and July PCE (both Wednesday).
π’ Nvidia reports Wed after the close; futures near flat
ποΈ 10-year eases to 4.7% on Treasury buyback-funding talk
π Bessent's "Operation Economic Outcast" warns China is not exempt
π Market Brief: yields near 19-year highs as the U.S. readies its toughest Iran sanctions.
π 30-year near 5.3%; S&P fell 1.4% last week
π’οΈ Bessent trails an "economic D-Day" on Iran; WTI ~$86, Brent ~$93
π¨π³ Alibaba -10% on a $10.2bn AI share sale
π Market Brief: yields snap back and stocks slide as U.S. debt tops $40tn.
π 10-year back near 4.7%; S&P -0.9% (down 1.9% on the week)
ποΈ National debt hits a record $40 trillion, months early
π Hedge funds' crowded bets lag the S&P by the most in ~5 years
π Market Brief: the Treasury steps in to calm the bond market.
π Long-end buybacks doubled to $4bn; 30-year yield backs off its 2007 high
π’οΈ Trump vows the "most crushing" economic hit on Iran; UAE halts all trade, Brent ~$92
πΎ SK Hynix +12% on a 40tn won ($28.7bn) buyback
π Market Brief: a global bond selloff meets a robotics blockbuster.
π 30-year Treasury at a 19-year high; Japan 10-year at a 3-decade peak
π¨π¦ Trump pauses 50% Canada tariffs for 3 days on a pending deal
π€ Unitree robot IPO soars ~542% in Shanghai (DeepSeek, Tencent back it)
MarketCalls β Steve Alain Lawrence on AI, energy and rates:
π’ βI see rates going higher. I donβt see a cut.β β on record
β½ AI lifts energy prices β βyouβll see it at the pumpβ
π 30Y UST today: 5.21% (Aug 13, 2026) β highest since 2001
π 10Y UST: 4.63% | Fed funds: 3.63%
PeakβPeriod Demand Creates Partner Opportunity
Jason Frank explains how traditional firms are unprepared for workload spikes, positioning Pulse as the goβto partner during peak periods.
Market Brief: a cautious macro read; chips and energy in focus.
π July PPI seen +0.2%; retail sales next
π’οΈ Hormuz transits down ~90%; Brent near $88
πΎ Korea's Kospi enters a bull market (+20%); China's YMTC hits 14% NAND share, overtaking Micron