Trader in the parking lot

If God is first , everything else will be in its place. Aurelius Augustine . Trader, crypto investor. BTC, ETH 📈📉

[Trader in the parking lot @BitTheBitcoin]

@charliebilello 👍

[Charlie Bilello @charliebilello]

The world always feels chaotic in real time.

The stock market only looks resilient in hindsight.

[Trader in the parking lot @BitTheBitcoin]

@Nitro_Trades @TradeZella 🔥

[Trader in the parking lot @BitTheBitcoin]

@benjamincowen 👍

[Benjamin Cowen @benjamincowen]

Just published a working paper: "Asymmetric Tail Curvature in Bitcoin Price Quantiles"

https://t.co/GXdXqqbosx

[Tom McClellan @McClellanOsc]

Posting this without comment.

[Trader in the parking lot @BitTheBitcoin]

@benjamincowen 👍

[Benjamin Cowen @benjamincowen]

Crypto bear markets serve an important purpose.

They help correct years of capital misallocation where liquidity and speculation allowed almost anything to go up regardless of fundamentals, sustainability, or actual adoption.

In bear markets, weak narratives fade, excess leverage gets cleared out, and capital slowly rotates back toward stronger projects and more durable infrastructure.

Painful, but necessary.

[Trader in the parking lot @BitTheBitcoin]

@cantonmeow 👍

[Cantonese Cat 🐱🐈 @cantonmeow]

We've had 4.5 years of risk off, and risk-on could be just getting started.

[Coin Bureau @coinbureau]

🚨INSIGHT: 🇺🇸U.S. consumer confidence has collapsed to its weakest level since records began in 1952.

[Benjamin Cowen @benjamincowen]

#BTC ROI as measured low-to-low.

Purple line is current cycle.

All 3 cycles peaked around the same time and then entered into a bear market.

[Justin Banks @RealJGBanks]

SPACEX IPO NEXT MARKET SUPER CYCLE

Here are the names that benefit and could be front ran into the the IPO:

Launch + Infrastructure
$RKLB - rockets
$LUNR - lunar tech
$RDW - space systems

Satellite + Data
$ASTS - satellite internet
$IRDM - satcom
$PL - Earth data
$BKSY - defense imagery
$SPIR - space data

AI + Networking
$LITE - optics
$COHR - lasers
$AAOI - transceivers
$AVGO - networking silicon
$MRVL - data centers
$ANET - AI networking
$NVDA - AI compute

Defense + Autonomy
$KTOS - defense drones
$RTX - missile systems
$LHX - defense comms

RF + Telecom
$QRVO - RF chips
$ADI - signal chips
$STM - connectivity
$NOK - AI-RAN

Materials + Aerospace
$MP - rare earths
$FCX - copper
$ATI - aerospace alloys
$HXL - composites

Strategic Exposure
$AMZN - Project Kuiper

Do not miss this.

[Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT 🍖 @MikeZaccardi]

What could upend the earnings applecart? The dollar surging 20% @yardeni

[Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT 🍖 @MikeZaccardi]

GS: Our Risk Appetite Indicator rose above 1.1 this week, the 99th percentile since 1991

This is the first time that both Risk Appetite and Momentum performance have been at such elevated levels since the start of 2000

[Andrew Thrasher, CMT @AndrewThrasher]

As more stocks decline than advance, the 5-, 21- and cumulative Advance-Decline Lines have all been diverging away from the uptrend in the S&P 500 since April 20th.

[Robert (infra 🏛️⌛️) @infraa_]

If you work for a living, your share of GDP has never been lower

If you hoard capital for a living, your share of GDP has never been higher

[Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT 🍖 @MikeZaccardi]

The S&P 500 Expanded Tech P/E is right in the middle of its range since 2020... quite boring, actually @wisdomtreefunds

[Trader in the parking lot @BitTheBitcoin]

@cryptorover 🫡

[Crypto Rover @cryptorover]

🩸 HUGE WARNING:

🇺🇸 Warren Buffett says that we have never had people in a more gambling mood than now.

$380,000,000,000 in cash is his answer because he believes things are about to get MUCH worse.

The last time Warren Buffet was selling SO aggressively?

RIGHT BEFORE THE GREAT RECESSION IN 2008.