Since WWII, the US has launched military attacks in:
Korea, Vietnam, Greece, Cuba, Cambodia, Lebanon, Libya, Iraq, Somalia, Haiti, Bosnia, Afghanistan, Syria, Yemen, Iran...
Has it worked?
The US Treasury is caught in a doom loop. This is a problem that both parties in Congress have created by their refusal to control spending.
Investors have indicated that 5% is no longer a high enough interest rate for the risk involved. The dollar is being devalued and the US Treasury is selling $2 trillion in new debt each year. $40.1 trillion and climbing.
It's official.
As the bond market "meltdown" accelerates, the average interest rate on a 30Y mortgage in the US is up to 7.45%.
That's up +150 basis points in 6 months and the highest since 2023, when inflation was at 6.4%+.
What is happening? Let us explain.
(a thread)
The government's playbook since 1971:
1. The government spends more than it earns.
2. It must take on debt to fund the difference.
3. The Fed creates money to buy the debt.
4. More money makes every dollar worth less.
5. Everything gets more expensive.
Unbelievable.
3 hours later and the 10Y Note Yield is now above 5.20% for the first time in 19 years.
The 10Y Note Yield is now up +50 basis points in 30 days and +30 basis points in 2 days.
Even more remarkable is that the average American has no idea this is happening. Yet.
The bond market is imploding in front of our eyes.
Nevermind by Nirvana was released on this day in 1991, 35 years ago.
The album marked the end of one era in Rock History and the beginning of a new one: grunge.
BREAKING: US M2 money supply jumped +$124.9 billion in August, to a record $23.34 trillion.
This marks the 28th consecutive monthly increase, totaling +$2.61 trillion.
YoY, M2 grew +5.7%, its largest YoY increase since June 2022.
This marks a sharp acceleration from +2.0% YoY growth seen in August 2024.
Meanwhile, since the 2020 pandemic, M2 money supply has surged +$7.85 trillion, equivalent to +$1.21 trillion on average per year, or +6.5% annualized growth.
US money creation is picking up speed.