Brawlin' Boar

crunching rugby numbers, predicting fantasy rugby for fun

[Brawlin' Boar @BrawlinBoar]

Happy Sixmas, fantasy rugby community! I created a tool to predict players’ performance based on previous performances and up-to-date betting odds.

Check it out!
👇👇👇

[Brawlin' Boar @BrawlinBoar]

As usual, no models for finals of PREM or URC. The best bet is always to stock up on players from the favourites, ideally all 15.

This year it’s Leinster and Northampton.

[Brawlin' Boar @BrawlinBoar]

Here are the optimal teams for semifinals of PREM.

Henry Pollock captains the squad, overall Northampton and Bath are expected to go to the finals,

[Brawlin' Boar @BrawlinBoar]

For URC, we get a Glasgow/Leinster showdown with Canan Moodie cameo. JOB takes the armband.

[Brawlin' Boar @BrawlinBoar]

Here are the optimal teams for the last regular season week of PREM.

Ben Loader of Glouchester takes the armband, with Raffie Quirke at the 9 and Marcus Smith at 10 for both teams.

[Brawlin' Boar @BrawlinBoar]

For Week 17 of PREM, Henry Pollock features in back row, while Max Malins takes the armband.

[Brawlin' Boar @BrawlinBoar]

Here is the Optimal Team for QF of URC.

Favourites: Glasgow, Bulls, Stormers and Leinster have the most representation today. Evan Roos takes the armband. And if you had Sacha the whole time, kicker is an easy choice.

[Brawlin' Boar @BrawlinBoar]

Here are the optimal teams for last regular season week of URC and round 16 of PREM.

Arundell is essential as a PREM captain, with South Africa once again dominating URC team selection.

[Brawlin' Boar @BrawlinBoar]

Here are the optimal teams for PREM and URC this week. Harlequins should put up a lot of points vs. Newcastle, while in URC Glasgow and Bulls are heavy favourites. My model loves Sergeal Petersen too much, but you never know when he’s gonna blow up.

[Brawlin' Boar @BrawlinBoar]

For PREM, the Optimal team has Noah (but not the one you expect) as a captain, while week-to-week optimal team is carried by the bench.

[Brawlin' Boar @BrawlinBoar]

Here are the Optimal teams for URC: for both teams Francke Horn is the captain and the backlines are the same. Sheehan is also essential for both squads.

[Brawlin' Boar @BrawlinBoar]

Here are the optimal teams for both URC and PREM this week.

In PREM, heavy Saracens presence with Arundell captaining.

In URC, South Africa has a dominating presence this week, with a rare backrow captain in Roos.

[Brawlin' Boar @BrawlinBoar]

And for the PREM! After a rough restart, here are the optimal team and w2w optimal team to turn the tide.

First appearance of LRZ in both teams since his return!

[Brawlin' Boar @BrawlinBoar]

Back for another weekend for optimal teams! Here are the optimal URC fantasy squad and week-to-week optimal team.

Going hard on Leinster and setting two high-scoring locks to make the difference in both teams.

[Brawlin' Boar @BrawlinBoar]

And here is the Premiership optimal team for the wildcard week.

[Brawlin' Boar @BrawlinBoar]

Now, after a disappointing Six Nations for me, back to the club game where both optimal teams are in top 1k with 0 interventions.

URC goes first this week, wildcard round allows us to stock up on South Africans that are going to smash Welsh and one Scottish club.

[Brawlin' Boar @BrawlinBoar]

Quite a different picture for Superbru, but the classical LBB (C) and Ramos (K) combination at the back.

[Brawlin' Boar @BrawlinBoar]

And for the last Six Nations Fantasy Optimal Team of the year.

Sheehan finally appears at hooker since France is heavily favored against England and firepower is needed on other positions.

Ryan Elias as a supersub.

[Brawlin' Boar @BrawlinBoar]

And here is the Superbru Fantasy team. Three number 8 in the back row, Jacob Stockdale the captain.

[Brawlin' Boar @BrawlinBoar]

Here is the Optimal team for Six Nations week 4. The model really likes Osborne and puts captain on him. It also likes van der Flier coming from the bench as a supersub.

Full disclosure: I lost my access to stats source that I used for the model, so the squads can seem sameish.

[Brawlin' Boar @BrawlinBoar]

While Six Nations is on pause, URC has 6 teams with double gameweeks!

That means the Optimal Team focuses a lot on the players from these teams. Finn Treacy and Zac Ward are OOP, the former taking the armband.