BTC Lee

Degen Trader. 90% accuracy 30% of the time. Short term bias flows like water. Macro FA + TA. Startup Founder. #BTC #ETH & #ALTCOINS since 2017 #crypto

[BTC Lee @BTC_Lee_]

TA takes 5 minutes of my time. Entry areas, exit areas, and where I take profit.

My real time is spent figuring out how much to play and how much I stand to lose if I'm wrong.

Then I say fuck it, forget all of the above, and ape into the trade.

[BTC Lee @BTC_Lee_]

There’s really no point to this thread other than a quick dump of thoughts that don’t have any other outlet.

[BTC Lee @BTC_Lee_]

When you have ADHD, some things become superpowers. When you get into a funk mentally, those superpowers don’t overcome a lot of spiraling thoughts.

Finding my way back into sports is helping me regain my unshakeable confidence that hasn’t been there the past few years.

[BTC Lee @BTC_Lee_]

My next moves include leaving LA to go back to the Bay.

Clarity + being around my closest friends + the vibe should bring about a rejuvenated Lee.

I’m excited and anxious at the same time. Anxious, because it will uproot some of the stability my kids have.

[BTC Lee @BTC_Lee_]

The VC community will eat up anything web3 AI so that’s likely an area to look out for later this year.

But, I’m curious to see what the herd will jump into.

My early guess will probably be some sort of new game like AXS or Sandbox was.

May even be these coins themselves?

[BTC Lee @BTC_Lee_]

We had Ian Balina

Then we had Bit Boy

Who is next?

[BTC Lee @BTC_Lee_]

12h $BTC guppy officially red. Generally means anywhere from 30-90 days of red to come. I'm posting how close 60 days would get us to an estimated halving date

This is a lagging indicator for trends that gives me a quick way to confirm my earlier thesis on distribution.

[BTC Lee @BTC_Lee_]

12h guppy about to go red heading towards the halving.

I've included historical shots of what the market did the last two times we hit red roughly around the halving.

Best case scenario, you get a small period of accumulation. Worst case scenario, you get a big drop.

[BTC Lee @BTC_Lee_]

Transposing the squiggles on my 1D $BTC chart for fun.

Don't hold me to the timeframes.

And post halving may be underwhelming to start the new run.

I want to see disillusion from the community. Blinders + creeping market = FOMO juice.

[BTC Lee @BTC_Lee_]

I’ve let myself go. I’m just getting back into sports and trying to have better habits again. I’m not obese, but not happy with where I’m at.

That uphill climb is daunting but a few months of better living should help solidify good habits.

Cheers to a leaner and meaner 🐂

[BTC Lee @BTC_Lee_]

I was wondering which narrative would play out to induce fear.

Grayscale was not on my bingo card.

[BTC Lee @BTC_Lee_]

When you’ve done crypto for this long. Some things are automatic, especially if you’re bright and understand psychology.

Don’t second guess things. Have conviction in your calls and minimize mistakes.

Most importantly, figure out the herd before the herd figures themselves out

[BTC Lee @BTC_Lee_]

Saving this. I only see a couple with the potential for hype-trains.

Anyway, stay safe.

[Altcoin Daily @AltcoinDaily]

Old Altcoins:
$XRP
$ADA
$DOT
$SOL
$MATIC
$LINK

New Altcoins:
$TIA
$OP
$IMX
$KAS
$BEAM
$TAO

Which perform better this cycle? 🤔

[BTC Lee @BTC_Lee_]

$BTC

Let's go ahead and track this. Added another zone I like.

[BTC Lee @BTC_Lee_]

For old times sake.

We're short on time for a big dip. I like a few zones but it depends on where were we are time frame wise.

After the catalyst, the dips will be short and the market will run.

When the market goes dumb dumb, don't believe the narratives and play your game.

[BTC Lee @BTC_Lee_]

Make me feel fear.

When I'm afraid to pull the trigger. Pull the trigger.

[BTC Lee @BTC_Lee_]

People looking at $SOL scratching their heads wondering why this zone didn't act as big resistance.

Almost a 2 year old price point and market FOMO.

Great place to take profits, but it was destined to run a bit more.

Where will $SOL fall?

[BTC Lee @BTC_Lee_]

Take note of the new fanatical coins that picked up steam this season.

They will be your friend when the new class joins.

[BTC Lee @BTC_Lee_]

When you make a call publicly on socials, a person’s first instinct is to defend the call. You start looking for confirmation to strengthen your bias…

This is where a lot of money gets lost.

Don’t marry your bias.

Make a play, but accept when your idea gets invalidated

[BTC Lee @BTC_Lee_]

Game plan for 2024. Don't big brain it.

Stay ahead of the new class.

[BTC Lee @BTC_Lee_]

A founder I admire called me and my co-founder visionaries. It feels too self congratulatory doing it on my main account, but here on Lee, I feel like I can share.

I'm super stoked about it.

Most days I feel like I'm getting kicked in the nuts, so this was very welcomed.