Bitcoin bear markets make fools of both bulls and bears.
BTC rallied from $80k to $98k from November 2025 to January 2026.
People were calling for the supercycle and alt season.
Then BTC set new cycle lows in February 2026, just like it usually does in midterm years.
BTC rallied from $60k to $82k from February 2026 to May 2026, and the bears were relentlessly mocked and ridiculed again.
Then BTC set new cycle lows in June 2026, just like it usually does in midterm years.
The cycle keeps playing out.
It makes the bulls look like fools because the market trends up for so long, only to wipe out all of the gains in a very short period.
It makes the bears look like fools because the market spends a lot of time trending up, before breaking down quickly. So the bear thesis will often look wrong, even when its right.
Do not let emotions rule your investment decisions. Have a plan and stick to it.
🚨 BREAKING: Axios reports the US and Iran have reached an MOU deal.
Trump reportedly wants a few days to think it over.
Details include:
▪️ Ceasefire extended through a formal Memorandum of Understanding
▪️ A 60-day window opens to negotiate Iran's nuclear program
▪️ Shipping through the Strait of Hormuz stays unrestricted during this period
▪️ US Navy lifts its blockade as commercial shipping returns
▪️ Iran commits to not pursuing a nuclear weapon
▪️ Nuclear issues get discussed "first" in the 60-day window
▪️ US agrees to talk sanctions relief and releasing frozen Iranian funds
▪️ A mechanism to help Iran receive goods and humanitarian aid
US stock markets are surging to fresh record highs on the news.