BreakPoint Options

8-year options trader | High-convexity momentum trades

[BreakPoint Options @BreakpntOptions]

$INTC historical weekly RSI peaks and the corresponding pullbacks:

1997: 210% rally from the bottom to the peak of the move. Weekly RSI peaked at 87. Followed by a 7% decline in one week and roughly 22% downside within two months.

2014: 78% move off the weekly bottom. Weekly RSI peaked at 86. Pulled back approximately 5% within two weeks.

2017: 42% advance with weekly RSI reaching 84. Followed by a 4% correction over two weeks.

2020: 60% rally with weekly RSI peaking at 78. Saw a 7% decline in one week shortly after.

2023: 105% move higher with weekly RSI topping at 76. Followed by a 10% pullback.

Today (2026): $INTC has rallied approximately 600% from the lows, with the weekly RSI now reaching 91 — the most extended reading in the stock’s modern history.

[Donald J. Trump @realDonaldTrump]

What a rotten deal we made with Iran. We get nothing (except laughter at our stupidity). They get everything, including delay and big cash!

[BreakPoint Options @BreakpntOptions]

@TiNyJALEPENO13 @dave_roush_nyc @LostInCa45 @Walmart @walmarthelp Or just go get it and stop being a fat?

[Donald J. Trump @realDonaldTrump]

Iran was on its last legs and ready to collapse until the U.S. came along and gave it a life-line in the form of the Iran Deal: $150 billion

[BreakPoint Options @BreakpntOptions]

@dave_roush_nyc @LostInCa45 @Walmart @walmarthelp Real question is why tf are you getting Gatorade delivered

[Chris Camillo @ChrisCamillo]

Might be quiet for a bit on posts and responding to DMs and texts. Lost one of the most special people in my life to a tragic accident today.

On a completely different note, I did meaningfully add to $AMZN today and remain as bullish as ever.

Love you all. Hug your people.

[Fuentes Updates @FuentesUpdates]

The United States has officially LOST the Iran War 🇺🇸🇮🇷

“Ask yourself, what are we getting out of this agreement? The answer is NOTHING.”

[zerohedge @zerohedge]

no sweat, just $1.4 trillion in funding commitments that keep the entire AI circle jerk oscillating

[zerohedge @zerohedge]

'Eventually Everything Comes Back To Earth': BTIG Sees Semis Momentum Waning https://t.co/ADdbtWfMGa

[Chris Camillo @ChrisCamillo]

The backroom financial engineering happening right now to help long-time SpaceX holders cash out anywhere near current $SPCX prices must be wild.

[Quinten | 048.eth @QuintenFrancois]

Only ~5% of SpaceX stock is floating right now

~95% $SPCX is still locked

Most don’t realize bearish pressure often comes later, when insiders finally get liquidity

Unlock schedule below ⬇️

[Options King Of The Sea @SeaKingOptions]

The firm that speed ran $65M worth of $MU calls to $2B has to exit or exercise their position by this friday....

[Steve Burns @SJosephBurns]

“I never use valuation to time the market. I use liquidity considerations and technical analysis for timing. Valuation only tells me how far the market can go once a catalyst enters the picture to change the market direction.”

— Stanley Druckenmiller

[TrendSpider @TrendSpider]

Robinhood insider Meyer Malka CONTINUES to load up, adding another $20,000,000 in shares 🌶️

His buys now total $55,000,000+ over the past 14 trading days $HOOD

[GURGAVIN @gurgavin]

https://t.co/NYk4SXxqY6

[BreakPoint Options @BreakpntOptions]

@gnoble79 We’re in a completely different market now, old man. None of these are relevant anymore.

[BreakPoint Options @BreakpntOptions]

@LazaroInvestor Have fun getting diluted 🤣

[zerohedge @zerohedge]

JPM pours cold water on the "Intel deal":

On this The Information article “TSMC’s capacity struggles are turning into a boon for Intel,” seems like a storm in a teacup/nothing clearly new… The reporter argues that “Several major AI chip design companies” including GOOGL & NVDA are looking to INTC as a “backup manufacturer” for “their most advanced processors.” That may be true, but they don’t actually seem to provide anything concrete other than multi-project wafer runs which I think were widely assumed to be ongoing. The article discusses a GOOGL order for 3m+ TPUs in 2028. Actually these chips are still being fabbed at TSMC (N2 for compute, N3 for io die), and the INTC piece is only EMIB-T advanced packaging; this is already in our models... The article also suggests the NVDA is testing INTC capabilities for Feynman (but again this sounds like interconnect, not wafer fab… though they specifically also talk about NVDA “running early trials” 18A wafer fab). There’s also discussion of SK Hynix sampling INTC packaging. All packaging

[BreakPoint Options @BreakpntOptions]

You left out the most important part.. They are on track to go FCF negative in the back half of 2026

A company that generated $43.6B in FCF in 2025 going FCF negative in 12 months is not the same company you’re comparing to Sept 2024.

Oh and they’re about to dilute you with a share offering. The spokesperson ‘denial’ literally said they’ll raise capital ‘in the most flexible ways.’

[Shay Boloor @StockSavvyShay]

$NVDA CEO Jensen Huang says he expects the memory shortage to last several more years.

HBM uses far more wafer capacity than regular DRAM and depends on advanced packaging so even $MU, Samsung and SK Hynix cannot fix supply just by adding more wafers.

[BreakPoint Options @BreakpntOptions]

@CrusaderNoodles @GigglingGanon They only make like $29 an hour retard