@Atenov_D@bl888m_eth following doesn't work with my approach (most of the time). Also, I might have a hedge for certain trades with other instruments/derivatives so you don't know if it's a directional bet or super short term or something else
Your edge on Polymarket can be as simple as trading while everyone else is asleep.
Some of my best trades on US stocks happened during the overnight and pre-market session. Fewer bots are active and the orderbook is slower to react.
Some people think the whole world is just one big Polymarket orderbook: anonymous, zero-sum, and every interaction is an opportunity to extract money from someone less careful...
Someone is cooking something... @PolymarketTrade
I see a lot of similar-looking accounts placing these kind of trades in inactive markets: Literally transferring money from one account to another. I guess soon we'll see a new winner on the leaderboard coming out of nowhere.
A series of UP or DOWN always attracts Martingale-Players... The problem: They drive the price for the next 50/50 outcome sometimes up to 60c, before the start of the next 15min-block, and then they have to buy even more shares to cover previous losses...
THEY DID IT AGAIN: Manipulating the 15-min BTC market @Polymarket
BTC was down ~$20 in the last minute but the price for DOWN on the 15-min up or down market was just 20c vs. 80c for UP. Someone was heavily buying UP. Then, in the last 30 seconds, BTC shoots up $35 and UP wins!
@Andrey_10gwei You built your calculation on the already false assumption of doubling 16x in a row. Don't you see that 16x would turn $12 into 786k, not 100k? To turn $12 into $3000, you need a mere 256 accounts and just about 3k (someone mentioned, from 3k onwards, he traded normally).
Its crazy to me how people have such little understanding of basic math when it comes to probabilities and @Polymarket. 8300x means doubling your account 13 times, not 16 times. Very big difference!! Just use a calculator
I DID IT!!! Turned $12 into $100,000 (over 8,300x) by going all-in and doubling my bankroll 16 times in a row on short-term BTC moves - while sharing my bets and the reasoning behind them along the way.
This is only possible on @Polymarket !!!
It took a lot of work and real skin in the game, so if you’re reading this, a simple RT or comment would really mean a lot.
Huge shoutout to @shayne_coplanand @Polymarket team for building the best prediction market platform out there. And special thanks to @zscdao and @PolymarketTrade for the support🤝
Track my progress here: https://t.co/9MOdfR72Nd