Blake Sargeant

Saturday's horse racing thread 🧵 Chester 2.10 King Of Cities 1/1 Sandown 2.25 Doha 9/2 each way Sandown 3.35 Field Of Gold 11/8 NAP Chester 4.25 Adrestia 7/4 NEXT BEST Beverley 4.55 Zozimus 11/2 each way Lingfield 5.25 Asinara 15/8 Beverley 5.30 Mr Jetman 5/4 Chester 5.35 Tailorman 5/1 each way I think we all know by now Saturday racing can be tricky so I want to start with a winner and KING OF CITIES should hopefully prove too strong for his rivals in the Chester opener. This Dubawi colt was only beaten 2 lengths on debut at Newmarket and with the drop back to 7f likely to suit this strong travelling sort I think he can improve enough to open his account under Sean Levey. I don't think there has been enough rain for Tamfana so she looks one of the weakest favourites of the day in my book and doesn't deserve to be 5/4. I'm not sure on her ideal trip either. DOHA however should love dropping back down to a mile and given this is easier than that Nassau Stakes assignment at Glorious Goodwood last time I think she can run a big race. Expensive Kingman colt FIELD OF GOLD was impressive at Newmarket last month. He looks a colt with plenty of scope to improve further and the yard have done well in this race in the past targeting some nice types at it like Too Darn Hot and Reach For The Moon in recent years. There should be quite a bit of pace on and hopefully he gets a nice toe in before picking up best in the run to the line. I don't think we should judge ADRESTIA too harshly on that Newbury run. She went into that eyeing up a hat-trick but reared in the stalls and was awkwardly away. She lost valuable ground and was always on the back foot as a result. She impressed beating Englemere before that and that form has obviously been franked with that horse winning the Newbury race last time. She is armed with a handy draw here too and remains unexposed so must have a massive shout of bouncing back. I was on ZOZIMUS when he won at Pontefract on penultimate start and I thought he acquitted himself well in defeat when third at Redcar last time. The winner made all and not much could land a blow. I think he is still capable of a bigger performance if it pans out more favourably and he could be decent value here to make it 3 wins from his last 4 starts. This track clearly plays to his strengths too. Harry Angel filly ASINARA won as expected at Ffos Las last month but it is the two runs since that have impressed me. She went down just 2 lengths behind Sondad at Southwell and that race has worked out well and then she was beaten less than a length at Newmarket. She should relish dropping back to the minimum trip here and looks the one to beat now. I think we can all agree MR JETMAN should have won at Ripon last time. He actually cost me going 7/7 on the day so it was a bit painful and he owes us one now. He ran on strongly but just couldn't get daylight late. The fact that race has worked out already with the seventh Poet's Dawn winning easily at Carlisle next time out is also a big positive. He has more to come over this trip and further and should justify favouritism. After going down just a neck to the progressive Godsend TAILORMAN impressed winning well over 2 miles at Ripon last week. I was on him that day and he has further improvement to come over this trip so I think he could have a good chance to follow up. He is turned out quickly so will need to prove he can handle the quick turnaround but other than that I think 5/1 is generous enough.

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Joe Norris

@JoeNorrisGYTO

almost 2 years ago

Friday's horse racing thread 🧵 Thirsk 2.45 Serene Seraph 6/1 each way Ffos Las 3.40 Drusilla 15/8 Sandown 4.35 Adelabella 6/4 Southwell 4.45 Smart Hero 1/1 Thirsk 4.50 The Crafty Mole 2/1 NEXT BEST Southwell 5.23 Beyond Words 12/1 each way Salisbury 7.43 Apostle 6/4 NAP The market seems to think Cerulean Bay and Cuban Tiger will fight this out but I'm confident SERENE SERAPH is the value. This Blue Point filly was back to something like her best winning at Lingfield last time. She was keen enough but came through strongly up the rail and then found again to hold off a closer late. She is up 6lb but clocked a decent time and should go close. That was pretty relentless from DRUSILLA over C&D last week. She hit the front soon enough in tough conditions but kept finding and then was always holding on in the closing stages with the pair clear. She carries a penalty but is well suited by this track and trip and with the testing ground likely to help bring her stamina into play again she can follow up. This looks a good opportunity for ADELABELLA to complete the hat-trick. She looked unlucky to be nailed late at Doncaster last month but has improved since winning well at Nottingham and then following up at Newmarket last time beating Ardbraccan. Her form is stacking up and a 2lb rise shouldn't stop her extending the winning run. I was counting my money with SMART HERO at Sandown but somehow he was run down late on. The horse that beat him is a useful type so it was still a big run in defeat. The drop back to 6f here looks an obvious move and despite a 3lb higher mark I expect him to prove too strong for this field so despite the short enough odds he is worth keeping on side. I wouldn't judge THE CRAFY MOLE too harshly on that run at Newbury last time. He was up to 2 miles for the first time and just had too much to do to get on terms with those in front. The first, second and third have all won since so the form has been strongly franked. He will love coming back down to 1m6f and if he reacts well to a first-time visor he should get back in the winners enclosure. I'll be shocked if BEYOND WORDS isn't backed in a bit come post time. This filly by Frankel hasn't shown a huge amount so far but she looks the type to do much better now handicapping and the drop back to a mile should really help. An opening mark of just 62 should prove lenient and James Tate has done well with handicap debutants this year so she has to be overpriced. I know APOSTLE failed to land the gamble on handicap debut but she shaped with promise and then duly improved to get off the mark at Chelmsford last time. She did that with a fair bit in hand so despite carrying a 6lb penalty I make her the one to beat. She is obviously completely unexposed over this trip so there should be lots more to come as her stamina is drawn out and I expect her to justify favouritism.

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Joe Norris

@JoeNorrisGYTO

almost 2 years ago

If my NAP and NEXT BEST win today... ✅ Art Design ✅ Godsend I'll giveaway £50 IN CASH to one of my followers. Make sure you've retweeted and liked my pinned tweet (which has my bets listed)

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Blake Sargeant @BlakeSargeant

almost 2 years ago

@AaronHeadley1 @DarrenBent @andygoldstein05 @talkSPORT Why would they waste their time talking about dead beat team

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Joe Norris

@JoeNorrisGYTO

almost 2 years ago

Monday's horse racing thread 🧵 Ayr 2.30 It's All About You 7/4 Ayr 5.25 Helter Skelter 7/4 Beverley 6.00 Sensorium 13/8 Windsor 7.20 Sky Warrior 14/1 each way Windsor 7.50 Seek And Destroy 9/4 NAP Beverley 8.30 Seahorse Syd 5/1 each way Beverley 9.00 Cakewalk 11/4 NEXT BEST I don't think this will take a great deal of winning so that makes IT'S ALL ABOUT YOU a standout. He is quite comfortably the most unexposed of these and he just looked to get outpaced in the closing stages back in trip at Pontefract last time. He should enjoy going back up in distance and off a 1lb lower mark could easily be the one to beat now. I'm keen to chance HELTER SKELTER finally making the breakthrough. He looked a bit unlucky to fail just a nose at Hamilton last time and he was also a good second at Carlisle before that so really has been knocking on the door lately. He fared best of those ridden patiently last time and if they go hard here if should help him finish so all in all it looks a good opportunity. Those with experience are expected to dominate here and SENSORIUM gets a confident vote. This colt ran a promising race at Windsor on debut and then can be excused that run at Royal Ascot which was a test that obviously came too soon. He was back to form when third at Chester last month and with the drop back to the minimum expected to suit I'll be surprised if he doesn't open his account against these. I know SKY WARRIOR has struggled the last twice but back down to 6f and with this stiff finish expected to suit he could easily show up better than a 14/1 chance. His win at Doncaster back in May was a really useful effort and that form has worked out well since too. Oisin Murphy rode him to success that day and gets the leg back up so I think he'll run a much better race here. I have been waiting to see SEEK AND DESTROY out again. She was a big eye-catcher missing a nose at Chepstow and then improved again when well backed to make the breakthrough over C&D last time. She has more to come now sent handicapping and an opening mark of just 79 should prove lenient. The way she stayed on last time I expect Hector Crouch to bounce her out and try and make good use of her so she should prove hard to catch. I'm going to chance SEAHORSE SYD running a big race here. He is still just a 3yo and he was vey much back to form when a close-up fourth at this track last time. Back up in trip to a mile and a quarter I think he could have more to come off his current mark and with the blinkers back on he looks good value here. Sea The Stars filly CAKEWALK hasn't shown a great deal but now handicapping off a mark of just 68 with her yard going great guns she could easily be good enough to win this. She shaped with promise on debut and then was never put in the race at Pontefract when last seen. I can see her leaving that form behind and she should take a bit of beating.

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about 2 years ago

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