Imagine buying 1 BTC at every single top for 10 years.
$19,800 Dec 2017
$64,900 Apr 2021
$69,000 Nov 2021
$73,700 Mar 2024
$109,300 Jan 2025
$126,200 Oct 2025
Total spent: $463K
Today those 6 BTC = $480K
Even the world’s worst trader still made money.
@Amira_M_Ali Hätte die Sovietunion sich 1943/1944 auch auf sowas einlassen sollen oder aber war es ok selbst unter größten Verlusten zu hoffen sein Land befreien zu können?
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Want to have your mind blown?
In 1971, the median household income was $9,030, or 220 ounces of gold.
In 2025, it was $87,460, or just 25 ounces of gold.
Your paycheck went up 10x.
Measured in gold, it fell 88%.
To earn what the median household earned in 1971, you’d need about $890,000 per year today.
That’s what fiat debasement looks like.
🇮🇹🇺🇦 WOW! WHAT A SPEECH! WHAT POWERFUL WORDS FROM ITALIAN PRIME MINISTER GIORGIA MELONI!
Here is the full five-minute excerpt of her speech devoted to Ukraine and Donald Trump.
“Russia has launched a new autumn campaign against Ukraine.
Unable to advance on the battlefield, Moscow has increasingly turned its attacks against civilians: power plants, residential buildings, hospitals, and even buses carrying people to work, as in the horrific massacre in Kramatorsk.
This is a strategy through which Russia seeks to subjugate Ukraine with terror, cold, and darkness, simply because it has failed to conquer it on the battlefield.
The facts contradict Kremlin propaganda and those who spread it here.
Since the beginning of the year, Russia has captured very little territory, and in September it lost much of what it had previously seized.
This halt did not happen by chance. It was achieved through Ukraine’s courage and Western support, including that of Italy.
This resistance is the only effective instrument for bringing Russia to the negotiating table.
I respect and understand the passionate debate on this issue, including within this chamber, because nobody here wants war.
We all want peace.
The difference lies in how we intend to achieve it.
As I see it, supporting Ukraine is not an alternative to peace. It is what makes peace possible.
Because if an aggressor expects its opponent to surrender, why would it negotiate?
Surrender is not peace. It is conquest.
If Ukraine stopped defending itself tomorrow, as many suggest, we would not have peace.
We would be discussing the occupation of a European nation and the return of Soviet imperialism.
Personally, I do not miss those times. I do not miss Russian tanks crushing uprisings in Prague and Budapest.
I do not miss the Berlin Wall.
And nobody will ever convince me that the surrender of those defending their freedom can be called ‘peace.’
The peace we want, and the peace we are working toward, even at the cost of concessions, is a just peace, because only a just peace can endure.
Only a just peace can protect Europe and our interests.
That is why our government's position remains unchanged: support for Ukraine, with particular attention to civilians, pressure on Moscow, and Euro-Atlantic unity remain the pillars of our actions.
In this context, we must address Donald Trump's diesel agreement with Russia.
This is a decision I consider extremely risky.
Of course, we all recognize the need to contain fuel prices, which place a heavy burden on families, including Italian families.
But we must understand that rising prices are primarily linked to the war in Iran, not Ukraine.
Legitimizing Moscow, whose bombs continue to fall on Ukrainian cities, providing new revenues to finance the war, and weakening sanctions are all factors we cannot ignore.
And they contradict everything Western nations, including the United States, have done to force Putin to the negotiating table.
An energy ceasefire is a different matter, one that Italy supports, and we are grateful to President Zelenskyy for Ukraine's immediate willingness to agree to it.
Now we expect Russia to stop attacking Ukraine's energy infrastructure.
Finally, at such a difficult moment, when so many variables are beyond our control, there is at least one thing that depends on us:
We must ensure that Europe does not simply stand by and watch, because the terms of peace will affect our continent and our security.”
— Giorgia Meloni, Prime Minister of Italy
It is sickening that the USA is now lifting sanctions on Russian fuel, and transparently ridiculous to blame Ukraine for the spike in prices that obviously began with the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. Putin is murdering innocent Ukrainian civilians every day. The Ukrainians are fighting for their lives. And yet the White House is apparently determined to force American drivers to bankroll Putin’s slaughter. It won’t work and I doubt it will make much difference to the price of fuel.
If we want Russian oil and gas back on the world market then let’s end this war - with a free, sovereign and independent Ukraine.
President Trump’s decision to lift sanctions on Russian fuel amidst Putin’s ongoing and brutal attacks on civilian targets in Ukraine makes no sense and is a betrayal of the legacy and leadership of the late Senator Lindsey Graham.
While Ukraine fights for its survival, Putin’s war machine continues to prosecute his terrorist war on civilian populations and innocent Ukrainians are dying every day.
Now, Instead of implementing the tough sanctions Lindsey Graham fought to his last breath to enact, President Trump has announced the United States is lifting sanctions on Russian energy, fueling the Putin’s war machine.
As I saw firsthand in Ukraine last month, Putin is losing this war. Ukraine has fought the Russian military to a standstill and reinvented warfare with drones taking the fight into the heart of Russia.
America should not be throwing a lifeline to Putin’s war machine. Now is the time to stand strong against Russian aggression as we did during the first Trump administration.
Putin doesn’t want peace. Putin wants Ukraine. I have no doubt that if Putin overruns Ukraine, it will only be a matter of time until Russia’s military crosses a border that our troops will have to deal with him.
America is the Leader of the Free World. For our National Security, for the security of our Allies in Europe including Ukraine, President Trump should rescind this deal immediately and return to the strong policies of our four years in the White House; impose harsh sanctions on any nation purchasing Russian energy and work with our allies to ensure Ukraine has the military support it needs to repel and defeat this Russian invasion once and for all. Slava Ukraini🇺🇸🇺🇦
Mehr als einen Monat nach meiner präzisen Vorhersage des russischen Angriffs auf die Ukraine vom 3. Dezember 2021 ließ das damalige SPD-geführte Kanzleramt meinen Artikel gegenüber mehreren Journalisten dementieren.
Als Grundlage für dieses Dementi dienten nach Aussage hochrangiger deutscher Beamter damals Versicherungen des FSB gegenüber dem BND, wonach der russische Aufmarsch in Belarus und an der Grenze zur Ukraine lediglich ein Bluff sei, mit dem Russland die NATO zu Zugeständnissen bewegen wolle. Ein Angriff auf die Ukraine sei nicht geplant.
Der BND und die damalige Bundesregierung hielten diese Versicherungen für „glaubwürdiger“ als meine Recherchen, die auf Grundlage geheimdienstglicher Erkenntnisse befreundeter Staaten veröffentlicht wurden.
Deutschland handelte entsprechend: Statt Waffen zu liefern, schickte man den damaligen BND-Präsidenten Bruno Kahl nach Kyjiw. Er befand sich dort am 24. Februar 2022, als Russland den Großangriff auf die Ukraine begann. Nach eigener Aussage wurde sein damaliger Besuch erst im Januar 2022 geplant.
Es ist unfassbar, dass wir Jahrzehnte russischer Unterwanderung unserer Dienste sowie unserer Regierungen(!) bis heute nicht aufarbeiten.
Stattdessen will die Mehrheit der Deutschen eine Partei an der Spitze unseres Landes, die den Landesverrat zur offiziellen Staatsraison machen will.
As a nation, we simply cannot go on like this. History is blunt about what happens when a country waits to remove a madman: the longer the delay, the more horrific the ending. This is not going to end well. America has to find the moral courage to do what is required, while it still can.
V Kataru nalezli ropu a za pouhých 35 let z něj jeden beduín udělal nejbohatší zemi světa.
V Rusku nalezli: ropu, plyn, zlato, diamanty, vlastně celou Mendělejevovu tabulku. Akorát pořád nenašli beduína.
A simplified Bitcoin flow model:
It takes roughly 300,000 BTC of net buying to double the price.
Symmetrically, roughly 300,000 BTC of net selling cuts the price in half.
That’s the model.
Bull market:
Bitcoin went from roughly $30K when the ETF was announced to about $120K — a 4x.
Estimated institutional buying: ~1.2M BTC
Exceptional OG selling: ~600K BTC
Net buying: ~600K BTC
600K net buying = two doublings.
$30K → $60K → $120K.
Bear market:
Bitcoin went from roughly $120K to $60K.
Exceptional OG selling: ~600K BTC
Saylor/Strategy buying: ~300K BTC
Net selling: ~300K BTC
One halving.
$120K → $60K.
Simple model. Surprisingly good fit.
❗️ CHILDREN IN GAZA EXPLOITED: Footage shows a terrorist using a child to transfer weapons into a civilian home in central Gaza, using him as a human shield to transfer the weapons, in an attempt to prevent the IDF from striking & thwarting their transfer.
Upon identifying the presence of a child, the IDF refrained from carrying out any strikes against the terrorist.
AI will take everyone’s jobs.
... until they invent new ones.
AI alone probably won’t take your job.
But someone using AI might. So you should lean in to AI.
People react to new technologies in three ways:
1. The Resisters: "AI is ruining everything!"
2. The Ignorers: “I don’t understand AI.”
3. The Adopters: "How can I use this to get better?"
It's not AI vs. humans. It's humans with AI vs. humans without AI.
We’re not cutting our team because of AI.
We’re GROWING it.
Our team with AI can accomplish 10x more than our team without it.
Businesses without websites died in the 90s.
Same thing is happening now.
If you're not experimenting with AI in your industry, someone else is.
And they're going to serve your customers better.
Faster.
Cheaper.
The buggy whip makers of the 1800s became car mechanics.
They pivoted or perished.
Which camp are you in?
I agree 💯
It’s very difficult to generate true randomness in the strict mathematical sense. Computers execute deterministic procedures, so they’re not really creating randomness in the hardcore sense.
True randomness comes from real-world processes, like rolling unbiased dice.
I can totally see the dice industry experiencing a renaissance thanks to the Bitcoin community after the Coldcard screw-up.
A few thoughts on the Coldcard security incident (in no particular order):
1. This is devastating for a lot of people. They lost their hard-earned economic value in a way most didn’t realize was possible. Not everyone is a technical genius, but almost all are merely looking to build a better life for themselves and their family. I feel for these people and their new reality.
2. I have personally lost bitcoin in the past and it is never fun. The only lesson I can impart from my personal experience on those going through this is that you are unlikely to change the past. Don’t spend immense time thinking about what could have been, but rather focus on a plan moving forward. You can only control your actions and response, so focus on how to come back stronger.
3. People will inevitably attack the various investors in Coldcard, or the podcasters promoting the product, but that anger is misplaced and unproductive. I saw this phenomenon first-hand with the BlockFi situation. Even though I wasn’t involved in the company’s operations, people wanted someone to blame and they came for those who were the most accessible. To those who are angry, don’t waste your time attacking those who are not responsible. To those who will be unjustly attacked, this too shall pass.
4. This incident highlights the difficulty with self-custody. I fundamentally believe in an individual’s right to have true sovereignty over their assets. It is one of the core value propositions of bitcoin. But we must also recognize that self-custody is a technically complex topic that some, but not all, are prepared to take on. Better education and better technology can help bridge this gap in the future.
5. The mainstream media hasn’t picked up this story yet, but I am sure they will at some point. They can’t resist the “bitcoin was hacked!” storyline. Obviously bitcoin was not hacked and there is no known security vulnerability with the protocol. This was a third-party issue, but that won’t stop the misinformation, so it is important to combat the misinformation with facts.
6. Sentiment in the bitcoin industry is very bad right now. This is normal in a bear market, so it is not surprising. But a security incident like this is equivalent to throwing a match on gasoline. There will be more anger, in-fighting, and unproductive nonsense. If this is your first time experiencing it, welcome to the arena. If you have seen it before, you know the negative sentiment will eventually evaporate and the sun will shine again over the next 12-18 months.
7. There are very real ramifications to the acceleration in AI technology. I am not sure if AI played a part in this hack, but it wouldn’t surprise me if that was the case. Every developer should take this new capability seriously and consider how they can enhance their security practices accordingly.
8. The bitcoin community is just as resilient as the network itself. We have been through insane, painful moments throughout the years. This is another one. The only way forward is to go through the fire.
In conclusion, this situation sucks for everyone affected. I genuinely feel for you and intimately understand the pain from my own past experiences.
Keep your head up and continue walking forward.
Love you all ❤️
The Coldcard bug explained in simple terms:
Normally, a hardware wallet generates your 12 word seed phrase using true randomness.
Think of it like a lottery with roughly 340 undecillion possible tickets (that’s a 340 followed by 36 zeros). Every ticket has an equal chance of being picked, making the odds of guessing your seed essentially zero.
The bug didn’t shorten the 2,048-word BIP-39 word list. It changed how the wallet picked the words.
Instead of choosing from the entire lottery, the wallet kept picking from the same tiny corner because the “random” numbers were partially predictable from things like the device’s ID and timing.
Imagine that instead of 340 undecillion possible combinations, your wallet accidentally chose from only a few billion. That’s still a huge number, but astronomically smaller than what Bitcoin’s security is designed to provide.
Your seed phrase still looked completely normal. The words came from the same 2,048-word list. Nothing looked suspicious.
But for an attacker, the search space became millions of trillions of trillions of times smaller.