TheRealBigSai @bigsai_ - Twitter Profile

BigSai_ retweeted

over 2 years ago

Here's how you can try to turn $100 into $1,000 on Saturday's NFL games... These lines are likely to get bumped so you may need to act fast: 1. Amari Cooper OVER 5 catches Since Joe Flacco took over in Week 13, Amari has accounted for 25% of the Browns targets averaging 10.3 per game. He’ll face a Texans secondary that plays zone defense at a Top-5 rate. This matters because Amari has averaged 42% more targets against zone heavy defenses this season. We saw exactly this in Week 16 against this same Texans team when Amari posted 11 catches on a strong 15 targets. The over is the best play on the day, but this next pick is a strong second… 2. Devin Singletary UNDER 2.5 catches Singletary has been the workhorse for Houston the past 4 games. He’s earned 80% of the backfield carries during this time and is coming off a massive 24 carries. But Singletary has been losing work as a receiver. He’s running less than 50% of the routes the past month as backup RB Dare Ogunbowale is working in on some passing downs. This game has just a 2-point spread. In close games, Singletary earns 30% more carries and runs 20% fewer routes. I like the under here, but prefer the over on this next guy… 3. Rashee Rice OVER 6 catches Since Week 12, Rice leads the Chiefs averaging 9.2 targets per game. That’s 46% more volume than Travis Kelce has seen during this time. Rice will face a Dolphins secondary that plays Cover 3 defense at a Top-12 rate. This matters because Rice performs best against Cover 3, earning 26% more targets against this look. The bad weather is obviously an issue, but it’s already accounted for. Weather forecasts are public information and the sportsbooks know this. They have already accounted for it. A bad weather game may actually play into Rice’s skillset. He’s winning off the line of scrimmage this season and in the short areas of the field. This could lead to shorter, easier to convert, targets for Rice. I took these as 3 picks, and 2 more screenshotted below, in a 5-Pick Flex play on Prize Picks. Prize Picks will give you up to $100 to play with when you sign up with code SAL. Best of luck tonight ladies and fellas! Enjoy your weekend! 😃

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