Baseline Politics

News, Politics, and Election Information

[Baseline Politics @BaselineNow]

Florida House District 11 Democratic Primary Poll

🟦 Pericola 33%
🟦 Webster 7%
🟦 Williams 5%

MDW Communications — James Pericola Internal
(Jul 28–29, 553 LV)

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Florida House District 11 General Poll (Trump +16 District)

🟦 Strada 42%
🟥 Pericola 42%

MDW Communications — James Pericola (D) Internal
(Jul 28–29, 1,044 LV)

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Florida House District 25 Republican Primary Poll

🟥 Franzese 28%
🟥 Moraitis 23%
🟥 Singer 19%
🟥 Kaufman 7%
🟥 Harrison 2%

McLaughlin & Associates — Dan Franzese Internal
(Aug 1–2, 300 LV)

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Florida House District 25 Republican Primary Poll

🟥 Moraitis 14%
🟥 Singer 13%
🟥 Kaufman 5%
🟥 Franzese 4%
🟥 Harrison 0%

McLaughlin & Associates — Dan Franzese Internal
(May 2–5, 300 LV)

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Massachusetts House District 6 Democratic Primary Poll

🟦 Koh 34%
🟦 Beccia 15%
🟦 Nguyen 14%
🟦 Belsito 6%
🟦 Lancaster 3%
🟦 Andres-Beck 3%

Global Strategy Group — Dan Koh Internal
(Jul 30–Aug 2, 400 LV)

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U.S. House Generic Ballot Poll

🟦 Democrats 46%
🟥 Republicans 42%

YouGov — The Economist
(Jul 31–Aug 3, RV)

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Alabama U.S. Senate General Poll

🟥 Moore 47%
🟦 Wess 32%

yes. every kid.
(Jul 8–11, 601 LV)

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Alabama Governor General Poll

🟥 Tuberville 49%
🟦 Jones 41%

yes. every kid.
(Jul 8–11, 601 LV)

[Baseline Politics @BaselineNow]

Texas Governor General Poll

🟥 Abbott 49%
🟦 Hinojosa 43%
🟨 Dixon 3%

Texas Southern University
(Jul 27–30, 1,200 LV)

[Baseline Politics @BaselineNow]

Texas U.S. Senate General Poll

🟦 Talarico 47%
🟥 Paxton 45%
🟨 Brown 2%

Texas Southern University
(Jul 27–30, 1,200 LV)

[Baseline Politics @BaselineNow]

Texas U.S. House District 15 General Poll

🟦 Pulido 51%
🟥 De La Cruz 45%

Texas Tribune — House Majority PAC
(Aug 3)

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Generic Ballot General Poll

🟦 Dem 42%
🟥 Rep 37%

Ipsos — Reuters
(Jul 29–Aug 3, 3,542 RV)

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Florida U.S. House District 12 General Poll (Trump +15 District)

🟥 Bilirakis 42%
🟦 McAuley 40%

Public Policy Polling — Darren McAuley (D) Internal
(Jun 26–27, 594 RV)

[Baseline Politics @BaselineNow]

U.S. House Generic Ballot Poll

🟦 Democrats 44%
🟥 Republicans 36%

Focaldata
(Jul 14–20, 2,064 A)

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Michigan Governor Republican Primary Poll

🟥 James 36%
🟥 Johnson 23%
🟥 Cox 21%
🟥 Nesbitt 3%

co/efficient — Michael Anthony Cox Internal
(Jul 14–16, 773 LV)

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Connecticut Governor General Poll

🟦 Lamont 55%
🟥 Fazio 33%

🟦 Elliott 49%
🟥 Fazio 34%

GreatBlue Research
(Jul 21–26, LV)

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Connecticut Governor Democratic Primary Poll

🟦 Lamont 57%
🟦 Elliott 22%

GreatBlue Research
(Jul 21–26, 374 LV)

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Michigan Governor Republican Primary Poll

🟥 James 50%
🟥 Johnson 22%
🟥 Cox 13%
🟥 Nesbitt 5%

Mitchell Research & Communications
(Jul 28–29, 332 LV)

[Baseline Politics @BaselineNow]

Ohio U.S. House District 7 General Poll (Trump +11 District)

🟦 Poindexter 44%
🟥 Miller 39%

Unkown Republican Firm (Reported by NOTUS)
(Jul 29–30)

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Tennessee Governor Republican Primary Poll (2026)

🟥 Blackburn 42%
🟥 Rose 25%
🟥 Fritts 22%

Fabrizio, Lee & Associates — Marsha Blackburn (R) Internal
(Jul 26–28, 800 LV)