Casinca

✍️reviving this dusty acc

crypto; markets?

engr/m.sc phys

[Casinca @Casinca]

All roads lead to Rome?

I'm still mind blown, doesn't make sense how ~2/3 highlighted of the fractals are ridiculously accurate and 2022 is ending within a few % exactly where it was historically predicted.

Who would have believed it this year.
We're in a simulation🤣
#Bitcoin

[Casinca @Casinca]

$BTC Liquidity issue is overstated now, not rly intentional FUD but some ignorance?
I don't need to aggregate 13 CEXs when Binance is like 70% of spot volume you add CB, OKX, Bybit and you already have a good sample of confidence

Not great not terrible

2%from mid price(7D MA)👇

[Casinca @Casinca]

largest amount of long liquidations today since FTX event🫤 watareudoinguys

[Casinca @Casinca]

@wclemente Tbf "they" market sold 400 #btc in a min. That's more than the average hourly selling volume for CB😂

[Casinca @Casinca]

Technically we're not already within the "12months prior" window but we could consider we're still in that accumulation phase with 2023 as n-1. this is kinda HTF/LT.

One thing is sure, the closer we get, the more the frequency of the word "halving" will increase on CT😂

[Casinca @Casinca]

What's there to know about #Bitcoin halvings (PA perspective)

Usually going flattish+ towards it, the real deal is post halving.

For n = the year on the halving day (advancing)
n-1 is often the flat "accumulative" phase/yr (n-2 the declining one)

mostly related to the 4y cycle

[Casinca @Casinca]

Honorable mention: @knlae_ Best "echo bubble" CT account with at least 11 confirmed tweets during this timeframe😂🫡

[Casinca @Casinca]

Echo bubble tweets/day on CT (Oct-Jan 27th)

Not only is @GCRClassic manipulating the price of $BTC but he's also manipulating CT with his influencing cartel.

All jokes aside... It's funny how much impact he has on CT with a 2-word narrative (this overlap with $BTC is golden🤣)

[Casinca @Casinca]

Regardless of how it'll close imo, this month has been exceptional and very similar structurally to 2013(dashed)

+ taking into account FTX I guess that's prob why @CryptoCapo_ and some thought there was manipulation and can't blv we could get 1 of the best starts in $BTC history

[Casinca @Casinca]

This YTD squeeze gave us the 2nd best ~start/half of all January months behind '21 and close to '20.

At this point, previous occurrences never closed the month negatively (but that doesn't mean shit tho, just sayin)

(not including 2011-12, twas trading for peanuts)

$BTC

[Casinca @Casinca]

#bitcoin edition ('11-'22)

Jan +, year + ➡️42%
Jan+, year - ➡️8%
Jan-, year+ ➡️33%
Jan-, year- ➡️17%

Simple, if it works, you tweet later:
"History does often rhyme"

if it doesn't work:
"Past performance is not indicative of future results"

[Casinca @Casinca]

We are so back

[Casinca @Casinca]

@bitcoinjack Even reflected on the daily, not sure how it's going to close, (maybe just wick, never know) but at some point a 'reset' candle is bound to happen sooner or later i mean https://t.co/6SWSzH51nH

[Casinca @Casinca]

All in all, I wouldn't be surprised to see a smoll reset to this stat in the near future.
Might not be in a single candle tho, maybe split in 2days, who knows.

(For the info: record was in late 2012/early 2013 with 80+ days)

[Casinca @Casinca]

We are so back

[Casinca @Casinca]

All in all, I wouldn't be surprised to see a smoll reset to this stat in the near future.
Might not be in a single candle tho, maybe split in 2days, who knows.

(For the info: record was in late 2012/early 2013 with 80+ days)

[Casinca @Casinca]

In 42 days, the worst $BTC daily we've had, was a mere ~-2.20%

Phenomenon that hasn't happened since Nov 2th, 2016 and can be counted on one hand in #Bitcoin history.

Take a moment & light a🕯️to salute the vain efforts of the bears who've been trying to short this for 42 days..

[Casinca @Casinca]

When @PARABOLIT said "melt-up" he wasn't kidding🤣

[Casinca @Casinca]

In 42 days, the worst $BTC daily we've had, was a mere ~-2.20%

Phenomenon that hasn't happened since Nov 2th, 2016 and can be counted on one hand in #Bitcoin history.

Take a moment & light a🕯️to salute the vain efforts of the bears who've been trying to short this for 42 days..

[Casinca @Casinca]

2ND this is not spoofing as it's too far away from current PA and been there for a while

3RD waiting for $12K to get filled now?😬 some of it will most likely chase like the others... and thus have to buy higher.
Whether active(twap) or passive(support) it's bullish HTF.

[Casinca @Casinca]

From prev tweet, the only stubborn whale (last white line remaining) are our old friends with the largest/most concentrated limit order EVER recorded in crypto history (in #BTC terms)

Still hasn't rly budged at $12K since last tweet.

[Casinca @Casinca]

Largest ever buy limit order at a specific price, popped 2 days ago on #Binance spot.

~6000 #Bitcoin at $12000

Most likely an aggregation (jumped from 1.4K) but still I checked on Binance, such concentration has never been recorded on their book, even perps or any books i blv👀

[Casinca @Casinca]

As insinuated most likely an accumulation and some of it got removed, 5K #BTC left (unrelated to the YTD move)

Speculation(no evidence):

1ST judging/reviewing Binance historical DOM, 1 entity may have really posted for 4-4.5K #BTC, rest is imo aggregated.

[Casinca @Casinca]

you can clearly see some chasooors + prob market buys who helped on binance spot from the YTD move on the book, with limits degrading over time/being removed then some re-popping higher.

(white line is >500 #BTC )

[Casinca @Casinca]

When was the last time we had such $BTC activity on WE that wasn't a sell-off and ignoring "buy the dip" types

Mostly stuff from Q1 '21, funny.

(I aggr @ByzGeneral spot+perps volume, some CEXs missing and not accounting 0 fees, but still the change/aggressiveness is noticeable)

[Casinca @Casinca]

@Bobby90134768 @ByzGeneral It's better overall to view as weighted than a raw mean.
You can't give the same flow importance to Binance and some T4 "secretly insolvent" CEXs where 2 apes trade (exaggerating but you get the idea).
Hence you get a "closer"/more realistic view of the funding trend