During the 3-year bull run, we always get 'perfectly timed' good news.
2020-2021: Tesla, MicroStrategy, NFTs, El Salvador. 2024-2025: #ETF, Trump pro-crypto, more politics, more narratives.
When Bitcoin is in a bear market, the news flips—regulations, hacks, and bans. FTX, China, crypto is dead.
On a macro scale, it can look like the market aligns with the news, but it’s just like a fortune teller or horoscopes—you interpret it in a way that makes sense after the fact.
The cycle plays out first, the news follows. $BTC
Since Google announced Willow, fudders keep saying Bitcoin is at risk from quantum computing.
But what about everything else they use daily—bank accounts, messaging apps, cloud storage?
By the time quantum computing becomes powerful enough to crack Bitcoin, we’ll have already updated it to be quantum-resistant.
I don’t know much about the whole Bitfinex-Tether situation.
My first thought is that even if Tether’s issuance were entirely unbacked, the amount in circulation doesn’t seem significant enough to manipulate Bitcoin’s price across its entire market cap. Maybe it was in 2017, but not anymore. Definitely something to look into, though—as I said, I don’t know enough about it.
Every cycle, people say this time will be different.
The main argument now is that with ETFs, institutions, and $BTC ’s connection to TradFi, we won’t see a huge correction at the 3-year mark.
But think about this: retail participation has caused massive volatility in TradFi stocks—a space dominated by institutions.
Now consider Bitcoin, a market that’s primarily retail-driven and only recently attracting institutions.
If retail can shake TradFi, do you really think #Bitcoin won’t see massive moves?
It’s not impossible for things to be different this time, but this idea is mainly tied to greed and emotions—which will only get stronger as this bull run advances. Stick to your plan while leaving some margin for an alternate scenario.
@cryptoken_board Finally a tool that brings together all the key financial data on a specific cryptocurrency—great to have everything organized in one place! this looks awesome🙌
$ETH hasn’t been as strong of a play as expected—
Many missed a good entry in late 2022 because it held up like a tank near the end of the bear market—waiting for it to drop below the June lows.
Since 2022, it has underperformed, but the hate seems to have peaked.
A move toward $5K before February puts ETH back in the spotlight.
With institutions and regulations shaping this cycle, ETH might surprise a lot of people.
#ETHUSD monthly chart
We’re at the midpoint of Bitcoin’s 4-year cycle.
Now entering the third and final year of the bull market—historically when the biggest moves happen.
It’s crazy how everything is playing out exactly as expected so far.
Let’s hope this third year doesn’t bring any big surprises.
#BTCUSD chart :