BeatTheMargin

[BeatTheMargin @BeatTheMargin]

5/ The verdict — two picks, both MED, zero HIGH:

• Ounahi SOT — over
• Amrabat fouls — over

No HIGH tonight because the data doesn't earn one. Tiers that only go up are marketing.

Which lands?

[BeatTheMargin @BeatTheMargin]

Last time Canada met Morocco: ZERO shots on target. Zero open-play goals.

Tonight the market is pricing their attackers off 8 group-stage goals.

The board this changes 👇

[BeatTheMargin @BeatTheMargin]

4/ And Sofyan Amrabat, fouls committed — OVER.

Canada play the fastest transitions left in the draw. Amrabat's whole job is chopping them early — 13 direct pressures last meeting.

His CARD? No. The ref has zero verified numbers. Fouls yes, card no.

[BeatTheMargin @BeatTheMargin]

5/ The verdict:

• Total goals — under
• Draw in 90
• Canada cards — over

One idea, three ways: the match everyone inside it is preparing for.

Which is the sharpest?

[BeatTheMargin @BeatTheMargin]

Morocco are 1.77 favourites with THREE draws in their last five.

And the previews are unanimously selling “value on 3+ goals.”

Don't buy it 👇

[BeatTheMargin @BeatTheMargin]

4/ The cards: Canada booked 2-2-1-2 across the group, 4 in the last meeting with Morocco — a reckless-by-design team defending Hakimi's flank all night.

Canada team cards — OVER. Held at MED because the ref has no verified numbers. We say that part too.

[BeatTheMargin @BeatTheMargin]

All reads, misses included:
https://t.co/QWCdsqROEw

[BeatTheMargin @BeatTheMargin]

New on the site — both of today's Round of 16 matches:

🇫🇷 France v Paraguay
🇨🇦 Canada v Morocco

Player props + tactical read for each.
Both free 👇

[BeatTheMargin @BeatTheMargin]

@livescore in Euro cups???

[BeatTheMargin @BeatTheMargin]

@433 crazy, goats

[BeatTheMargin @BeatTheMargin]

@TrollFootball sugar??

[BeatTheMargin @BeatTheMargin]

@TrollFootball lol

[BeatTheMargin @BeatTheMargin]

@FIFAWorldCup fixed

[BeatTheMargin @BeatTheMargin]

Full player-props read — every number sourced, every rejected pick explained: https://t.co/0dJeEP1Kvd

[BeatTheMargin @BeatTheMargin]

Ghana commit 15.3 fouls a game — the most of any team left at this World Cup.

The referee? 3.38 yellows a game. Barely books anyone.

That contradiction IS the edge 👇

[BeatTheMargin @BeatTheMargin]

Full player-props read — every number sourced, every rejected pick explained: https://t.co/0dJeEP1Kvd

[BeatTheMargin @BeatTheMargin]

Thomas Partey has 18 tackles at this World Cup. Six per game — nobody has more.

Tonight Ghana face the biggest possession side they've seen.

The board writes itself 👇

[BeatTheMargin @BeatTheMargin]

5/ The verdict:

• Díaz shots — over
• Partey tackles — over
• Ayew fouls drawn + Lucumí fouls committed — the pair

Two collisions, four picks.

Which lands first?

[BeatTheMargin @BeatTheMargin]

4/ The trap: Antoine Semenyo. 21 goals in his club season — 3 shots and 0.15 xG in this tournament, on a flagged ankle.

The market prices the name. Queiroz's system deleted the role.

Every Semenyo over is a donation.