Carroll Doherty

Public opinion, political data. Visiting senior fellow, German Marshall Fund
Former director of political research at Pew Research

[Lakshya Jain @lxeagle17]

This is a reminder that there are real consequences to counting votes late. When citizens wake up, they expect they'll see some results that decently reflect the election outcome.

Seeing this — and then seeing Pan surge in the last 45% of the vote — destroys trust in elections.

[Carroll Doherty @CarrollDoherty]

Can't think of any president doing this poorly on a major issue:
% approving of Trump gas prices
All adults 19% (81% disapprove)
Republicans 38%
Independents 6%
Democrats 4%
@MULawPoll https://t.co/X6ydr84uio

[Carroll Doherty @CarrollDoherty]

Despite last night's loss for Trump-backed Sen. candidate in Iowa, 87% of MAGA-favorable Reps say they'd back a Trump-endorsed primary candidate; just 9% would support a candidate he opposed. @MULawPoll https://t.co/X6ydr84uio

[MULawPoll @MULawPoll]

Confidence that Trump’s policies will decrease inflation has fallen by nearly half since December 2024, the month after he was reelected. At that time, 41% thought his policies would lower inflation, but in May 2026, only 22% think this. #mulawpoll

[Carroll Doherty @CarrollDoherty]

@JimPethokoukis From @washingtonpost lede all on 7/4/1976 (via @Baylor digital collection) "upbeat tone marks varied tributes to nation's birthday"

[Natalie Jackson @nataliemj10]

Primaries are idiosyncratic, and combined with gerrymandering often result in suboptimal representation.

[Carroll Doherty @CarrollDoherty]

Big change in the GOP: New @Gallup survey finds that % of Republicans saying gay and lesbian relations are morally acceptable has fallen 21 pts - from 56% to 35% - since 2022.
https://t.co/iieZ6vaYOA

[Carroll Doherty @CarrollDoherty]

@EricMGarcia Mills coming off as the political version of Chet. Much older though, so at least there's an excuse

[Carroll Doherty @CarrollDoherty]

@AaronBlake Be interesting to see how Republicans feel today after all of the @FoxNews coverage of Chauvin

[Carroll Doherty @CarrollDoherty]

Americans do agree on some things - and politicians from both parties should take note. 90% of all adults - 93% of Republicans and 88% of Democrats - say 'married people having an affair' is morally wrong.
https://t.co/0Sa0dymXBN

[Erin Doherty @erinpdoherty]

Scoop: Rep. Ashley Hinson said last week that the Iran war will become a "political liability" if it extends much longer, according to audio obtained by POLITICO.

https://t.co/9fizy1aOaD

[Josh Dawsey @jdawsey1]

One of the best stories I’ve read in a long time, with so many wild details. The downfall of the Bill Gates image. https://t.co/NppGUPa6UY

[Aaron Rupar @atrupar]

Trump has no public events on his schedule again today. The last time he was seen publicly for something other than a pre-taped interview was six days ago -- Wednesday, May 27 -- for his cabinet meeting. (He went to Walter Reed the day before.)

[Carroll Doherty @CarrollDoherty]

No surprise - next month's 250th celebration is turning into (another) partisan issue.
https://t.co/fBDihPFx5n

[Carroll Doherty @CarrollDoherty]

Republican support for military aid to Ukraine is nearly 40 points lower than it was after the Russian invasion in 2022. @ChicagoCouncil https://t.co/FPjIG5803S

[Frank Luntz @FrankLuntz]

In the mid-1960s, 42% of American adults were smokers. 🚬

[Carroll Doherty @CarrollDoherty]

@TheCinesthetic La La land - doesn’t completely fall apart, but goes from visually stunning retro musical to slower paced conventional rom-com

[G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris]

Here's why so much election analysis is useless: A race decided by a point and a half can be blamed on almost anything. Most party autopsies don't stand the test of time, and the narratives that get pushed are mainly exercises in confirmation bias https://t.co/VfwUgm9wYq

[Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias]

😬

[Carroll Doherty @CarrollDoherty]

@mviser @AshleyRParker No surprise but Trump lost the gay/lesbian/bisexual vote 84%-15% in 2024 and by the same margin in 2020. https://t.co/BvIwSyyRL6