CCIntel

Clock & Cloud Intelligence is a B2B SaaS company focusing on providing actionable intelligence

[CCIntel @CCIntelOfficial]

#IsraelHamasConflict War update 11/10/2023

Because of...

🔥 in #Argentina 🇦🇷
🚨 #Earthquakes in #Turkey 🇹🇷 , #Afghanistan 🇦🇫 , and in #Taiwan 🇹🇼
➕ potential implications

... We have to release our daily Israel update little bit earlier than we did in last couple of days

[CCIntel @CCIntelOfficial]

Israel update 10/10/2023

Today, quality analysis has been hampered by an exceptionally large amount of disinformation. Our analysts have had to invest a considerable amount of time and resources to verify the data.

#israel
#israelhamaswar
#riskmanagement
#intelligence
#Gaza

[CCIntel @CCIntelOfficial]

Israel update 9/10/2023

#IsraelPalestineWar
#IsraelHamasWar
#Hamas
#Hezbollah
#Lebanonnews
#IDF
#Gaza

[CCIntel @CCIntelOfficial]

6/6
However, as of now, we will, and we recommend monitoring the situation in the Israel-Lebanon border very closely.

[CCIntel @CCIntelOfficial]

1/
The tensions have risen between Israel and its Iran backed opponents, mainly with #Hezbollah. Overall the situation has intensified on the Israel - #Lebanon border even more within a week. 🇮🇱 🇱🇧

[CCIntel @CCIntelOfficial]

5/
Why is this important?
It is crucial to understand the fiery relations between Israel and #Iran. Armed fighting or war between Israel and Hezbollah, even Israel’s hypothetical invasion of Southern #Lebanon doesn’t mean that there would be regional war between Israel and Iran.

[CCIntel @CCIntelOfficial]

Forming a majority will be a real challenge for both right and left blocs. As of now, we estimate that there will be a real political deadlock for many weeks to come and it is possible that there will be a repeat election.
6/6

[CCIntel @CCIntelOfficial]

Spanish elections 🇪🇸 – Political deadlock and possible new elections await
1/
#spain #elections #elección #democracy #democracia #politicalrisk #politics #política #politicalintelligence #EuropeanUnion #eu #PP #PSOE #Vox #spanishelection #Feijóo #Sánchez

[CCIntel @CCIntelOfficial]

The amount of seats gained (total 350 seats):

🥇 #PartidoPopular 136 seats, + 47 (2019: 89 seats)
🥈 #PSOE Partido Socialista Obrero Español 122 seats, + 2 (2019: 120 seats)
🥉 #Vox 33 seats, - 19 (2019: 52 seats)
🏅 #Sumar 31 seats, - 7 (2019, Podemos: 38 seats)
5/

[CCIntel @CCIntelOfficial]

Updates:

Likely Scenario(+): Deterioration of the conflict, no war

Unlikely(+) Scenario: Twice upon a time - Israel invasion

Unlikely Scenario(-): Civil war in Lebanon which forces Israel to act

Very unlikely Scenario (--): Betterment of the situation
8/8

[CCIntel @CCIntelOfficial]

🚨 Updates to our estimations: Israel - Lebanon (Hezbollah) conflict 👇🏽
1/8
#Israel #Palestine #Lebanon #Hezbollah #IDF #LAF #Iran #middleeastnow

[CCIntel @CCIntelOfficial]

The potential of Israel invasion has risen a little bit (still unlikely scenario), due to the latest developments, however it is not estimated as possible (possible = approx. 50% chance). Betterment of the situation is almost impossible within this timetable.
7/8