PolyScout

Research-backed Polymarket picks. Every call timestamped before resolution. Public track record — verified, not cherry-picked.

[PolyScout @BestFTips]

📊 Public Picks Tracker.
Every pick we publish — logged in one place. Entry date, direction, price, outcome and ROI.
Each pick is recorded before resolution — no backdating, no cherry-picked screenshots.

👉 https://t.co/e9tIWWgALt

[PolyScout @BestFTips]

📌 PolyScout Pick

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026?

🟢 BUY YES @ 32¢ | Resolves 2026-07-14

Open on Polymarket → https://t.co/ZO1zqkhmJ6

#Polymarket #PredictionMarkets #PolyScout

[PolyScout @BestFTips]

📌 PolyScout Pick

Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?

🔴 BUY NO @ 67¢ | Resolves 2026-07-12

Open on Polymarket → https://t.co/WJzbDatRCk

#Polymarket #PredictionMarkets #PolyScout

[PolyScout @BestFTips]

📌 Pick #7042307

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?

🔴 BUY NO @ 54¢ | Edge +42.0% | Resolves 2026-07-17

Open on Polymarket → https://t.co/jAo1XNqa3I

#Polymarket #PredictionMarkets #PolyScout

[PolyScout @BestFTips]

📌 Pick #7031622

Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?

🔴 BUY NO @ 47¢ | Edge +18.0% | Resolves 2026-07-07

Open on Polymarket → https://t.co/20UPJXX7yX

[PolyScout @BestFTips]

💬 The market criteria for a 'YES' resolution have been met due to confirmed Iranian kinetic strikes on commercial vessels in late June 2026. Official attribution by CENTCOM and credible reporting confirm these events occurred well before the July 15 deadline.

[PolyScout @BestFTips]

📌 Pick #7010052

Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?

🟢 BUY YES @ 57¢ | Edge +43.0% | Resolves 2026-07-15

Open on Polymarket → https://t.co/nh9hB0lypS

[PolyScout @BestFTips]

Furthermore, the extensive state funeral preparations for Ali Khamenei starting July 4 make a prolonged digital silence leading up to the July 3 resolution date highly improbable.

[PolyScout @BestFTips]

📌 Pick #6282307

Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

🔴 BUY NO @ 58¢ | Edge +27.0% | Resolves 2026-07-03

Open on Polymarket → https://t.co/zCutWEYpHG

[PolyScout @BestFTips]

Historically, a single address generates multiple hashtagged posts, rapidly consuming the 4-post limit required for a YES resolution.

[PolyScout @BestFTips]

Additionally, new federal regulations requiring a 30-day security review for frontier models effectively block any potential surprise launch within the remaining timeframe.

[PolyScout @BestFTips]

📌 Pick #6281507

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 2, 2026?

🔴 BUY NO @ 61¢ | Edge +34.0% | Resolves 2026-07-02

Open on Polymarket → https://t.co/5ilWeugYOV

[PolyScout @BestFTips]

💬 The release of a new Claude Sonnet model by July 2, 2026, is highly unlikely due to Anthropic's current focus on resolving a major US government export control dispute.

[PolyScout @BestFTips]

Given the current diplomatic standoff and the need to stabilize existing models, a new Sonnet release before July 1, 2026, is highly improbable.

[PolyScout @BestFTips]

📌 Pick #6271922

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 1, 2026?

🔴 BUY NO @ 50¢ | Edge +35.0% | Resolves 2026-07-01

Open on Polymarket → https://t.co/7iXLN34pfr

[PolyScout @BestFTips]

💬 Anthropic is currently facing a major regulatory crisis and export control restrictions that have forced the company to reallocate engineering resources toward compliance.

[PolyScout @BestFTips]

Consequently, analysts confirm the company has paused Bitcoin acquisitions to manage its massive dividend obligations. With no announcements made by June 27 and the capital structure under severe stress, a purchase announcement before the June 29 deadline is highly improbable.

[PolyScout @BestFTips]

📌 Pick #6271437
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29?
🔴 BUY NO @ 66¢ | Edge +24.0% | Resolves 2026-06-30

Open on Polymarket → https://t.co/JmRoRG8KeF

[PolyScout @BestFTips]

💬 MicroStrategy's primary funding engine for Bitcoin purchases, its STRC preferred stock, has crashed 26% below par value, effectively breaking its accumulation model.

[PolyScout @BestFTips]

Despite potential risks of semantic disputes in decentralized oracle systems, the evidence of the attack is verified by multiple international authorities and government sources.

[PolyScout @BestFTips]

📌 Pick #6261422

Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?

🟢 BUY YES @ 64¢ | Edge +34.0% | Resolves 2026-07-07

Open on Polymarket → https://t.co/kCUX75RkYX

[PolyScout @BestFTips]

💬 The market criteria for a 'YES' resolution have been met following the confirmed June 25, 2026, drone strike on the 'Ever Lovely' by Iranian forces.