Beventov

Perp demon @thewiredfnf

[Beventov @Beventov1]

Great thesis, absolutely a free dip on $PENG

[RJC @RJCcapital]

$PENG - tweets raising alarm bells over the offering as "massive" dilution are overblown. The stock should be up not down.

> The $650M headline is principal amount, not equity issuance; offering size as a percentage of market cap is not the dilution rate

> $PENG existing $350M of 2029/2030 convertibles are deeply in the money at $21/$28 conversion prices. At current $77 share price, they already embed approximately 7.2–8.1M net shares after capped calls, equivalent to 14–16% existing dilution

> Shares issued through the new offering crystallize this existing dilution while eliminating the corresponding conversion. Estimated net-new dilution from the refinancing is approximately 0–1%.

> The new 2031 notes create future dilution if $PENG exceeds the new conversion price (30% premium to closing price) and settles the value above principal in shares

> Capped calls offset that conversion dilution up to a higher cap price. Above the cap, the hedge no longer provides a full offset and net dilution increases as the stock appreciates

Economically, the transaction resets a deeply in-the-money $21/$28 conversion overhang to a substantially higher strike. Final dilution depends on the new conversion premium, capped-call ceiling and exchange consideration.

For the truly economically illiterate on here I have created this simple graphic showing the dilution at set share prices. Please correct me if anything you see here is incorrect.

[Beventov @Beventov1]

What he said

[RJC @RJCcapital]

seems too high

[Beventov @Beventov1]

🚀HOW I AM GOING TO MAKE 10K TOMORROW WHILE SITTING IN BED🔥🔥🔥

CPI TOMORROW = STRAIGHT PUMP INTO CLOSE

Iran FUD is priced in, earnings season is looking insanley strong as we saw with $PENG leading the way.

Polymarket is saying that the fed will maintain rates this meeting, and we have the most bullish earnings lineup in the next coming weeks.

LONG TN, RISK ON LOADING...

[Beventov @Beventov1]

@shaams @RowdyCrypto If Shaams has a million fans, I am one of them.
If Shaams has ten fans, I am one of them.
If Shaams has only one fan, then that is me.
If Shaams has no fans, that means I am no longer on this earth.

If the world is against Shaams, then I am against the world.

[Beventov @Beventov1]

@Quanterty Short term fud look at the recovery it is already having after hours, nothing changed about the earnings or company they just need to rebalance there budget

[Beventov @Beventov1]

@kevinxu @TheBigBerbowski Dude stop doom posting, it went to $90 and the dip is already getting eaten up 😭🐧🐧🐧

[Beventov @Beventov1]

Ignore this short term $PENG FUD, Nothing about the company or earnings has changed, and this dip just got eaten up after hours almost instantly.

All time high soon.

[Beventov @Beventov1]

@kevinxu No shot you just took a picture when it was down 11%, it has already recovered ~6% and this was a move that will most likely be eaten up

[Beventov @Beventov1]

@blknoiz06 @Route2FI @NestUSD Ansem bro look into @nadoHQ for this

[Beventov @Beventov1]

Seeing bottom signals on $KOSPI

[一些蓝 @BlueBluebiu11]

韩国金融监督院：韩国7月13日全市场累计超 120 万杠杆散户账户触及保证金追缴，其中约 32–36 万账户被券商全额强制平仓（本金清零、部分倒欠券商负债）

最好的夏天，哎。

[Beventov @Beventov1]

Iran news has been priced in IMO, unless something major happens (atp sending small bombs at ships and straight opening/closing is fairly minor news and most definitely priced in).

A lot of S&P500 and MAG7 earnings are this week and next week, for the most part the companies that have already posted earnings have done very well, and I am bullish on earnings in general which will drive the market upwards, fueling a pump into late july/august

Last week was a very good week for the broad market, even with the KOSPI (Korean Stock Market) getting obliterated, memory is the only sector that got hit pretty hard. It is very possible the same thing plays out this week where the general market could outperform most tech stocks, but regardless the market being down bad rn because of it seems like a slight overreaction.

Pretty important to see how BTC and crypto react, if it is only memory on the decline than I would hope to see some strength on BTC

[Beventov @Beventov1]

If you play $HOOD correctly you could probably retire by 2027

[Beventov @Beventov1]

@blknoiz06 $INK

[Beventov @Beventov1]

@june1v9 W

[Beventov @Beventov1]

@fredla4lyf Had a ridiculous last couple days so some people will probably take profits

[Beventov @Beventov1]

$PENG - Best memory bid, only valued at 4B compared to competitors at multi hundred Billion dollar market caps, and there earnings are more explosive than any competitor currently. I am planning to hold this to $100 +

$HOOD - Hood is in the best spot to attract even more retail volume and they are doing all the right things, especially getting involved more with crypto at the bottom rather than when btc is trading at 120k, this is currently my biggest position and I am rotating almost all of my profits from anything else into this. Targets reach up to $188

$HYPE - In since $51, currently not adding to my bags and just holding the lower lev position I have, $60 is an insanely important level to hold, I will hedge with a short if we dip below this level, but first target for taking profit is high $80's

$CashCat - Robinhood does such a good job at getting degenerate trading volume, and considering it is obvious that Vlad (CEO) planned this (Lighter listing was the day after he followed and they just partnered with Lighter) I would not be surprised to see an actual listing on Robinhood, or an attempt to push this a bit further, this is actually my favorite "long term" meme, but I am going to cut sub 80m which is around when the news got leaked of a Lighter listing. (I did clip a bit at 110m, and 95M because momentum is not as strong here)

$Ansem - Still just holding my moonbag, imo it is in a good spot to bounce rn, I will cut if we consolidate below 250M

Recent Trades - HYPE scalp from $61 to ~$70, $Ansem at 13M, $CashCat at 60M, Up on $Hood since $94, Up on $PENG since $67, took a big loss on $MU after hitting earnings was chasing the memory trade.

Overall I am pretty happy with how I have traded these last couple weeks, just a few things to work on like not getting to attached to a trade ($MU) and sticking to my buy/sell plans

[Beventov @Beventov1]

$180 soon

[Kris Kay | 🎲 444 Capital @thekriskay]

$HOOD

Robinhood chain going crazy.
Prediction market goin crazy.
Trump accounts going crazy.
Equity volumes going crazy.
Options volume going crazy.
Credit card vol going crazy.
Banking deposits goin crazy.
Price target upgrades goin crazy.

[Beventov @Beventov1]

@june1v9 50% of $HOOD mc.

[Beventov @Beventov1]

Hit $PENG
Hit $Ansem
Hit cash-cat:native
Hit hyperliquid:native

Got to stay ready to hit a play no matter if it is a meme or a stock

gonna start posting plays here

[Beventov @Beventov1]

@shaams Ansem + Hyperliquid barbell printing