Journey of a multibagger stock:
~Throwaway valuations
~Valuations improve a bit
~Business & growth triggers rise
~Stock is 10x
~Technical breakout
~Stories build up
~Stock is 12x
~Funds buy
~Research report comes out
~Stock is 25x
~Everyone owns it
12. Inflation is under control & and a few more rate cuts will come
13. Nifty -500 basket profit growth will be around 10-11% for next 2-3 years minimum
Note: In Global panic or due to India-Pak tension (Pahalgam attack), we may go down, but we may recover quickly
Why India's stock market may not fall big ?
1. DIIs and FIIs are buying on dips
2. This correction is 8 months old
3. Brent crude below $63
4. Dollar index below 100
5. INR appreciated Vs Dollar index in the last 1 month
6. Results are In-line mostly
7. Valuations in large caps are not that expensive
8. India may get decent trade deal Vs China / others
9. Indian Corporates balance sheet is not highly leveraged
10. Fiscal deficit is under control
11. RBI provided decent liquidity to banks & credit growth may pick-up
Make this the basis for ur projection But if the company has a capex plan, then there is a higher chance that ur projection will be correct. Also, it is worth noting that if a company has grown by 10-20% in the last 5 years without any capex, then it can grow even more with capex
Stock market is all about the game of Projections. If a company is earning a profit of Rs 20 crore today then we have to project how much profit it can earn in the next 5 years. Now for this, look at the Net profit (CAGR) of the last 5 years and see what it is. is 10% is 20%
Pro tips for listing day
1. Ensure you have tpin enabled in all your accounts without which you can't sell or buy
2. To buy in pre market - put bid at uc, you will get at listing price of ipo
3. To sell in pre market or listing price Put your sell bid at lower circuit
Ye hai desh ka desi market ❗
1. Stocks firing based on news
2. Very unhealthy valuations
3. unprecedented rise in high PE stocks
4. Only few pockets are rising everyday and bought by MF
5. Concentrate portfolio allocation by MF
6. Adani saga
The characteristics of a multibagger stock:-
1. Small market cap
2. Growing at 25-40% CAGR
3. Lots of planned CAPEX
4. Scaling into newer geographies
5. Very Hungry management
6. Low/no dividends
7. Negative FCF
8. Bullish outlook
9. Scalable products
10. Operating Leverage