CaucasusWarReport

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[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

BREAKING: President Trump says he has paused the 50% tariffs that were supposed to take effect tomorrow morning for a three day period.

President Trump says the US and Canada "have a deal."

[Faytuks Network @FaytuksNetwork]

Iran fired two ballistic missiles toward the United Arab Emirates, the UAE defence ministry said. One fell outside UAE territorial waters and the other inside them. The ministry said forces were on full alert.

[*Walter Bloomberg @DeItaone]

ISRAEL-TURKEY TENSIONS RISE OVER SYRIA STRIKE

An Axios reporter says a senior Israeli official claimed the strike on a Syrian air base in the Idlib area was meant to prevent a Turkish military foothold.

A senior Turkish official denied any Turkish presence at the base, accusing Israel of “making up excuses” to bomb neighboring countries and destabilize the region.

[Faytuks Network @FaytuksNetwork]

Russia is shipping explosives, drone components, and ammunition to Iran via the Caspian Sea to help Tehran rebuild its stockpiles damaged in strikes by the U.S. and Israel, according to a European government document obtained by NBC News.

[Faytuks Network @FaytuksNetwork]

Adm. Bradley Cooper, head of U.S. Central Command, supports deliberations about potentially moving U.S. troops west from the Persian Gulf, a U.S. official told The Post.

[Clash Report @clashreport]

WATCH: CNN gained first-ever media access to a Ukrainian Patriot launcher, sitting idle in a cornfield near Kyiv with all 16 tubes empty.

It hasn't fired in roughly 10 weeks.

Its chief engineer:

Ballistic missiles are flying over your head and you are not able to do anything with it, and behind you, there are civilians.

He blamed the global interceptor shortage on the Iran war:

We were very shocked by how many missiles they launched — the very missiles that we could use against Russian ballistic missiles.

Source: CNN

[Faytuks Network @FaytuksNetwork]

A large number of NATO aircraft have gathered around Kaliningrad and the Baltic Sea this morning.

Notably, an EA-37B electronic warfare aircraft has been brought out of CENTCOM, while a Leidos ARTEMIS II ISR aircraft is also operating in the area, alongside tankers and F-35As.

[Faytuks Network @FaytuksNetwork]

The move, described by a Saudi insider as a "subtle message," comes as Saudi Arabia has accused the UAE of threatening its security by backing secessionist forces in Yemen, and amid disagreements over how to respond to the Iran war. -Reuters

[OSINTtechnical @Osinttechnical]

A Ukrainian attack drone hit another Russian Moscow-area Wildberries e-commerce distribution center overnight.

[OSINTtechnical @Osinttechnical]

Ukrainian mid-range strike drones continue to hunt down Russian logistics vehicles on key supply routes behind the southern frontline.

Seen here, multiple Russian transports burn after a Ukrainian Hornet strike.

[Faytuks Network @FaytuksNetwork]

Ukraine has almost run out of Patriot interceptor missiles, with a launcher near Kyiv sitting idle for 10 weeks. The global supply crunch, driven by heavy use during Iran war, has left Zelensky saying Ukraine has only 1% of US stockpile, but needs 5%, to survive the winter. -CNN

[*Walter Bloomberg @DeItaone]

TRUMP APPROVAL FALLS TO PRESIDENCY LOW

President Trump’s approval rating fell to 33%, the lowest of his presidency, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll. About 64% disapprove of his performance.

The Iran conflict is a major concern: 80% of Americans expect U.S. involvement to continue for an extended period.

The decline comes ahead of November’s midterms, with Republicans defending their congressional majorities.

[Faytuks Network @FaytuksNetwork]

Russia has built or expanded at least 10 drone bases with 59 launch rails near NATO’s eastern flank, according to the Telegraph. This comes amid drone incursions into NATO and a WSJ report that U.S. intel believes Moscow could test the alliance with a limited attack.

https://t.co/JxgaW5BmSf

[*Walter Bloomberg @DeItaone]

BOARD OF PEACE OFFICIAL: WE AGREED WITH NETANYAHU ON A PATH FORWARD

[OSINTtechnical @Osinttechnical]

Ukraine’s General Staff has released new imagery of multiple destroyed structures at Russia’s Kamenskiy Kombinat solid rocket motor production facility.

At least 6 workshops at the plant were damaged or destroyed in a Ukrainian drone raid over the weekend.

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

BREAKING: The US and Iran have reportedly agreed to extend their 60-day ceasefire which was set to expire today, per Al Arabiya.

Details include:

1. Under the "Memorandum of Understanding" brokered by Pakistan, today marks the final day of the Iran War ceasefire

2. President Trump says that a "backchannel" is in place with Iran’s Revolutionary Guard officials

3. Despite the supposed extension, there remains no indication of an imminent deal

Today marks day 170 of the Iran War.

[Clash Report @clashreport]

INTERESTING: USS Benfold, a guided-missile destroyer, lost all power for four days in the South China Sea after a generator failure on July 24.

The crew of roughly 300 had no working toilets, air conditioning, kitchen, or water systems in extreme heat.

The ship drifted powerless until tugboats towed it to Subic Bay, Philippines, where power was restored six days later.

Another warship in the carrier group had to provide cooked meals.

It's the second US destroyer to suffer a power failure in the Indo-Pacific this year.

Source: CNN

[*Walter Bloomberg @DeItaone]

TRUMP THREATENS OMAN OVER IRAN BLOCKADE

President Trump threatened military action against Oman if it interferes with the U.S. blockade of Iranian ships in the Strait of Hormuz, according to Fox News.

Trump said the blockade is increasing pressure on Iran and that he is “not in a hurry” to end the conflict.

U.S.-Iran peace talks remain stalled after nearly six months of war, while disruptions through Hormuz continue pushing oil and gas prices higher.

[Clash Report @clashreport]

BREAKING: Trump to Fox News:

If Oman gets in the way, we will bomb the shit out of them.

[OSINTtechnical @Osinttechnical]

Over the weekend, Ukrainian attack drones struck Russia’s Kamenskiy Kombinat solid rocket motor production facility, setting it on fire.

The plant produced solid fuel for Russian rocket and missile systems, including the Uragan, Smerch, Kh-59, and Iskander-K/M missiles.