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$BTC #Bitcoin#BTC#SP500#SPX
Black Link called bitcoin:native short at $79,000.
React to this post if you want the next short trade.
For those who missed the original entry. This is the most viable setup available at current levels.
#BTC
From our calculation, bitcoin:native should have a final leg up towards $68,000 - $74,000.
The bottom will be somewhere around $53,000 - $50,000 atleast
$SPY Update
We believe that #SP500 can make a blow off top at the very best. The possibility is just because of the Biggest IPO in the history, Space X.
A possible correction towards $6300 - 5600 is highly possible in the near future🚨
BTC Macro Update
bitcoin:native has finally retested the yearly lows. Its a matter of time to obliterate this and go even further. This is NOT the bottom.
We expect to see some pump towards 65,000 - 67,000 soon because we have some confluences like VAL, nPOC and FVG.
If we break above this then our next POI will be 74,000 - 77,000.
So how are we going to position ourselves this time?
This might be something which many people might not like but it is the safest thing to do in our opinion, we are going to do NOTHING.
Let us explain why, as we speak, the Wars are getting restarted, the US Stock Market is on the brink of a crash. Therefore the chances of further crash is much much higher than it was during February because we did not have this type of scenario back then.
It was pretty much a leverage Unwind and it was not such a serious situation.
OUR NEXT PLAN
For those who are swing shorting this move. You must be in great profit so trim 5-15% Profit and reward yourself. We will not place any short orders around $65,000 - $67,000 region because it will mess up the RR of our trade. We might add some margin if we see $77,000. Chances are low but not impossible.
SUMMARY
1. Keep Holding your Short Position
2. Trim 5 - 15% Profit
3. Be prepared for small pump,
4. If a higher bounce is there towards $77,000 then we will add more shorts.
5. Expect choppiness, this will be scalpers nightmare phase
5. bitcoin:native below $50,000 in few months.
#BTC #SPX #SP500
At some point there will be an opportunity to swing long $BTC.
It is important to understand that even if we get the best opportunity then it is not necessary that we will be longing.
The reason is simple, the American Markets are about to top, if they haven’t already.
So again, a small crash on $SPX will thrash $BTC brutally.
The perfect example is 2022 ERA, where $SPX topped but $BTC was crashing and was at 1W 100 Ema. $BTC crashed from $69,000 to $33,000. People thought the worst is over but since the $SPX hadn’t even sneezed then the chances of further dump was 100% possible. $BTC did pump from $33,000 to $54,000 but the main crash towards $18,000 started after that when $SPX started to fall!.
The present scenario is exactly the same. We will soon bounce but the bounce will be temporary and unsustainable.
The chances of further dump is HIGHLY HIGHLY possible.
Thanks for reading.
One of the things which we had noticed from past few months was.
CT Influencers who post charts for engagement farming had been bearish. They all predicted that bitcoin:native is going below $60,000.
While the “intellectual” or “supreme” influencers considered these influencers as Inverse Indicators. They made fun of them and look where we are today!
Look at the chart, he perfectly called the top!
Not even 24 hours since https://t.co/9NjNYU2hUn GO went live.
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$BTC Macro Update
1. Market Context
$BTC has recently crashed significantly, down by over 14% this week. We believe the selling pressure is coming from US-Iran Conflict, Saylor selling news and minute dump in American Market.
How bad it is?
At this point of time, $BTC is the most vulnerable asset, the reason is simple, the American Market is on the verge of topping, worst case scenario - a full scale collapse. If that happens then the dump on $BTC will be direct, quick and continuous. Even a small healthy crash on $SPX will obliterate $BTC.
What's Next?
We believe that we are soon going to make a new low and from there a relief bounce to over $77,000 is very much possible. We believe the next phase of $BTC should be a bit choppy. We expect $57,000 to hit soon and a small grind towards $77,000 is possible. It is not a high probability trade therefore we might or we might not enter. Remember, additional pumps will be treated to add more margin to our short
When will Bitcoin Bottom?
This is a tough question to answer now, if a full scale collapse happen on $SPX then we are going below $40,000 easily. We will need to evaluate when that time and will call out the bottom publicly. HOWEVER, so far we expect the bottom should be around $49,000 - $40,000. Therefore our Big Short will be closed fully at $49,000.
After that, we will need to evaluate with the help of American Markets if we are near bottom or not. If we get a green light then we will publicly buy Bitcoin on spot with all of our capital.
Thanks for reading.
$VSXY is up 50% today.
Their ticker literally stands for “Very Sexy.”
The market said “yeah, that checks out.”
This is 2026 Stock Market. Act accordingly.
Everyone forgot about BlackBerry $BB
That was the trade.
• It was a dead phone company
• Now powers NVIDIA robots, factory automation & Physical AI
• QNX revenue up 20% last quarter
• 950M backlog
• 8 straight quarters of improving net income
• +75% YTD. Still early.
The crowd ignores the rebrand. We don’t.
#Blackberry
Unpopular Opinion - Read Carefully
The Iran Peace Deal is already done.
The announcement is being held. Timing is everything and right now, timing points to the SpaceX IPO window.
Here’s the thesis:
Markets don’t move on news. They move on when news is released. The SpaceX IPO will generate one of the largest retail euphoria events of the decade. Market makers need maximum liquidity and sentiment at peak before distribution begins.
Our read: The Iran deal gets announced 2–3 days post SpaceX IPO pricing right at the point where the last retail dollar enters the market chasing the rally.
This is a textbook “sell the news” setup layered on top of geopolitical euphoria.