Long-term holders are now carrying 5.3M BTC at a loss, surpassing the post-FTX crash level and reaching the highest reading since the Covid crash.
The scale of underwater LTH supply suggests the resolution process is still in progress.
📉 https://t.co/PcpS23iqPE
Now that Bitcoin is crashing...🩸
It’s important to look at the absolute wreckage inside MicroStrategy right now ( $MSTR)
- portfolio plunges to a record -$10.8B unrealized loss
- down -17% after 6 years of buying BTC
- vastly underperforms S&P 500 (+116% over same period)
- Sold 32 BTC at $77,135
- stock plunges -77% from its absolute record high
Now lets talk about what happens if we crash further:
- total paper loss reaches -$21.76B if Bitcoin hits $50k
- total paper loss escalates to -$30.18B at $40k flat
- total paper loss hits -$38.61B at $30k
- retail investors are getting absolutely wiped out in the carnage
The dividend crisis:
- questions mount over how he can afford to continue paying $STRC at 12% a year
- it was designed to stay around $100 forever
- the price is now $95 and crashing
- you have to be worried what comes next
outcome:
A multi-billion dollar bet facing complete financial ruin at the average price somewhere around the speculated $8,000-$12,000 area.
Still miles away from any real stress, but the concerns are starting to creep back into conversation.
@scottmelker This is not like every other cycle. Cycles are dead one way or the other. People will learn soon. Likely we’ll trade significantly longer under the 200
We joked for about a year that Saylor was literally the only one buying bitcoin and... It turns out that he was actually literally the only one buying.
Second red year in a row. All your models destroyed. 4 cycle will get obliterated one way or another. Just hope it’s not to the downside as i predicted