@theflowvault@StateAndSilicon@KalshiPolitics It’s actually not though
One example
Wisconsin Democratic Primary (August 2026):
Both Kalshi and Polymarket assigned a candidate a ~95% probability of winning the gubernatorial primary, but she ultimately lost.
TRUMP: World War III has never been closer than it is right now.
“Take a look at the globalist warmonger donors backing our opponents. That’s because they’re candidates of war. I am the President who delivers peace, and it’s peace through strength.”