TX_Bets

Experienced CFB & CBB Bettor, free daily picks and leans. Let's have fun--will track W/Ls for the people! Not Financial Advice!

[TX_Bets @Bets_TX]

Hello World--this is a new account for CFB/CBB picks and sides. CFB picks will be released daily during CFB season with widely available lines. Times of release will vary. Best of luck to all!

[TX_Bets @Bets_TX]

Daily Bets 11/07

Clemson @ VA Tech
Over 53

Based on projection that both Drones and Tutin are playing for Virginia Tech. Bounce back spot for Clemson, so don't want to mess with the side.

Oklahoma @ Missouri
OU -3

This is both a play on Oklahoma and fading Drew Pine. Boomer

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Daily Bet 11/05
Iowa @ UCLA 🐻
Over 44.5

Iowa has secretly been an over machine, very contrary to past years. I think this will be a close game but my numbers have this on the other side of the key number of 45.

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Early bets from Yesterday:

Cal -7
Duke +3
Uconn -6
Colorado -3
Jx St -10.5

Miami OH/Ball St o49

More bets to come!

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Tougher week than last week,
11-13, -3u
29-24, +2.4u on the posts!

[TX_Bets @Bets_TX]

cont'd
Mich St +7.5 ❌
Coastal u53.5 ❌
SMU -7 ✅
A&M 1H u22 ❌
Fav Parlay (Tulane, Memphis, Georgia, Oregon, Miss St, Fresno St, Tennessee): +208 ❌
Akron +1 ❌
North Carolina -2✅
Arkansas +7.5 ❌
UCLA +7 ✅
Army 1Q -6.5 (0.5 unit) ❌

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Results:

Openers:
JAX St +1.5 ✅
Stanford +10 ❌
Penn St +3.5 ❌
Old Dom -2 ❌
Louisville +12 ✅
South Carolina +3.5 ✅

In-Week:
Tex St o58.5 ❌
UCF -6 ✅
Toledo -8.5 ❌
Hawaii u48.5 ✅

Additional Bets:
Ga St +7.5 ✅
Mem -7 ❌
NW u47 ✅
Penn St u46 ✅
Georgia -16 ❌

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Add

Army 1Q -6.5 (0.5 unit)

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Summary of Picks WTD

Openers:
JAX St +1.5 ✅
Stanford +10
Penn St +3.5
Old Dom -2
Louisville +12
South Carolina +3.5

In-Week:
Tex St o58.5 ❌
UCF -6
Toledo -8.5
Hawaii u48.5

Additional Bets (will add):
Ga St +7.5
Mem -7
NW u47
Penn St +3.5
Penn St u46
Georgia -16

1/2

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Akron +1
North carolina -2
Arkansas +7.5
UCLA +7

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Daily Bets 10/31
Hawaii @ Fresno St
u48.5

Defenses have most of the advantages in this matchup in pure EPA matchups. Teams will have to drive to score (and I'm not convinced Hawaii will do that consistently). Under at 48.5

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Daily Bets 10/30 🚀
Toledo @ Eastern Michigan
Toledo -8.5

Against a tougher schedule, Toledo has a 2.6 YPP edge over Eastern Michigan in the L3 games. Going against the EMU voodoo on this one. Lay it with the Rockets.

And if it loses, it's Jason Candle's fault!

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Rough start to the week. Forecast updated in the last 1-2 days for Louisiana/Texas St included 21 MPH wind gusts in San Marcos. That + Jordan McCloud getting injured killed this over pretty quickly.

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Arizona has been dead. And their QB feels broken. Maybe he snaps back--I'm betting against it.

L3 Game YPP Margin against similar SOS: UCF 2.4 higher

Lay it with the Knights

[TX_Bets @Bets_TX]

Sorry for the delay everyone. Will have two daily picks to make up for missing out on yesterdays.

Pick #1
Louisiana @ Texas St
Over 58.5

Two potent offenses here. Both have been under teams in conference play, but neither have been in a game where they are playing another

1/3

[TX_Bets @Bets_TX]

good offense. In the NonCon, when these teams played good Offenses, there were lots of points. Think we see the same here. Over is good to 58.5

Pick #2
Arizona @ UCF
UCF -6 (or -6.5)

Two disappointing teams in this spot. UCF has had a pulse recently against stiffer competition

[TX_Bets @Bets_TX]

Early Bets (10/27) for the week:
Jax St +1.5
Stanford +10
Penn St +3.5
Old Dom -2
Louisville +12
South Carolina +3.5

Purely based on Power ratings and high-level spots (Fading A&M post big LSU win).

Will have another pick later today...

[TX_Bets @Bets_TX]

17-8 on the week
+7.45 units

18-11 on the posts
+5.4 units on the posts

Killer week! Let's do it again

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Total Card for the Week:
Jax St TTo41.5 (W)
Pitt -6 (W)
Pitt/Syracuse U62 (W)
Louisville -6.5 (L)
Boise St -2.5 (W)--2 units
Ole Miss -20
Notre Dame -13.5
VA Tech -10
Tulane/UNT o65.5
Georgia St +8
Temple +7
Northwestern +14.5
BG/Toledo U49.5
Utah St. -1
Penn St -6.5

1/2

[TX_Bets @Bets_TX]

Adding:

Western Michigan TTo39.5
SMU -11
OU @ Ole Miss u50
Akron ML