If the Model Y can scale to 1.2m units in 3 years surely Cybercab can at least double that 🤷♂️. I don’t see regulatory hurdles curtailing this significantly given current progress. At 5bn in nett profit for every 140,000 on the road that’s 85bn…say 100bn overall. At a 150pe (given the growth) we’re looking at a share price of circa 5000 early 2029 ex Optimus. This, to Me at least, seems the simplest way of looking at things assuming FSD is a solved problem and the competition isn’t coming given AIs current trajectory. I hope both our estimates turn out to be true, ironically not a great deal of money required to enjoy this beautiful Country…way of life 🤗.
@WR4NYGov But the traffic is hell in cities for cars. Scooters far quicker for short low speed journeys city center, way more convenient and pretty safe. Grab riders seem to ride more safely than Bolt in my experience too.
@TacticzH@alojoh You could argue that the present valuation is now fully justified in that FSD is a solved problem. The income hasn’t arrived but the chances that it won’t are now markedly reduced 🤷♂️
@sashayanshin@wholemars Maybe because the profits and viability of one over the other pale when you consider the size of the disruption over such a short timescale 🤷♂️