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Entries close Sun 10/18 7:59 PM PT. Draw 8 PM PT. 21+ US only. No purchase necessary.

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Our number: Sam Houston -0.2. Book's number: NM State -2.5. That's a 2.7-point gap on the Bearkats, off our Oct 21 Week 8 ratings, not injury adjusted, and this offense is ice cold. Small gap, real risk, so it's a lean at best. Leans only, nothing locked. 21+ | No guaranteed wins

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New Mexico State at Sam Houston. 5 PM PT on ESPN2. The Bearkats have scored 3 points in back to back games, no TDs in either. But the pass defense is the story: 137.8 yards allowed a game, 4th in the country. NMSU averages 230.5 through the air. Cold offenses, midweek game.

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The Aggies are coming off a 22-3 loss at FIU with three turnovers and 13 days to think about it. Sam Houston lost center Brock Stooks for the season and its right tackle missed two weeks. Both offenses are broken. Whoever protects the ball likely wins, so watch the turnovers.

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THE READ
New stars, a faster Miami team and a number that sits below where several books show it. Over 240.5 at +100.

Over 240.5 (+100) - 4%

21+ | No guaranteed wins

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4% PLAY - PREMIUM

Timberwolves/Heat OVER 240.5 (+100) - 4%

Minnesota at Miami, Wed 7:30-7:40 PM ET, Kaseya Center

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- Season openers with new lineups can start sloppy. The total of 240.5 is already high.
- Rosters changed a lot. Last year's ratings are a rough guide only.
- Injuries: DiVincenzo (Wolves) OUT with Achilles surgery. Goldin (Heat) questionable.

[Bankroll Bets @BankrollBetsHQ]

Wizards won 3 of 4 vs Milwaukee last year. Still, +5.5 on a 17-win team laying points in game 1 is the number we want.

Bucks +5.5 (-127) - 3%

21+ | No guaranteed wins

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FREE PLAY

Bucks +5.5 (-127) - 3%

Milwaukee at Washington, 7:10 PM ET

Breakdown below.

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Milwaukee's rebuilt too, and the offense was 2nd-lowest in the league last year at 110.6. We know it.

But Herro scored 20.5 a game last year and Myles Turner shoots 38.3% from three, which pulls Davis and Sarr off the rim.

[Bankroll Bets @BankrollBetsHQ]

Our number vs the books number: about a 4.7-point gap on the Jags. Off our Oct 13 ratings, not injury adjusted, with injury noise on both sides. Leans only.

Jags or Herd tonight?

21+ | No guaranteed wins

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FREE BREAKDOWN
South Alabama at Marshall - 4:30 PM PT

Tuesday night in Huntington, coal miner helmets, loud building, home dog. Marshall is missing leading rusher Jo'Shon Barbie. USA's backs have 15 TDs between them.

Our number: South Alabama -7.7. Book: South Alabama -3.

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The Jags put up 38.8 points and 438 yards a game, 220 on the ground, off a 56-49 shootout win over Arkansas State. Marshall allows 33.7 and has dropped two straight.

Two leaky defenses makes 64.5 interesting.

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Our number vs the books number: a 7.5-point gap on Delaware, but the number doesn't know the QB is out. Biggest gap, biggest caution tag. Leans only.

Would you touch it without Minicucci?

21+ | No guaranteed wins

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FREE BREAKDOWN
Missouri State at Delaware - 4 PM PT

Biggest gap on our board tonight, with a warning label. Delaware QB Nick Minicucci is OUT. The Blue Hens still throw for 271 a game and the Bears give up 33.8.

Our number: Delaware -10.5. Book: Delaware -3.

[Bankroll Bets @BankrollBetsHQ]

Missouri State scores 17 a game, 120th in the country. First CUSA win came Wed over Kennesaw, but this offense hasn't punished anybody.

Delaware is 0-2 in conference, desperate, at home. The Under is 3-0 in Delaware home games.