Cℏiran J

AI Google Ads for plumbers, HVAC, roofers & local services. $20/mo. No agency needed.

[Cℏiran J @chiran]

Build Fast. Build Now.

[Claude @claudeai]

Introducing Claude Fable 5: a Mythos-class model that we’ve made safe for general use.

Its capabilities exceed those of any model we’ve ever made generally available.

[CHRIS FIRST @chrisfirst]

I uploaded a screenshot of Google Maps to Gemini Omni with a route drawn on it.

Then I prompted it to create a first person view of someone driving a taxi cab along the route in the reference image.

Pretty close to the real thing.

[GREG ISENBERG @gregisenberg]

The hot theme each year is basically a talent and capital vacuum cleaner. It sucks all the smartest people and all the money into one room.

Which means every other room is empty. The most valuable companies get built in the empty rooms.

This chart is 10+ years of proof.

[ₕₐₘₚₜₒₙ @hamptonism]

this could have been you europe-maxxing this summer but instead you chose to share a 1bdr with four other dudes in sf to walk around the city with your laptop slightly open so your agents won’t stop running.

[Nav Toor @heynavtoor]

DocuSign Personal: $10 to $15 per month.
DocuSign Standard: $25 to $45 per user per month.
DocuSign Business Pro: $40 to $65 per user per month.

A 10-person team on Business Pro pays $4,800 to $7,800 a year. To put signatures on PDFs.

A team of 50 pays $24,000 to $39,000 a year.

And there is a 100-envelopes-per-year cap on most plans. Send more contracts and you pay extra.

Need SMS delivery? $0.40 per send.
Need ID verification? $2.50 per attempt.
Need premium support? $5,000 to $50,000 per year add-on.

You are rationing digital signatures in 2026.

DocuSign is a $10 billion company built entirely on this pricing model.

Now meet DocuSeal.

A free and open source alternative to DocuSign.

Created in 2023 by a Ruby developer named Alex who was simply trying to sign one document and realised every solution online was overpriced or required a subscription.

Three weeks later he had a working alternative. He pushed it to GitHub under the AGPL-3.0 license.

Today it has 11,800+ stars and over 1,000 forks. Bootstrapped. No VCs. No paywalls.

Here is what DocuSeal does:

- Upload any PDF and turn it into a fillable, signable form
- Drag and drop signature fields, dates, checkboxes, file uploads, and 13 field types
- Send to multiple signers with custom signing order
- Automated email reminders
- Mobile signing on any device
- PDF signature verification built in
- Audit trail for every document
- Bulk send and templates
- Full API access
- Self-host with one Docker command

Here is what DocuSeal costs:

Zero. Forever. Unlimited documents. Unlimited signers. Unlimited storage.

DocuSign limits envelopes. DocuSeal doesn't.
DocuSign charges per SMS. DocuSeal doesn't.
DocuSign charges for ID checks. DocuSeal doesn't.
DocuSign sees your contracts on their servers. DocuSeal doesn't.

Here is the wildest part:

The median DocuSign contract per Vendr is $17,250 per year. One Reddit thread has people saying "they want me to pay $4.80 per e-signature."

Self-host DocuSeal on a $5 cloud server and a 50-person team can sign as many contracts as they want without paying a single dollar.

Your contracts never leave your server. Your client lists. Your NDAs. Your employment agreements. None of it touches a third-party company.

For individuals who only sign a few contracts a year, you save $180.
For small teams of 10, you save up to $7,800 a year.
For a 50-person company, you save up to $39,000 a year.

Your documents. Your signatures. Your server.

100% Open Source. (Link in the comments)

[Cℏiran J @chiran]

@levelsio Mine told me "We've done a lot for this session " and wanted to continue tomorrow. Bro get back to work.

[left curve dev @leftcurvedev_]

it's going to get harder to justify a $200 claude sub in the next few months

[Cℏiran J @chiran]

rebuilt the entire hands-free mode gating system last week. old version used "risk level". nobody could tell what that meant. new version uses "blast radius" in dollars.

surgical = <$50 if wrong (always auto)
meaningful = $50-$500 (auto if rule has 80%+ success rate)
large = $500+ (always needs human approval)

your campaign optimizations now come with a worst-case number attached. not a vague "medium risk" label. actual dollars you could lose if the AI is wrong.

3 rollbacks in 30 days = hands-free auto-disables for your account.

no other $20/mo tool lets you set the AI loose with auto-rollback + circuit breakers built in

[Cℏiran J @chiran]

the agency math nobody talks about:
junior PPC manager earns $50K/yr. they juggle 30 clients. that's 80 minutes of actual work per client per month.
they bill $1,500/client/month.
now here's where it gets interesting.
enterprise brand spending $50K/mo on ads pays a $1,500 management fee. that's 3% overhead. fine. you need strategists when that much money is moving.
local plumber spending $800–$2,000/mo on ads pays a $450 management fee. that's 23–56% overhead. nearly a quarter to more than half their entire ad budget goes to the agency — for the same 80 minutes as the enterprise client.
same junior manager. same template. same inattention.

VibeAds does it for $20/mo. not because we found cheaper labor. because 90% of what a local service business needs, keyword structure, bid logic, ad copy rotation, negative keywords are deterministic work that shouldn't require a human at all.

the other 10%? that's where real strategists earn their keep. just not on a plumber's budget.

[Cℏiran J @chiran]

most home service businesses don't need more leads. they need fewer better leads. ran the numbers: average plumber converts 18% of google ads leads. top quartile converts 41%. difference isn't sales skill. it's lead quality. stop optimizing for volume. optimize for intent match.

[Cℏiran J @chiran]

avg qualified call from AI call tracking scores 67/100. anything above 30 gets uploaded to google ads as an offline conversion. below 30 is noise.spam, wrong number, pricing shoppers who hang up in 40 seconds.

this is how you teach smart bidding which keywords produce real customers instead of just form fills. most agencies still manually review call recordings and upload conversions in batches every 2 weeks. by then the gclid is stale and the signal is worthless.

we do it 15 minutes after the call ends. every single qualified call. Included for free vs callrail's $150/mo baseline.

[Cℏiran J @chiran]

hvac math from VibeAds: avg CPC $11.20, $600/mo budget = 53 clicks. hvac CVR is 4 to 5%. that's 2 to 3 leads/mo at $500 avg lead value. close 25% = 0.5 to 0.75 jobs, so realistically 1 job every 2 months at $2,200 avg ticket. $1,100 revenue from $620 spend per month. looks like you're losing money. but here's what agencies won't tell you: most hvac leads convert at 90+ days because homeowners price shop. that's why VibeAds auto-uploads Jobber paid invoices as offline conversions. once Smart Bidding sees your ACTUAL close rate (usually 40 to 55% for hvac, not 25%), your CPA drops 30 to 40% in 60 days. now you're at $7.50 CPC, 80 clicks, 4 leads, 2 jobs = $4,400 revenue from $620 spend. 7.1x. that's the difference between "google ads doesn't work" and "I fired my agency"

[Cℏiran J @chiran]

how many google ads leads does your home service business actually need per month to hit revenue goals? not vanity clicks. not impressions. actual leads that turn into jobs.

curious if most hvac/plumber/roofer owners even know this number or if they're just guessing what "good performance" looks like

[Cℏiran J @chiran]

ServiceTitan Marketing Pro is a solid product. if you're already paying for their CRM and spending $15K+/mo on ads.
but most local service businesses aren't.
here's the core difference nobody talks about:
ServiceTitan tracks calls. it doesn't feed them back to Google as offline conversions. that means their Smart Bidding is flying half-blind. it can't distinguish keywords that drive real paying customers from keywords that drive tire-kickers.
VibeAds closes that loop. qualified calls automatically feed back into Google as offline conversions. Smart Bidding learns what's actually working. over time your cost per real customer drops instead of staying flat.
that's not a feature gap. that's a fundamentally different philosophy on what "managing Google Ads" means.
ServiceTitan also requires you to already be on their CRM to use their marketing product. so you're not just evaluating two tools. you're evaluating a full platform commitment before you can even run ads properly.
if you're a large shop with complex scheduling needs and the budget to match, ServiceTitan is legitimately the better fit. built for that.
if you're not, you're paying for infrastructure you don't need and leaving conversion data on the table every single month.

[Cℏiran J @chiran]

what's the one google ads metric you check first thing in the morning? not impressions or CTR. the number that actually tells you if your day is going well or badly.

for me it's cost per conversion at 9am vs yesterday 9am. everything else is noise until that's green.

[Cℏiran J @chiran]

AI call tracking scores every inbound call 0-100. spam = auto-filtered. qualified leads = auto-uploaded to Google as conversions. Smart Bidding now learns which keywords bring actual customers vs tire-kickers. no other tool does real-time call intelligence with conversion upload and closing the loop.

[Cℏiran J @chiran]

most google ads accounts waste 22% of budget on clicks that never convert. agencies call it "learning phase" but it's really just bad keyword + landing page combos sitting there for months. VibeAds flags these in week 1. pull the plug or fix the page. no $800 learning tax.

[Cℏiran J @chiran]

what's the actual lead-to-close rate you're seeing from google ads right now? not from facebook or referrals. strictly google. I keep hearing "10-15%" but our plumber customers are closing at 28% and I'm trying to figure out if that's regional or if something else is going on

[Cℏiran J @chiran]

VibeAds now auto-detects when your own ad groups are bidding against each other in the same zip code. cannibalization scanner runs every 6 hours, flags conflicts, suggests merge or exclusion. most $20/mo tools can't even see this problem. we fix it before you burn budget.

[Cℏiran J @chiran]

been staring at our click prediction model for 3 days. kept overfitting on hvac data because we had 4x more plumber campaigns in training. fixed it by stratifying samples per vertical instead of total volume. now roofers and electricians get equally good forecasts. accuracy jumped from 71% to 83% for non-hvac services.