Blake

I enjoy STEM and Finance
I code. I trade. I build.

[Blake @BlakeFrontier42]

NQ Pre-Market Plan | Wed 10/28/2026 | 5:30 AM CST

ICT + Japanese candlestick confirmation only.

Trade the level, not the narrative.

Macro:

NQ holding near 29,920–29,970 after yesterday’s +1.27% close (~29,812 settlement) and overnight push toward 29,990.
NDX closed Tuesday ~29,651 (+1.29%). Higher-timeframe structure remains choppy into the catalyst with lower highs still intact off the early-October ATH area near 31,600; 29,000 zone continues to act as major multi-session support/liquidity draw.

Fed funds futures and prediction markets price ~90–93% odds of a hold today (target remains 3.75–4.00%).
Warsh has pushed back on traditional forward guidance and prefers markets take signals from incoming data—this can produce larger swings than a more telegraphed chair.
A December hike remains the base case.
Oil mixed-to-firm on Iran/Saudi supply headlines (Brent ~$111–115, WTI ~$101–102).⁠

Today (CST)
• 1:00 PM FOMC decision
• 1:30 PM Warsh press conference
• MSFT + GOOGL after close

This week (CST)
• Thu 7:30 AM Q3 GDP + Core PCE
AMZN after close

Expect chop until the statement.
Historically clean tape is rare the day of; binary move more likely after the catalyst.
No new trades until after FOMC.
Yesterday’s runners remain active with stop at 29,730. Large swing possible in either direction once the decision and tone are clear.
Yesterday’s bullish expansion fit the larger-timeframe chop leading into the event and did not surprise.

FOMC Reaction Framework (base case until clear post-statement displacement) :

Hold, neutral tone (most likely): Muted or choppy reaction. S&P roughly flat to modestly higher, yields little changed.

Hold, hawkish tone (real risk): Warsh signals more hikes / insufficient progress on inflation. Selloff expected, high-growth tech and AI names hit hardest (more rate-sensitive given debt-funded expansion). Yields and dollar rise.

Hold, softer tone: Relief rally possible, but recent run-up and still-elevated inflation limit upside.
Surprise hike (<10%): Sharp equity drop, higher yields, stronger dollar.

Warsh’s preference for data over guidance increases the chance of an outsized move once the statement and presser land. Megacap earnings and oil swings remain secondary drivers that can amplify or fade the initial reaction.

ICT Framework

HTF: Still bearish-to-neutral with lower highs intact. 29,000 zone remains the major SSL / multi-bottom support (not a confirmed bottom). Price has probed higher into the 29,775–29,990 area after clearing prior local resistance.

Newfound / local support reference: ~29,775 (yesterday’s close area / potential DOL hold) and prior 29,300.

Structure notes: 15m SMTs observed from NY PM–Asia (resistance side) and Asia–London (support side) as confluence, not standalone signals. Cup-and-handle type development still possible on lower timeframes if post-FOMC acceptance holds. Dealing range reference: recent swing highs near 29,900–30,000 vs. lows around 29,000–29,300. Price currently in the upper portion of the recent range.

Liquidity
• SSL: 29,000 zone (multiple tests / resting sell-side) · 29,300 · 29,775 area
• BSL: 29,900–30,000 overnight highs, then 30,300 / 31,000 extension zones

Time windows: NY AM Killzone 6:00–9:00 AM CT · Cash open 8:30 · Silver Bullet 9:00–10:00.

Priority shifts to post-1:00 PM / post-presser for clean setups.

Model: Power of Three / Judas possible around the open or immediately after the statement. Watching for sweep of either side of the overnight range before directional intent.

Levels of the Day
29,775 (retest / newfound support) · 29,900–30,000 (overnight highs / SMT area) · 29,300 · 29,000 (major SSL)
Bullish — Setup A: Post-FOMC MSS + FVG
After the decision, price shows a bullish market structure shift followed by displacement that leaves a bullish FVG.
5-min close and acceptance higher with clear displacement.

Entry: Pullback into the FVG/IFVG in the OTE (62–79%).
Candle confirm: hammer / pin bar, bullish engulfing, or morning star.

Targets: TP1 30,300 → TP2 31,000.

Invalidation: 5-min close back below the structure shift low or failed hold of 29,775.

Bullish — Setup B: Retest Hold at 29,775 / Yesterday’s Close + IFVG
Price retests near 29,775 and yesterday’s close but holds the newfound support (does not fall under the DOL). Forms a bullish IFVG.
5-min acceptance and displacement higher.
Entry: Pullback into the IFVG in the OTE.

Candle confirm: hammer / pin bar or bullish engulfing.

Targets: TP1 30,300 → TP2 31,000.
Invalidation: 5-min close below 29,775.

Bearish — Setup A: Open Bullish Then Chop + IFVG Failure
Price opens or initially pushes bullish but quickly shows chop and an inverse FVG that confirms as entry.
Displacement leaves a bearish FVG / IFVG.

5-min MSS → BOS to the downside.
Entry: Retest into the FVG/IFVG in the OTE.
Candle confirm: shooting star, bearish engulfing, or evening star.
Targets: TP1 29,775 → TP2 29,500 → TP3 29,300.
Invalidation: 5-min close back above the IFVG high.

Bearish — Setup B: Failure to Hold 29,775 / Yesterday’s Close
Price retests yesterday’s close and the 29,775 level, fails to hold, and confirms the bearish trend.
5-min close back below 29,775 with displacement.

Entry: Right below 29,775 on the retest / into the bearish FVG in the OTE.
Candle confirm: shooting star or bearish engulfing.
Targets: TP1 29,500 → TP2 29,300 → TP3 29,000.
Invalidation: 5-min close back above 29,775.

No Trade If :
Pre-FOMC chop or doji stacking inside the overnight range. Price chopping between key levels (especially 29,775–29,990) with no displacement. No clean setup after the statement and presser. Sitting out is a position. FOMC can create all-day chop before any of the above scenarios resolve. Do not force a trade. Do not get caught in the noise. Sit on hands until a decision is made and clear directional intent is shown.
Risk
FOMC week binary event. Warsh’s data-first style increases swing potential. Reduced size or flat until post-catalyst confirmation. A+ only. No confirmation = no trade. SMT and structure are confluence, not standalone entries. Manage existing runners at 29,730. Do not blow an account on event volatility.

Not financial advice. Personal trading journal.

[Blake @BlakeFrontier42]

TP1 hit @ 29,775, moving SL to 29,730 🏂

[Blake @BlakeFrontier42]

NQ Pre-Market Plan | Tue 10/27/2026 | 5:30 AM CST
ICT + Japanese candlestick confirmation only. Trade the level, not the narrative.
Macro :

NQ holding near 29,450–29,470 after tagging the 29,000 zone multiple times (major support / draw on liquidity).

NDX closed Monday ~29,273 (+1.1%). Higher-timeframe still bearish with lower highs off the early-October ATH area near 31,600.
Fed funds futures and prediction markets price ~90–93% odds of a hold Wednesday (target remains 3.75–4.00%). A December hike is still the base case. Oil mixed-to-soft on Iran diplomacy headlines (Brent ~$111–116, WTI ~$101–102).

Today (CST): Durable Goods 7:30 AM · Consumer Confidence / housing data mid-morning.

This week (CST):

• Wed 1:00 PM FOMC decision · 1:30 PM Warsh press conference · MSFT + GOOGL after close

• Thu 7:30 AM Q3 GDP + Core PCE · AMZN after close
Expect chop until the statement. Historically clean tape is rare the day of / day before; binary move more likely after the catalyst.
ICT Framework

HTF: Bearish. Lower highs intact. 29,000 zone has acted as major support / liquidity draw / multi-bottom over recent sessions (not a confirmed bottom).

Newfound support: 29,300 (held on London retest after NY session cleared it).

Structure notes: Cup-and-handle developing on 4H, mirrored on 1H. Charted SMT vs ES near 29,575 adds potential confirmation if the handle completes with a small retrace. 15m SMT between yesterday’s session and overnight around 29,410.

Dealing range reference: Recent swing high near 29,600 → lows around 29,000–29,025. Price is probing discount after the support test.

Liquidity:

• SSL: 29,000 zone (multiple tests / resting sell-side)

• BSL: 29,410–29,575 SMT zone, then 29,775 area and higher
Time windows: NY AM Killzone 6:00–9:00 AM CT · Cash open 8:30 · Silver Bullet 9:00–10:00.
Model: Power of Three / Judas possible into the open given FOMC positioning. Watching for sweep of either side of the overnight range before directional intent.

Levels of the Day: 29,300 (new support) · 29,410–29,575 (SMT / structure) · 29,000 (major SSL)

Bullish — Setup A: Cup-and-Handle Confirmation + SMT Hold
Price holds above the 15m SMT (~29,410) and 29,300 support. Small retrace into the handle completes, then displacement higher.

5-min close and acceptance above the handle high / 29,575 SMT zone.
Displacement leaves a bullish FVG.

5-min MSS → BOS to the upside.
Entry: Pullback into the FVG/IFVG in the OTE (62–79%).
Candle confirm: hammer / pin bar, bullish engulfing, or morning star.
Targets: TP1 29,775 → TP2 30,300.
Invalidation: 5-min close below 29,300 or failed hold of the SMT.
Bullish — Setup B: Sweep & Reclaim at 29,300
Price wicks below 29,300 (run short-term sell-side / Judas) then reclaims.

5-min close back above 29,300.
Displacement leaves a bullish FVG; prior bearish gap flips to support (bullish IFVG).

5-min MSS → BOS to the upside.
Entry: Pullback into the FVG/IFVG in the OTE.
Candle confirm: hammer / pin bar or bullish engulfing.

Targets: TP1 29,575 (SMT) → TP2 29,775 → TP3 30,300 (runner).
Invalidation: 5-min close below the sweep low.
Bearish — Setup A: Failure Under Recent SMT + Bad Catalyst
Price fails to hold the 15m SMT (~29,410) and loses 29,300. Full-bodied close below the SMT zone.

Displacement leaves a bearish FVG.
Retest of the SMT / 29,300 from below (old support → resistance).
5-min MSS → BOS to the downside.
Entry: Retest into the bearish FVG/IFVG in the OTE.
Candle confirm: shooting star, bearish engulfing, or evening star.
Targets: TP1 29,000 → TP2 28,700 → TP3 28,000 (extended / runner).
Invalidation: 5-min close back above the SMT high.
Bearish — Setup B: BSL Raid & Reversal at 29,575
Price wicks above the 29,575 SMT (run buy-side / Judas) then rejects.

5-min close back below 29,575.
Displacement leaves a bearish FVG.
5-min MSS → BOS to the downside.
Entry: Pullback into the bearish FVG/IFVG in the OTE.
Candle confirm: shooting star or bearish engulfing.
Targets: TP1 29,300 → TP2 29,000 → TP3 28,700.
Invalidation: 5-min close above the raid high.
No Trade If :
Dojis stacking inside the overnight range, price chopping between 29,300–29,575 with no displacement, or no clean setup inside the killzone / Silver Bullet.

Sitting out is a position.

Pre-FOMC chop is the base case until the statement.

Risk :

FOMC week. Durable Goods and other data this morning can create noise, but the real binary is Wednesday’s statement + presser + mega-cap earnings. Reduced size, A+ only. No confirmation = no trade. Cup-and-handle and SMT are confluence, not standalone entries.

Not financial advice. Personal trading journal.

[Blake @BlakeFrontier42]

@JTradesQuant Agreed, today will be interesting

[Blake @BlakeFrontier42]

NQ Pre-Market Plan | Mon 10/26/2026 | 5:25 AM CST
ICT + Japanese candlestick confirmation only. Trade the level, not the narrative.

Macro
Futures green to open FOMC week. Trump ruled out an immediate strike on Iran, cooling oil (Brent ~$114, -2% · WTI ~$101). Nasdaq Composite -0.7% last week after Thursday’s AI-capex rout; Friday closed lower.

Fed funds futures price ~90% odds of a hold Wednesday (3.75–4.00%). A December hike is still being priced. The AI spending story gets tested this week: MSFT + GOOGL Wed, AMZN Thu.

Today: No major US data. Cleaner tape, but expect pre-FOMC positioning.
This week (CT):
• Tue 7:30 AM Durable Goods · 9:00 AM Consumer Confidence
• Wed 1:00 PM FOMC decision · 1:30 PM Warsh press conference · MSFT + GOOGL after close
• Thu 7:30 AM Q3 GDP + Core PCE + Jobless Claims · AMZN + INTC after close

ICT Framework
HTF: Bearish. Lower highs since the 10/6 ATH. 29,050 has now held as support multiple times.

Dealing range: 29,983 (10/19 high) → ~29,023 (Fri low). Equilibrium ≈ 29,503. Price is in discount — longs require confirmed sweep + reclaim.

Liquidity:
• SSL: Asia + London equal lows at ~29,050 (double bottom = resting sell-side stops)
• BSL: Session high ~29,250, then 29,900 (10/20 high) and 29,983
Time windows: NY AM Killzone 6:00–9:00 AM CT · Cash open 8:30 · Silver Bullet 9:00–10:00.
Model: Power of Three. Asia + London = accumulation (29,050–29,250 range). Watching for a Judas swing at the open, on either side of the range, before the real move.
Levels of the Day: 29,050 (support / SSL) · 29,250 (session high / BSL)

Bullish 📈 — Setup A: Sweep & Reclaim at 29,050
Price drops back into 29,050 and wicks below the equal lows (run sell-side stops / Judas)

5-min close back above 29,050

Displacement leaves a bullish FVG; bearish gap above flips to support (bullish IFVG)
5-min MSS → BOS to the upside
Entry: Pullback into the FVG/IFVG in the OTE (62–79%).
Candle confirm: hammer / pin bar, bullish engulfing, or morning star.
Targets: TP1 29,250 (session high / BSL) → TP2 29,350 → TP3 29,500 (equilibrium).
Invalidation: 5-min close below the sweep low.

Bullish 📈 — Setup B: Breakout & Continuation above 29,250

Displacement through the 29,250 session high

5-min close and acceptance above 29,250

Breakout leg leaves a bullish FVG

Pullback holds 29,250 as support (old resistance → new support)
Entry: Retrace into the bullish FVG above 29,250.
Candle confirm: hammer / pin bar or bullish engulfing on the retest.
Targets: TP1 29,350 → TP2 29,500 (equilibrium) → TP3 29,775. Runner: BSL 29,900 / 29,983.
Invalidation: 5-min close back below 29,250 (failed breakout).

Bearish 📉 — Setup A: Break & Continuation below 29,050
Strong full-bodied red candle closes below 29,050 and leaves a bearish FVG
Retest of 29,050 from below (run short-term buy-side stops)
Bullish gap at the level flips to resistance (bearish IFVG)
5-min MSS → BOS to the downside
Entry: Retest into the bearish FVG/IFVG at 29,050 in the OTE.
Candle confirm: shooting star, bearish engulfing, or evening star.
Targets: TP1 28,675 → TP2 28,000 (extended / runner only).
Invalidation: 5-min close back above 29,050.

Bearish 📉 — Setup B: BSL Raid & Reversal at 29,250

Price wicks above 29,250 (run buy-side stops / Judas up)
5-min close back below 29,250
Displacement leaves a bearish FVG; bullish gap below flips to resistance (bearish IFVG)
5-min MSS → BOS to the downside
Entry: Pullback into the bearish FVG/IFVG in the OTE.
Candle confirm: shooting star, bearish engulfing, or evening star.
Targets: TP1 29,050 (equal lows / SSL) → TP2 28,675 → TP3 28,000 (extended / runner only).
Invalidation: 5-min close above the raid high.

No Trade If :
Dojis stacking at either level, price chopping inside 29,050–29,250 with no displacement, or no clean setup inside the killzone / Silver Bullet.
Sitting out is a position.

Risk :
FOMC week. No data today, but positioning ahead of the Fed and mega-cap earnings can produce fake breaks of the overnight range. Reduced size, A+ only. No confirmation = no trade.

Not financial advice. Personal trading journal.

[Blake @BlakeFrontier42]

TP1 &amp; TP2 hit 🏂

[Blake @BlakeFrontier42]

TP1 hit at 29,300.

Moving stop to 29,215 (just under the recent SMT / multi-bottom around 29,220 that is now acting as support).

Letting the runner work toward equilibrium / next targets per the plan 🏂

[Blake @BlakeFrontier42]

NQ Pre-Market Plan | Fri 10/23/2026 | 6:00 AM CT

ICT + Japanese candlestick confirmation only. Trade the level, not the narrative.
Macro

Nasdaq Composite -2.6% yesterday (worst since June). Meta raised AI spending guidance, free cash flow turned negative, and the market is questioning who funds the buildout.

Chips led the decline (AMD ~-8%, NVDA ~-4%). Flows into bonds, Brent >$114 on Middle East risk. Overnight low ~29,023–29,026.

Today: UMich consumer sentiment final 9:00 AM CT.

Next week: FOMC decision Wed 10/28 at 1:00 PM CT. Expect chop into the event. Reduced size, A+ only, no entries into the 9:00 print.

ICT Framework :

HTF: Bearish. Lower highs since the 10/6

ATH; last week’s low (29,269) already broken (SSL taken).

Dealing range: 29,983 (10/19 high) → ~29,050. Equilibrium ≈ 29,517. Price is in discount — longs require confirmed sweep + reclaim.

Liquidity:
• SSL: below overnight low / 29,050
• BSL: 29,900 (10/20 high) and 29,983
Time windows: NY AM Killzone 6:00–9:00 AM CT · Cash open 8:30 · Silver Bullet 9:00–10:00.

Model: Power of Three. Overnight = accumulation. Watching for a Judas swing at the open before the real move.

Level of the Day: 29,000-29,050
Bullish 📈— Sweep & Reclaim
1. Wick below 29,050 (run sell-side stops / Judas)
2. 5-min close back above 29,050
3. Displacement leaves a bullish FVG; bearish gap above flips to support (bullish IFVG)
4. 5-min MSS → BOS to the upside
Entry: Pullback into the FVG/IFVG in the OTE (62–79%).

Candle confirm: hammer / pin bar, bullish engulfing, or morning star.

Targets: TP1 29,300 (prior week low, now resistance) → TP2 29,500 (equilibrium) → TP3 29,750 (Monday close). Runner: BSL 29,900 / 29,983.
Invalidation: 5-min close below the sweep low.

Bearish 📉— Break, Retest & Reject
1. Strong full-bodied red candle closes below 29,050 and leaves a bearish FVG
2. Retest of 29,050 from below (run short-term buy-side stops)
3. Bullish gap at the level flips to resistance (bearish IFVG)
4. 5-min MSS → BOS to the downside
Entry: Retest into the bearish FVG/IFVG at 29,050 in the OTE.

Candle confirm: shooting star, bearish engulfing, or evening star.

Targets: TP1 28,850 → TP2 28,650 → TP3 28,000 (extended / runner only).
Invalidation: 5-min close above the swing high that created the shift.

No Trade If
Dojis stacking at 29,050, wicks both sides with no displacement, or no clean setup inside the killzone / Silver Bullet.

Sitting out is a position.

Risk:
Pre-Fed Friday, headline-driven. Reduced size. No confirmation = no trade.

Not financial advice. Personal trading journal.

[Blake @BlakeFrontier42]

Curious which open model eventually surpasses both Anthropic and OpenAI.

Something tells me a Type I civilization on the Kardashev Scale won’t look like governments deciding which intelligence models people are allowed to use. Our institutions evolved for the industrial age—not the age of superintelligence.

The AI that truly changes civilization won’t just be the most powerful. It’ll be the most trustworthy. The one that makes truth harder to suppress and transparency harder to manipulate. Not built for the gain of a select few, but for humanity as a whole.

We’re still a very primitive civilization. History will probably look back on this era as the beginning, not the destination. Excited to see the destination if powers at be even allow it. If not, we bottleneck ourselves as a species. I’m on the optimistic side but a realist too

[Peter H. Diamandis, MD @PeterDiamandis]

If you think SpaceX is a rocket company with an internet business, you're basically valuing Amazon on book sales in 2005.

[Peter H. Diamandis, MD @PeterDiamandis]

Folllow the data, not the news. The data shows us extraordinary progress. The news is dystopian. If it bleeds, it leads.

[Blake @BlakeFrontier42]

If computing continues shrinking toward cell-sized architectures, robotics may stop looking like machines and start looking like organisms.

Humans don’t run on batteries, wires, and cooling systems. We have a bloodstream that distributes energy, regulates temperature, carries information, removes waste, and helps repair damage.

So what happens when robots have billions of distributed AI processors throughout their bodies?

They may need a technological equivalent of blood (a circulating fluid) that transports energy, cools systems, carries signals, and perhaps even enables self-repair.

At some point, the future of robotics may not be about building better machines. It may be about building artificial organisms.

The most advanced robots of the future might have synthetic muscles, artificial veins, self-healing materials, and cell-sized computers woven throughout their entire structure.

The line between technology and biology could become much thinner than most people realize.

#AI #Robotics #FutureTech #ArtificialLife #SyntheticBiology #Nanotechnology

[Blake @BlakeFrontier42]

Mobility is at a premium if you want to serve the singularity

[Blake @BlakeFrontier42]

Everything a person wants in life exists on the other side of resistance. Most people encounter that resistance—the ‘speed bump’—and stop. Sometimes they try once, fail, and never attempt it again.

Instead, they settle into what’s familiar, even if that familiarity is unfulfilling. Comfort becomes the trap.

The reality is, most won’t push past that point. Not because they can’t—but because they won’t.

But the few who choose discipline over comfort, who keep going when it’s inconvenient, uncertain, and difficult—those are the ones who separate themselves.

Harder paths don’t guarantee success, but they create the conditions for it. And over time, those willing to be shaped, challenged, and refined are the ones who build something greater—and become someone greater in the process.

[Dr. Alex Wissner-Gross @alexwg]

https://t.co/2ctf9OEdzT

[Dr. Alex Wissner-Gross @alexwg]

https://t.co/U2i3US2vYR

[Elon Musk @elonmusk]

SpaceX

[Blake @BlakeFrontier42]

@SpaceX https://t.co/S2gz0Bagtl

[Blake @BlakeFrontier42]

America is about to build the next generation of nuclear reactors.

Most people have no idea where they should go.

I built an interactive SMR Site Finder that scores the best locations in the U.S.

33 sites analyzed.
7 confirmed projects.
17 retiring coal plants.

Here’s what the data says 🧵⚛️

[Blake @BlakeFrontier42]

@SpaceX AD ASTRA 🚀🛰️🛸👽