The X post shares allegations from Sascha Riley, an Iraq War veteran, who claims he was tortured, abused, raped, and forced to produce films as part of a child trafficking network by wealthy men between ages 9 and 13, with some victims reportedly killed.
The attached image is a graphic framing Riley's testimony as tied to an "Epstein/Trump network," listing Donald Trump, Jim Jordan, Lindsey Graham, Clarence Thomas, and Andy Biggs as figures he is prepared to testify against under oath.
Riley's audio recordings have gone viral in 2026, prompting debate and partisan replies, though the claims have not been confirmed or adjudicated by courts or law enforcement.
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Regarding “being early = same as wrong”
When it comes to TRADING, yea obviously timing matters as much as actual market move direction
But when it comes to ANALYSIS or flagging a VIEW, then OBVIOUSLY by simple chronology it HAS to be BEFORE the ___ event/moment
Don’t conflate the 2
Those who are suddenly coming out of the woodworks now as “JPY carry trade experts” who never said a single word on the matter until AFTER the blow up - they’re “what’s happening now” explainers at best (& nothing wrong with that), but if it’s your job to have considered that risk “early” (i.e. in make or break chronological order) but weren’t even aware - they’d be the LATE & WRONG.
And even worse than being completely unaware until after the fact are those who WERE made aware BEFORE, and then CHOSE to brush it off. The consciously unaware.
Either way- publicly flagging an overlooked scenario and/or potential future risk (provided it has actual thought / reasonable case made behind it) will by definition be a fringe minority view, and either will be brushed off at the time, or pre-labeled as “wrong” by the very nature of risk (that which catches the masses off guard). Stupid as that is, I can understand the human nature behavior element behind that.
But if that fringe minority view actually plays out - those who were on top of it beforehand being labeled “wrong” BECAUSE they were “early” (i.e. chronologically correct) is just nonsensical, and is often done by the LATE.
So again- for trading, “early” (as in “too early” - because obviously you don’t put the trade on after the market already moved) can be right / wrong, but that’s completely on the trader, and what’s right/wrong is proper/mismanagement of their own time horizon, not the view itself.
And for views and analysis - being “early” / ahead of time is the only way that any view put out there would be of use (obviously), and at the very least, it contributes to broadening the horizon of things to think about, regardless of whether that risk actually comes to fruition or not.
There were roughly -100% less “BOJ front end policy rate strategists/commentary” at the time I first flagged this public statement 2 years ago (back when not just BOJ, but ECB & SNB still had negative rates) vs how many there are today. Guess I was wrong for purposely not waiting to put the thought out there until after it became cool (over-saturated) to do so
@leadlagreport@peruvian_bull
Nancy Pelosi can receive privileged information with private meetings about the economy, foreign affairs, public policy, and is married to someone who runs a hedge fun. That's totally fine.
But Keith posting his trade on reddit is the problem.